Doing Advance Work

News that doesn't receive the necessary attention.

Friday, February 12, 2016

Trump gains in South Carolina, now leads Republican field by 16+ points, Feb. 10-11, 2016 poll-Opinion Savvy, sponsored by Augusta Chronicle, Morris News Service, and Fox 5 Atlanta

Trump 36
Cruz 19
Rubio 15
Bush 11
Kasich 9
Carson 5

2/12/16, "Latest poll: Trump Gains in South Carolina," Matt Towery, opinionsavvy.com

"In our latest poll, conducted February 10th – 11th, Donald Trump has increased his lead by four points. The toplines:

Trump 36
Cruz 19
Rubio 15
Bush 11
Kasich 9
Carson 5

Coming hot off his win in New Hampshire -and with a significant amount of his time devoted to South Carolina- it’s little surprise that Trump is 16-17 points ahead. It appears that the only demographics that Trump isn’t currently winning are 18-29 year-old voters and self-described “very liberal” voters, who prefer Rubio and Kasich, respectively. Evangelists prefer Trump to Cruz by a margin of 10 points – a significant change from Iowa, where Cruz led with evangelical voters by four points.

When respondents were asked of their second choice for the nomination, Rubio and Cruz command the first and second spots (within 2 points), with others trailing closely. The poll was conducted for the Augusta Chronicle, Morris News Service, and Fox 5 Atlanta."

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Full SC results:

Poll dates, Feb. 10-11, 2016 (W-Th). Likely South Carolina Republican primary voters, 2/20/16 primary. Land lines (83%) and mobile devices (17%). Automated voice poll. Persons who didn't know their voting location were excluded. 3.5 error margin

2/12/2016, "South Carolina Republican Presidential Primary Poll," Opinion Savvy, sponsored by Augusta Chronicle, Morris News Service, and Fox 5 Atlanta

pages 7 and 9, Demographics. Trump did well across all age groups and ideologies








More than 10,000 rally for Trump in Tampa, Florida, USF Sun Dome, Fri., Feb. 12, 2016





















Above, 2/12/16, Trump rally in Tampa, Florida, USF Sun Dome, pbs. twing.com/media




















Above, 2/12/16, Trump rally in Tampa, Florida, " 11m11 minutes ago Absolutely packed house! Inside the USF SunDome




















Above, 2/2/16, Trump rally in Tampa, Fla., "In reply to 32m32 minutes ago : Inside the USF SunDome
















Left, 2/12/16, Trump rallier as Trump Wall, And this guy that asked me to take his picture as I left the Trump rally," Santucci, Washington Post reporter  



2/12/16, "Donald Trump rally draws more than 10,000 in Tampa," Orlando Sentinel, Bradenton Herald, Claire Aronson

Six photos below: AP, AP, Getty, AP, Getty, AP, via Orlando Sentinel, Trump Tampa rally:

AP


AP


Getty

AP


Getty

AP























































































































Below, Sun Dome holds more than 10,000 people:














 

Above, 2/12/16, from Jenna Johnson twitter, Washington Post reporter
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Above, 2/12/16, Trump ends with love. Jenna Johnson twitter, Washington Post reporter.

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Comment: Why else would anyone go through the living hell of a campaign like this at his own expense? He's certainly not doing it with an eye on a K Street job after he's out of office. To the GOP donor class financing other candidates, the US southern border has long since been erased. Trump is the only one saying the terrible truth, "A nation without borders is not a nation." 

The Wall St. Journal has advocated open borders since at least 1984:
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"We propose a five-word constitutional amendment: There shall be open borders." (parag. 5):
  
July 3, 1984, "REVIEW and OUTLOOK (Editorial): In Praise of Huddled Masses," Wall Street Journal (Eastern edition) (scroll down

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From Diana West: Americans have been conditioned into silence:

8/18/15, "Trump: Giving Voice to the American "Subconscious"," Diana West

"To say the Media-Political Complex has really lost its cool over Donald Trump, also every marble, is barest understatement....

