News that doesn't receive the necessary attention.

Wednesday, February 17, 2016

Trump has 15 point lead over Republican field nationwide in Suffolk University USA Today poll, Feb. 11-15, 2016, live interviews with 358 Republican primary or caucus participants also likely to vote in Nov. 2016 gen. election-Suffolk University

Trump 35
Cruz 20
Rubio 17
Kasich 7
Bush 6
Carson 4
Poll dates Feb. 11-15, 2016, live telephone interviews, error margin for subset of 358 Republican primary/caucus participants also likely to vote in Nov. 2016 general election is +/5.2. Link to poll

2/17/16, "Suffolk University/USA Today Poll Shows Clinton and Trump Holding Primary Leads," Suffolk University, Boston

"On the Republican side, Trump (35 percent) holds a solid lead over Texas Sen. Ted Cruz (20 percent) and Florida Sen. Marco Rubio (17 percent). Trailing behind are Ohio Gov. John Kasich (7 percent), former Florida Gov. Jeb Bush (6 percent), and neurosurgeon Ben Carson (4 percent), with 12 percent undecided.

"The New Hampshire primary was more than just the allocation of a few party delegates from a small state. As voters digest the results, we are finding shifts in national opinion from coast to coast," said David Paleologos, director of Suffolk University Political Research Center in Boston. “What happens next week in Nevada’s caucuses and the South Carolina primaries also will have an impact.”...

In another scenario that included former New York City Mayor Michael Bloomberg, 37 percent of voters said they would vote for Trump, 30 percent for Sanders, and 16 percent for independent Bloomberg....

The nationwide survey of 1,000 voters was conducted Feb. 11-15 using live telephone interviews of households where respondents indicated they were very or somewhat likely to vote in the 2016 general election. The margin of error is +/-3 percentage points at a 95 percent level of confidence. The margin of error for the Democratic primary/caucus subset of 319 likely voters is +/-5.5 percentage points. The margin of error for the Republican primary/caucus subset of 358 likely voters is +/5.2 percentage points. Marginals and full cross-tabulation data are posted on the Suffolk University Political Research Center website."


Added: From the poll, only 34% of respondents nationwide feel the two major political parties do a good job representing Americans. Asked of all 1000 respondents, R, D, and Independent leaners:

p. 5, question 24: "Do the two major parties–Democrat and Republican-do a good job of representing Americans’ political views, or do you think a third party or multiple parties is necessary?

Two parties-Democrat and Republican-are good enough: 33.80

A third party is necessary: 32.40

Multiple parties are necessary: 21.40

Undecided: 12.40"


Added re Suffolk USA Today poll, Trump would beat Hillary by 2 points:

2/17/2016, "Poll: Sanders has slight edge over Clinton in matchups with GOP opponents," USA Today, Susan Page and Jenny Ung

(Scroll down)

"In hypothetical matchups in the general election:

Clinton loses by 2 points to Trump (43%-45%), 1 point to Cruz (44%-45%), 6 points to Rubio (42%-48%) and 11 points to Kasich (38%-49%). That's a weaker standing than the former secretary of State showed in December's survey, when she narrowly led Trump and Cruz and trailed Rubio by just 2 points.
• Sanders loses by 1 point to Trump (43%-44%), 3 points to Kasich (41%-44%) and 4 points to Rubio (42%-46%) — each of them a slightly stronger showing than Clinton — and he leads Cruz by 2 points (44%-42%)."...

2/16/16, "Donald Trump walks onto the stage during a campaign stop on Feb. 16, 2016, in Beaufort, S.C. (Photo: Matt Rourke, AP)"


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