News that doesn't receive the necessary attention.

Sunday, May 1, 2016

Trump has 15 point lead ahead of Tuesday May 3 Indiana Republican primary. NBC News WSJ Marist poll, April 26-28, 2016-NBC News

Trump 49
Cruz 34
Kasich 13

Poll dates April 26-28, 2016. 645 Likely Indiana Republican primary voters, 3.9 error margin, landline and cellphone interviews. Link to poll.

5/1/16, "Donald Trump Leads Cruz by 15 Points in Crucial Indiana Race," NBC News, Mark Murray

"Donald Trump holds a 15-point lead over Ted Cruz in the potentially decisive May 3 presidential primary race in Indiana, according to results from a new NBC News/Wall Street Journal/Marist poll. 

Trump gets support from 49 percent of likely Republican primary voters — followed by Cruz at 34 percent and John Kasich at 13 percent. If that margin in Indiana holds on Tuesday, Trump would be on a glide path towards obtaining the 1,237 delegates he needs to win the Republican nomination on a first ballot at the GOP convention in July....

The NBC/WSJ/Marist poll was conducted April 26-28 — so mostly after Trump's six-consecutive primary victories in Northeast and Mid-Atlantic states, as well as after Cruz and Kasich announced an alliance/truce, whereby Kasich wouldn't campaign in Indiana to help Cruz (in exchange for Cruz not campaigning in Oregon and New Mexico).... 

In a hypothetical general-election matchup, Trump is ahead of Clinton by seven points among registered voters in this traditionally Republican state, 48 percent to 41 percent. 

But Trump's lead is just one point when matched up against Bernie Sanders, 47 percent to 46 percent....

The NBC/WSJ/Marist poll of Indiana was conducted by live-caller interviews (via landline and cell phone) among 2,149 registered voters (which has a margin of error of plus-minus 2.1 percentage points), 645 likely Republican primary voters (plus-minus 3.9 percentage points) and 449 likely Democratic primary voters (plus-minus 4.6 percentage points)." Link to poll.


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