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Monday, January 11, 2016

Trump 29, Cruz 25 in Iowa caucus poll, Jan. 6-10, 2016. Trump retains statistical tie in Iowa among Registered Republicans, is ahead with younger voters and Independents who'll vote in 2016 Iowa Republican caucus. American Research Group

Trump 29
Cruz 25
Rubio 10
Carson 8
Christie 6
Paul 4
Bush 3
Kasich 3
Huckabee 2
Santorum 2
Fiorina 1

Poll dates 1/6-1/10/16, 400 likely Iowa Republican caucus goers. 333 R and 67 no party (independents). Error margin 5%. Telephone interviews (% land line v cell phone not stated).

1/11/16, "American Research Group, Inc."

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"Preference by Age"

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18-49 (42% of total)
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Trump 30
Cruz 24
Carson 11 
Rubio 7
Paul 6

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50 and older (58% of total)
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Trump 28
Cruz 26
Rubio 12
Christie 8
Carson 5
Bush 3
Kasich 3

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Preference by party registration:

Registered Republicans (83%):

Trump 29
Cruz 26
Rubio 11 
Carson 8
Christie 5
Paul 4
Bush 3
Kasich 3
Santorum 3
Huckabee 2
Fiorina 1

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Independents (17%):

Trump 31
Cruz 22
Christie 10 
Rubio 8
Carson 6
Paul 6
Fiorina 3
Bush 2
Huckabee 1
Kasich 1

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American Research Group Methodology:

"Sample Size: 400 completed telephone interviews among a random sample of likely Republican caucus-goers living in Iowa

(333 Republicans and 67 no party voters (independents)).

Sample Dates: January 6-10, 2016

Margin of Error: ± 5 percentage points, 95% of the time, on questions where opinion is evenly split."



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