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Monday, January 25, 2016

Trump leads Cruz 33 to 26 in Iowa Republican caucus poll, Jan. 21-24, 2016, four hundred live telephone interviews-ARG, American Research Group poll

Trump 33
Cruz 26
Rubio 11
Carson 7
Christie 4
Paul 4
Bush 3
Kasich 3
Huckabee 2
Fiorina 1
Santorum 1

Jan. 21-24, 2016 poll, 400 likely Iowa Republican caucus-goers, live telephone interviews, 5% error margin

1/25/16, "Iowa Republican Presidential Caucus Preference," American Research Group

"Donald Trump leads Ted Cruz 33% to 26% in the Iowa Republican caucus.


















"Preference by likely to vote:"

Definitely will caucus for preferred candidate:

Trump 32
Cruz 27
Rubio 11
Carson 7
Christie 5
Paul 4

Probably will caucus for preferred candidate:

Trump 40
Cruz 16
Rubio 12
Carson 5
Christie 5
Paul 4















"About this Survey - 

Survey Sponsor: American Research Group, Inc. The American Research Group has been conducting surveys of voters since 1985.

Sample Size: 400 completed telephone interviews among a random sample of likely Republican caucus-goers living in Iowa (321 Republicans and 79 no party voters (independents)).

Sample Dates: January 21-24, 2016

Margin of Error: ± 5 percentage points, 95% of the time, on questions where opinion is evenly split.
Question Wording: If the 2016 Republican presidential caucus were being held today between (names rotated) Jeb Bush, Ben Carson, Chris Christie, Ted Cruz, Carly Fiorina, Jim Gilmore, Mike Huckabee, John Kasich, Rand Paul, Marco Rubio, Rick Santorum, and Donald Trump, for whom would you vote?
 
Using a scale of 1 to 10, with 1 meaning that you will definitely not vote in the 2016 Republican presidential caucus and 10 meaning that you will definitely vote in the 2016 Republican presidential caucus, what number would you give as your chance of voting in the 2016 Republican presidential caucus?"




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