Before Trump, the American "subconscious," circa 2015, would never "originally think" a US border was possible, let alone a wall; immigration restriction was possible, let alone a halt; immigration law enforcement was possible; the deportation of illegal families was possible; restoration of American citizenship as a privilege, not a stolen good, was possible; jobs for Americans were possible; and the rest. Donald Trump, bless him, has changed the American subconscious, giving voice to Americans long conditioned into silence by this same Media-Political Complex. And there is nothing, but nothing, they can do about it now."  


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Added: Voting ballots were mailed out this week in Florida:

2/12/16, "Thousands flock to see Trump in Tampa," wzvn tv, abc, Fort Myers, Naples, Port Charlotte

"
The political spotlight is on Florida, thanks to the arrival of the star of the Republican Party in Tampa.
Donald Trump is expected to draw thousands to a rally at the University of South Florida's Sun Dome, including many who've made their way from points across the state.

"Trump is supporting the community," said Janola Smith, who was the first person in line early Friday. "And I am for the community."

"Looking at the other candidates," said Bob Myers, "I just felt he was the most qualified."

Smith and Myers joined a raucous flock decked out in Trump attire from ties to socks, and their man's arrival coincides nicely with the start of official voting in Florida – thanks to mailed-out ballots that started reaching homes this week.  

"Mr. Trump is saying he's going to make America great again," said David Tamm, "and I believe he is telling the truth."

The Florida GOP primary is March 15."...


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Trump ralliers in Tampa, Florida: Build That Wall--Friday, Feb. 12, 2016


































Above, 2/12/16, "Build That Wall" signs displayed by Trump ralliers in Tampa, Florida, posted by Tampa Bay Times reporter, Sara DiNatale @sara_dinatale reporter. Buffalo native. Proud child of , , and; ."






















Left, 2/12/16, "Build wall" sign held by student Santiago at Trump rally in Tampa, Fla.: " 3h3 hours ago USF student Santiago holding up this sign as he waits to go through the front doors."















 











 




Above, 2/12/16, Waiting line for Trump rally in Tampa, Fla.: "Republican presidential candidate Donald Trump rallies at USF in Tampa," ABC, WFTS, Tampa Bay, Scripps Media photo
 





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Thursday, February 11, 2016

Truly Conservative principle: "The integrity of a nation's borders and the privilege of its citizenship is certainly a "truly conservative" principle'-Mark Steyn, 2/11/16

2/11/16, "Notes After New Hampshire," Mark Steyn

"Long, long ago-August 12th last year (2015), in fact-I wrote: 

"The integrity of a nation's borders and the privilege of its citizenship is certainly a "truly conservative" principle. More practically for this election, it may be the one on which all the others depend...And, as Ann Coulter says to the other candidates, if you don't like Trump, steal his issue."
According to exit polls, in New Hampshire on Tuesday night, two out of three GOP voters favor Trump's proposed temporary ban on all Muslim immigration - despite the universal reaction from the massed ranks of the politico-media class that this time he'd really gone too far. In other words, as I said all those months ago, it's the old Broadway saw: Nobody likes it but the public.

The only reason any pollster is even asking this question is because Donald Trump proposed it. As those numbers suggest, any of Trump's rivals could have helped themselves by "stealing his issue". And yet no other candidate has gone anywhere near it - or anything like it. Perhaps one reason why American elections have the lowest voter participation rate of almost any developed nation is because the political class mostly seems to be talking about its own peculiar preoccupations. Consider this astute observation by Steve Sailer:

"American citizens have turned in large numbers to old-white-guy candidates like Donald Trump and Bernie Sanders. For all their differences, both give the impression that they are running for president of the United States, not president of Davos." [page 2, last sentence] 

I live in northern New Hampshire, where every town that isn't a ski resort is dead. They were pleasant, sleepy places in genteel decline 20 years ago. Now they're hollowed out by heroin and meth, and offering no economic opportunity beyond casual shifts at the KwikkiKrap. And when you listen to the Dems they're worried about micro-aggressions and transphobia and when you listen to Congressional Republicans they're talking about the Trans-Pacific Partnership. The two-party one-party state has nothing to say to tens of millions of Americans. 
 
