Trump ahead by 7 points in Arizona, CNN ORC poll, August 18-23, 2016. Among independent Arizona voters, the largest group polled, Trump leads by 15 points

Trump 45 
Hillary 38 
Johnson 12 
Stein 4 

p. 20, Independent voters (a larger group than either R or D, p. 7) 

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Trump 43 
Hillary 28 
Johnson 18

 8/24/16, "Arizona," CNN ORC poll 

August 18-23, 2016, 809 likely Arizona voters, live interviews, 60% landlines, 40% cell phones, 3.5% error margin. Among likely voters, self described 218 D, 312 Ind., 279 R (p. 7)


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Added: Below are earlier headline results of "registered voters" reflecting only a 5 point lead for Trump. Later results of more accurate "likely voters" expanded his lead to 7:

 













  8/24/16, Sahil Kapur twitter

 

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