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Thursday, October 13, 2016

Trump regains lead 43-41 in nationwide poll, Oct. 10-12, 2016 Rasmussen poll. Trump has double digit lead among independent voters, also leads among non-black minority voters-Rasmussen

Trump 43
Hillary 41
Johnson 6
Stein 2 

Independent voters

Trump 42
Hillary 30
Johnson 14
Stein

Non-black minority voters
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Trump 39
Hillary 36
Johnson 10
Stein 4

Black voters
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Trump 24
Hillary 67
Johnson 2
Stein 1

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Oct. 10-12, 2016, (M-W) 1500 likely voters nationwide, 2.5 error margin, 33R, 37D, 30 Ind., White 72, black 12, other 16, automated telephone and online survey

10/13/16, "White House Watch: Trump Takes the Lead," Rasmussen Reports

"The full results from Sunday night’s debate are in, and Donald Trump has come from behind to take the lead over Hillary Clinton. 

The latest Rasmussen Reports White House Watch national telephone and online survey shows Trump with 43% support among Likely U.S. Voters to Clinton’s 41%. Yesterday, Clinton still held a four-point 43% to 39% lead over Trump, but  that was down from five points on Tuesday and her biggest lead ever of seven points on Monday

Rasmussen Reports updates its White House Watch survey daily Monday through Friday at 8:30 am Eastern based on a three-day rolling average of 1,500 Likely U.S. Voters. Monday’s survey was the first following the release of an 11-year-old video showing Trump discussing women in graphic sexual detail but did not include any polling results taken after the debate. All three nights of the latest survey follow Sunday’s debate. 

Libertarian candidate Gary Johnson has dropped slightly to six percent (6%) support, while Green Party candidate Jill Stein holds steady at two percent (2%). Four percent (4%) still like some other candidate in the race, and another four percent (4%) remain undecided. (To see survey question wording, click here.)

Eighty-four percent (84%) now say they are certain how they will vote in this year’s presidential election, and among these voters, Trump posts a 49% to 46% lead over Clinton. Among voters who say they still could change their minds between now and Election Day, it’s Clinton 40%, Trump 37%, Johnson 19% and Stein four percent (4%). 

The survey of 1,500 Likely Voters was conducted on October 10-12, 2016 by Rasmussen Reports. The margin of sampling error is +/- 2.5 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence. Field work for all Rasmussen Reports surveys is conducted by Pulse Opinion Research, LLC. See methodology. 

Most Republican voters still think top GOP leaders are hurting the party with their continuing criticism of Trump and are only slightly more convinced that those leaders want Trump to be president. 

Trump has 75% support among Republicans, nearly identical to Clinton’s 76% backing among Democrats. He has 15% of the Democratic vote; she picks up 13% GOP support. Trump holds a double-digit advantage among voters not affiliated with either major political party

Johnson gets 13% of the unaffiliated vote, but like Stein is in low single digits among Democrats and Republicans. 

Clinton continues to lead among women, while Trump has regained his advantage among men. Those under 40 still prefer the Democrat but also remain the most undecided. Older voters favor Trump. The older the voter, the more likely he or she is to be certain of their vote. 

Trump remains ahead among whites and has a slight lead among other minority voters. He appears to be making a dent in the black vote, but blacks still overwhelmingly favor Clinton....

Nearly two-out-of-three voters believe the economy is unfair to the middle class

Voters are even more likely than they’ve been in the past to say they’ll wait until Election Day to cast their vote.

Only 24%, however, say they’ve ever changed the way they were going to vote after watching the debates between presidential candidates.  

Additional information from this survey and a full demographic breakdown are available to Platinum Members only."






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