Trump won because he put real-world issues on the table. Nobody needs to be told that he "isn't a real Republican". That's the point of Trump. The Republican base loathes the Republican leadership far more than they love the vessel they've chosen to express their loathing.

There are contrasting approaches on offer:...Ted Cruz says he can bring back "Reagan Democrats", although I'd love to know what that term means in 2016 other than nonagenarian FDR voters; and Trump is promising to blow up the party. In New Hampshire, it's not hard to see why that last option won.

~Did Marco Rubio really destroy himself in that debate? Or is it the case that, after a week of fawning profiles post-Iowa...Marco Rubio policy-wise is offering the same old same old. I doubt there are enough takers for that to win the nomination this season. As for his promise of "a new American century", I said a few weeks ago:...

"In 2015, for many Americans, "malaise" is not a blip, but a permanent feature of life that has squeezed them out of the middle class. They're not in the mood for bromides about second American centuries: They'd like what's left of their own lifespan to be less worse."
The New Hampshire results bear that out."...

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Trump is running for president of US, not president of Davos, referenced above:

2/10/16, "The Ultimate Minority Right," Taki Magazine

(p. 2): "While they [American elites] find the ethical theory of open borders self-evident, they have no interest whatsoever in following out its logic to its conclusion: global democracy. Why not? Well, for one reason, in worldwide elections, foreigners would vote for their own kind, eliminating American elites’ American privilege.

So the future of America looks much like the present, only more so: It’ll be an increasingly lousy place to be an average American citizen, but an ever better place to be an American elite.

To the leadership caste’s surprise, however, American citizens have turned in large numbers to old-white-guy candidates like Donald Trump and Bernie Sanders. For all their differences, both give the impression that they are running for president of the United States, not president of Davos."




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10,000 rally for Trump in Baton Rouge, Louisiana, Feb. 11, 2016


















 

Above, 2/11/16, Donald Trump rally "at the Baton Rouge River Center," The Advocate


























 
Above, 2/11/16, Trump rally in Baton Rouge, Louisiana,
" 27m27 minutes ago THANK YOU- Baton Rouge, Louisiana! WE will ! Donald J. Trump twitter 


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Citation for crowd of 10,000:

2/11/16, "Republican presidential frontrunner Donald Trump rallies massive Baton Rouge crowd," The Advocate, Elizabeth Crisp








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Above, 2/11/16, Trump greeted by supporters in Baton Rouge, Louisiana: "Presidential candidate Donald Trump, bottom center, is greeted by a mob of fans and supporters at a campaign stop at the Baton Rouge River Center on Thursday, February 11, 2016. {Photo by Chris Granger, Nola.com | The Times-Picayune)"

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Added: Trump policy details: In just a few minutes, commenters to Trump 2/11/16 Baton Rouge speech hear Trump positions on three major issues, Israel, Common Core, and US global military intervention (Trump would reduce it, make it less compulsive than it is now). These aren't new, Trump has stated these views and others repeatedly for months in speeches. I note it here for those interested. Via, "Donald Trump Rally Baton Rouge Louisiana – 8:00pm EST Live Stream," The Conservative Treehouse:

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"woohoowee says:
Trump: More respect is paid to Iran than to Israel."

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"woohoowee says:
Trump: Common Core is dead.
 
Crowd: Big Cheers!"

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"georgiafl says:
No more US ‘Noblesse Oblige’ – no more protecting other countries for free.

No Keystone Pipeline without paying us a percentage of the profits.

Trump will wipe out the debt in short order."









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Mexico would have died...without the option to send its rural poor - fully one-fifth of its population - to the United States-Spengler, June 2013

Why Mexico exists today:

Mexico would have died...without the option to send its rural poor - fully one-fifth of its population - to the United States." ...

June 2013 article:

6/17/2013, "Syria and Egypt can't be fixed," Asia Times, by Spengler

Mexico would have died as well, without the option to send its rural poor - fully one-fifth of its population - to the United States. ... 

