News that doesn't receive the necessary attention.

Tuesday, August 23, 2016

Trump ahead in Utah by 15 points. If choice is just Trump and Hillary, Trump lead grows to 20 points. PPP poll, Aug. 19-21, 2016

Trump  39
Hillary 24
Johnson 12
McMullin 9

If choice were between only Trump and Hillary:

Trump 53
Hillary 33

August 19-21, 2016 poll, 1018 likely Utah voters, landline 80%, internet 20%, error margin 3.1%. Full results

8/23/16, "Trump Unpopular, But Still Heavily Favored in Utah," Public Policy Polling, Tom Jensen

"Trump leads the state with 39% to 24% for Clinton, with Gary Johnson at 12%, Evan McMullin at 9%, Darrell Castle at 2%, and Jill Stein at 1%. If voters had to choose just between the two major candidates, Trump's lead would grow to 20 points at 53/33.... 

Among Mormons in the state- Trump gets 44%, McMullin 13%, and Clinton and Johnson tie for third at 12%. Echoing a finding we made the last time we publicly polled Utah in 2011, non-Mormon Utah would be one of the most Democratic states in the country. Among non-Mormons in the state, Clinton leads by 16 points with 46% to 30% for Trump, and 11% for Johnson....

The other major races in Utah this year shape up about how you'd expect. Gary Herbert is one of the more popular Governors in the country, with 57% of voters approving of him to only 26% who disapprove. He leads his reelection bid against Democratic challenger Mike Weinholtz 57-21, with third party candidates getting a total of 7%, and 14% of voters undecided. 

It's a similar story in the US Senate race. Mike Lee's approval numbers are solid, on the curve of modern Senator approval ratings, with 42% of voters approving of the job he's doing to 34% who disapprove. He leads Democratic challenger Misty Snow 51-21, with independent candidates getting a total of 8% and 20% of voters still undecided. We also tested Jim Matheson since there's still time for Democrats to change their candidate. Matheson's popular- a +25 net favorability rating with 46% of voters seeing him positively to 21% with a negative view. But he'd still trail Lee by 7 points at 44-37, and if there's any Democrat who could win statewide in Utah at this point it's probably him. Full results here"

"Public Policy Polling surveyed 1,018 likely voters from August 19th to 21st. The margin of error is +/-3.1%. 80% of participants, selected through a list based sample, responded via the phone, while 20% of respondents who did not have landlines conducted the survey over the internet through an opt-in internet panel." 

""There’s not much of a chance that Utah is actually going to go Democratic this year,” said Dean Debnam, President of Public Policy Polling." 

Also per PPP: Utah voters prefer Trump over Obama for president, if the two were on the ballot: 

page 3, q. 6: "Who would you rather was president, Barack Obama or Donald Trump? 

Barack Obama 39%
Not sure 12%"


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