Trump and Hillary in statistical tie in Nevada, August 15-17, 2016, Suffolk poll of 500 likely Nevada voters, Hillary 44, Trump 42 with 4.4% error margin

Hilary 44
Trump 42
Johnson 5

August 15-17, 2016 poll, 500 likely Nevada voters, 4.4% error margin, live land line and cell phone interviews. #1 issue jobs/economy, #2 national security. 53% feel less safe in America than ten years ago

8/18/16, "Suffolk University Nevada Poll Shows Clinton at 44 Percent to Trump’s 42 Percent," suffolk.edu

"A new Suffolk University poll of Nevada voters shows a statistical dead heat in the presidential race, with Democrat Hillary Clinton leading Republican Donald Trump 44 percent to 42 percent. Clinton’s strong suit appears to be Las Vegas....

Clinton’s 13-point Clark County lead countered a 3-point deficit in Washoe county and a 46-point deficit in the smaller counties of central Nevada.

Suffolk University replicated the Nevada ballot by excluding Green Party nominee Jill Stein, who was not officially certified. Libertarian nominee Gary Johnson was the choice of 5 percent of voters; Darrell Castle of the Independent American Party, 1 percent, Rocky De La Fuente, 1 percent; the Nevada ballot option “none of these candidates,” 3 percent. Five percent were undecided....

Asked if they think Clinton is honest and trustworthy 38 percent said yes and 55 percent said no. Trump was viewed as honest and trustworthy by 38 percent of likely voters, while 52 percent disagreed.

Issues of concern

Nevada voters said that the number one issue facing the next president is jobs/economy (26 percent), followed by terrorism and national security (20 percent), choosing Supreme Court nominees (11 percent), health care and illegal immigration (tied at 7 percent), and reducing the national debt (5 percent). When voters were asked if they feel more or less safe living in America than they did five to 10 years ago, 53 percent said less safe, 15 percent more safe, and 29 percent indicated no change.

Ballot questions 

Voters support a Nevada referendum question requiring background checks for guns (61 percent–26 percent); are split on legalizing marijuana (48 percent support–43 percent oppose), and overwhelmingly support energy deregulation (70 percent support–12 percent oppose).

U.S. Senate 

In the fight to succeed Sen. Harry Reid (D-Nevada), Republican Joe Heck and Democrat Catherine Cortez Masto were tied at 37 percent, followed by independents Tony Gumina, Tom Jones, and Thomas Sawyer, with 1 percent each. More than 6 percent indicated “none of these candidates” and 14 percent were undecided....

In the 2012 presidential election, the final Suffolk poll in Nevada predicted a 2-point lead for Barack Obama, who ended up winning by 6.7 percent over Republican Mitt Romney....

Marginals and full cross-tabulation data are posted on the Suffolk University Political Research Center website."...

"Statement of Metholology: This survey of 500 likely Nevada general election voters was conducted between August 15 and August 17, 2016, and is based on live telephone interviews of adults who indicated they were likely to vote in the November 2016 general election for president. Each area’s quota and demographic information -- including race and age -- was determined from previous like elections and 2010 Census data. Samples of both standard landline and cell phones were called using a probability-proportionate-to-size method, which means that the phone numbers assigned to each county were proportional to the number of likely voters expected based on similar past elections. The 16 Nevada counties and one independent city were grouped into three general regions. Respondents in the household were selected by initially asking for the youngest adult. The margin of sampling error for results based on the total sample is +/-4.4 percentage points. Error margins increase for smaller subgroups in the cross-tabulation document that follows. All surveys may be subject to other sources of error, including but not limited to coverage error and measurement error."

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