Sometimes countries dig themselves into a hole from which they cannot extricate themselves. Third World dictators typically keep their rural population poor, isolated and illiterate, the better to maintain control. That was the policy of Mexico's Institutional Revolutionary Party from the 1930s, which warehoused the rural poor in Stalin-modeled collective farms called ejidos occupying most of the national territory. That was also the intent of the Arab nationalist dictatorships in Egypt and Syria. The policy worked until it didn't. In Mexico, it stopped working during the debt crisis of the early 1980s, and Mexico's poor became America's problem. In Egypt and Syria, it stopped working in 2011. There is nowhere for Egyptians and Syrians to go....
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Egypt remains a pre-modern society, with nearly 50% illiteracy, a 30% rate of consanguineal marriage, a 90% rate of female genital mutilation, and an un- or underemployment rate over 40%."...



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Carrier to migrate 1400 jobs from Indiana to Mexico, a country that exists today only because it had the option of sending its rural poor, fully one fifth of its population, to the US

2/10/15, "Carrier to relocate 1,400 Indianapolis jobs to Mexico," Fox59.com, Matt Adams-Web Producer, Indianapolis, Ind.

"Carrier plans to relocate its Indianapolis operations to Mexico over the next three years, a move that will affect about 1,400 jobs. Jobs will begin transitioning to Monterrey, Mexico, in 2017, with completion estimated in 2019. The company manufactures heating, ventilating, air conditioning and refrigeration systems at its plant located on West Morris Street.

Carrier said the move is subject to discussions with local union representatives. Eligible employees will be entitled to severance benefits, including access to the company’s Employee Scholar Program, which pays for tuition, books and fees at accredited higher education institutions.

Chris Nelson, president of HVAC Systems and Services North American, issued the following statement:

This move is intended to address the challenges we continue to face in a rapidly changing HVAC industry, with the continued migration of the HVAC industry to Mexico, including our suppliers and competitors, and ongoing cost and pricing pressures driven, in part, by new regulatory requirements. 

“Relocating our operations to a region where we have existing infrastructure and a strong supplier base will allow us to operate more cost effectively so that we can continue to produce high-quality HVAC products that are competitively positioned while continuing to meet customer needs.

“This decision is difficult and we recognize the impact on employees, their families and the community. We are committed to ensuring that our employees are treated respectfully and to working closely with their representatives throughout this transition.”

The company said its HVAC residential headquarters and engineering positions will remain in Indianapolis.

Mayor Joe Hogsett releases this statement on Carrier’s announcement:

Today’s surprise announcement was without warning and incredibly disappointing. While I am obviously concerned about the economic impact, my top priority is the well-being of the hardworking families affected by this decision. 

A job lost in any part of our community affects us all, and I believe these are the times we must come together as one city to lift up our neighbors. That is why this afternoon I will issue an Executive Order to create a task force that will convene local, state, and federal resources and direct every tool at our disposal toward supporting these workers in the days ahead.”"

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Added: Why Mexico exists today:

Mexico would have died...without the option to send its rural poor - fully one-fifth of its population - to the United States."...

June 2013 article:

6/17/13, "Syria and Egypt can't be fixed," Asia Times, by Spengler

Mexico would have died as well, without the option to send its rural poor - fully one-fifth of its population - to the United States.... 


Sometimes countries dig themselves into a hole from which they cannot extricate themselves. Third World dictators typically keep their rural population poor, isolated and illiterate, the better to maintain control. That was the policy of Mexico's Institutional Revolutionary Party from the 1930s, which warehoused the rural poor in Stalin-modeled collective farms called ejidos occupying most of the national territory. That was also the intent of the Arab nationalist dictatorships in Egypt and Syria. The policy worked until it didn't. In Mexico, it stopped working during the debt crisis of the early 1980s, and Mexico's poor became America's problem. In Egypt and Syria, it stopped working in 2011. There is nowhere for Egyptians and Syrians to go.... 
...............  
Egypt remains a pre-modern society, with nearly 50% illiteracy, a 30% rate of consanguineal marriage, a 90% rate of female genital mutilation, and an un- or underemployment rate over 40%."...



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I'm the daughter of an Eagle Scout (fan of the Brooklyn Dodgers and Mets) and a Beauty Queen.