Trump increases New Hampshire lead to 29, Jan. 4-6, 2016, Public Policy Polling. Among likely Republican voters who say their mind is totally made up Trump more than doubles New Hampshire field-PPP released 1/6/16

Trump 29
Rubio 15
Christie 11
Kasich 11 
Bush 10
Cruz 10
Carson 4
Fiorina 4
Paul 3
Huckabee 1
Santorum 1

Above, p. 5

Jan. 4-6, 2016 poll dates. 515 Likely Republican Primary voters. 80-20 telephone/internet survey. 4.3% error margin

1/6/16, "Establishment Split Leaves Trump Well Ahead in NH; Clinton/Sanders Still Basically Tied," Tom Jensen, Public Policy Polling

"Raleigh, N.C.–PPP's newest New Hampshire poll finds Donald Trump leading in the state by 14 points. Trump's position in the state has been steady over the last three months- we found him at 28% in mid-October, 27% in early December, and we find him at 29% this month....

Looking at the race just among those who say their mind is totally made up, Trump's support goes up to 38% to 13% for Rubio, 12% for Cruz, 11% for Bush, 9% for Christie, and 7% for Kasich....His (Trump's) support has the greatest intensity among the top level candidates- 68% of his supporters say they're firmly committed to him compared to 63% for Cruz, 58% for Bush, 46% for Rubio, 40% for Christie, and just 34% for Kasich on that metric....

"Public Policy Polling surveyed 515 likely Republican primary voters and 480 likely Democratic primary voters from January 4th to 6th. The margin of error is +/-4.3% for the Republicans and +/-4.5% for the Democrats. 80% of participants,selected through a list based sample, responded via the phone, while 20% of respondents who did not have landlines conducted the survey over the internet through an opt-in in internet panel."

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Comment: This poll was taken before it was known that Jeb Bush has been repeatedly telling an elaborate lie, claiming that Charlton Heston gave him an NRA Statesman of the Year Award in 2003. No such award exists, and Heston never gave him any award. Jan. 4, 2016 article posted below.

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Following are two charts from Public Policy Polling:

p. 86, Trump has broad support across age groups:

Below, page 58, In New Hampshire, Trump is supported by both Republicans (29%) and Independents (30%). The poll found that 31% of Carson and Christie supporters identify as Democrat.

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1/4/16, "Jeb Bush Has “Mistaken And Conflated” Story About Receiving NRA Award, Campaign Admits," BuzzFeed News, Andrew Kaczynski

"Bush has repeatedly claimed that he received the NRA’s “statesman of the year” award."  

"As former NRA Statesman of the Year, I will fight to protect the 2nd Amendment. A clear contrast to @HillaryClinton. — Jeb Bush (@JebBush)"

"A spokesman for Jeb Bush’s campaign told BuzzFeed News on Monday that Bush had “mistaken and conflated” his story about receiving the National Rifle Association’s “statesman of the year” award. 

The former Florida governor has told the story on several occasions, saying he received a rifle from then-NRA president Charlton Heston and was the recipient of the group’s “statesman of the year” honor in 2003. 

While the NRA rates the records of politicians on gun issues, the group does not hand out a statesman of the year award. In 2003, the NRA held its annual meeting in Orlando, Florida, with Bush as the keynote speaker. The NRA’s meeting page from that year makes no mention of Bush receiving any award.

A BuzzFeed News search of various archive search engines like Lexis Nexis for the “statesman of the year” award and Jeb Bush only turned up comments this year made by Bush.

“In recounting the story, Jeb was mistaken and conflated multiple events unintentionally. Heston met with Jeb at that NRA convention and was the head of the NRA at the time, but it was Kayne Robinson who presented Jeb with the rifle for being keynote speaker,” a spokesman told BuzzFeed News. “Heston had previously said he supported Jeb’s reelection at a 2002 campaign event. Jeb was lauded by the NRA on multiple occasions for his second amendment record, including signing legislation that the NRA dubbed the ‘Six Pack Of Freedom.’ Jeb has a lifetime A+ rating from the NRA.”

The Sarasota Republican Party in Florida does hand out out an annual “statesman of the year” award, the most recent receipt being Donald Trump. 

Bush uses the anecdote to illustrate his long history of supporting gun rights. He told the story as recently as this past weekend, saying on Fox News Sunday, “The best approach is to have the laws be thoroughly vetted at the state level. And that’s why I’m proud of the fact I have perhaps the most pro-gun, pro-Second Amendment record as a governor of any state in the country. It’s why I was statesman of the year of the NRA. I received an award from Charlton Heston about 10 years ago.”

At an event in South Carolina in October, Bush said, “In Florida, when I was governor, I was the NRA statesman of the year, one year it was on my highlight reel where Charlton Heston gave me a gun on the stage in front of 15,000 people, that was pretty cool to be honest with you.”

Heston, who had been diagnosed with Alzheimer’s Disease and was stepping down that year, was originally intended to present Bush the rifle. Heston left the convention early, and the rifle was instead presented by the new president, Kayne Robinson. Though, noted Marion Hammer a former NRA president from Florida Bush and Heston did meet at the convention.

Robinson, presenting the rifle to Bush, said, “In keeping with our tradition of giving a great American rifle to a great American patriot, I am proud to present this.”

The flintlock rifle is traditionally given to keynote speaker at the convention.

A Bush spokesman noted the tweet and Facebook post on the award would be removed."



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