News that doesn't receive the necessary attention.

Sunday, May 22, 2016

Trump and Hillary in statistical tie nationwide, 46 to 44 in favor of Trump, ABC News Washington Post poll, May 16-19, 2016. Trump has 13 point lead among Independent voters, 48-35. "Trade is a winner for Trump."

May 16-19, 2016






"Trade is a winner for Trump and risk to Clinton....Trump leads Clinton by 18 points, 55-37 percent, among anti-trade voters." (subhead, "Three Issues") ABC News Washington Post poll

May 16-19, 2016, 829 registered voters nationwide, 3.5 error margin, land lines and cell phones. 33-27-33, R,D,I split. Trump 46-Hillary 44, total registered voters. Among Independent voters, Trump 48-Hillary 45.

May 22, 2016, "A Post-Primary Rally Boosts Trump, Albeit with Challenges Aplenty (Poll)," ABC News, Gary Langer

"A new ABC News/Washington Post poll shows a close contest in presidential election preferences, with Republicans lining up behind Donald Trump as their party’s presumptive nominee while the continued Democratic race is keeping Hillary Clinton’s side more unsettled.... 

Essentially a dead heat among registered voters, 46 percent for Trump, 44 percent for Clinton. Regardless, the contest has tightened considerably since March, when Clinton led among registered voters by 9 points."...

"Trump leads Clinton among independents by 13 points (48-35), a reversal from March, when she led by 9. In one further example of the unsettled Democratic contest, 15 percent of Obama voters in 2012 now say they’d back Trump over Clinton." (subhead, "Groups" and chart following entitled, "Vote preference by group, (among registered voters") 
 
parag. 9: Trump and Hillary are now even in 18-29 group, split 45-42. In March 2016, Hillary led Trump by 39 points in 18-29s. "It’s a group Barack Obama won by 23 points in 2012, and one that Clinton needs back."  
 
Registered voters are evenly split on Trump's issues of deporting illegals and temporarily banning Muslims. (subhead, "Three Issues")

"This ABC News/Washington Post poll was conducted by landline and cellular telephone May 16-19, 2016, in English and Spanish, among a random national sample of 1,005 adults, including 829 registered voters. Results have a margin of sampling error of 3.5 points, including the design effect, for the full sample and registered voters alike. Partisan divisions are 33-25-35 percent, Democrats-Republicans-independents, in the full sample, 34-27-33 among registered voters. 

The survey was produced for ABC News by Langer Research Associates of New York, N.Y., with sampling, data collection and tabulation by Abt-SRBI of New York, N.Y. See details on the survey’s methodology here."




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