News that doesn't receive the necessary attention.

Thursday, November 12, 2015

Trump would be most difficult Republican for Democrats to beat in 2016 say Democrat primary voters nationwide, CBS News NY Times poll, Nov. 6-10, 2015

Trump 31
Carson 15
Bush 13
Rubio 13
Kasich 3
Cruz 2
Fiorina 2
Christie 1
Gilmore 1
"Q19. Which Republican presidential candidate do you think would be MOST difficult for the Democratic nominee to defeat in the general election in November?"

Asked of 418 Democrat primary voters, Nov. 6-10, 2015.

"CBS NEWS/NEW YORK TIMES POLL Clinton Still Leads, Trump Seen as Toughest Challenge for Democrats November 6-10, 2015"
11/12/15, "Poll: Hillary Clinton bests Sanders as the Democrats' "change" candidate,", Anthony Salvanto, Jennifer De Pinto, Sarah Dutton, Fred Backus

"Democratic primary voters think former Secretary of State Hillary Clinton, not Sen. Bernie Sanders, is the candidate more likely to bring about change if elected president, according to a new CBS News/ New York Times poll....

The nationwide poll, conducted November 6-10, finds that Democratic primary voters overwhelmingly approve of President Obama, and six in 10 want to see the Democratic nominee continue his policies.

At the same time, a plurality of Democratic primary voters (25 percent) think that bringing about needed change is the most important candidate quality from a list of five. Being honest and trustworthy is a close second (22 percent), followed by strong leadership (19 percent), the right experience (15 percent), and caring about people like me (14 percent)....

Electability vs issues...

"Far and away, Clinton remains the candidate Democratic primary voters think has the best chance of winning a general election - 76 percent say she does.

But which Republican presidential candidate would be the most challenging for the Democratic nominee? At this point, Democratic primary voters say it's Donald Trump: 31 percent say he would be the most difficult Republican for a Democratic nominee to beat. Ben Carson (15 percent) is a distant second, followed by Marco Rubio (13 percent) and Jeb Bush (13 percent).

Both Clinton and Sanders supporters view Trump as the Republican that poses the most difficult challenge."...

This poll was conducted by telephone November 6-10, 2015 among a random sample of 1,495 adults nationwide, including 1,259 registered voters. Data collection was conducted on behalf of CBS News and The New York Times by SSRS of Media, PA. Phone numbers were dialed from samples of both standard land-line and cell phones. 

The poll employed a random digit dial methodology. For the landline sample, a respondent was randomly selected from all adults in the household. For the cell sample, interviews were conducted with the person who answered the phone. 

Interviews were conducted in English and Spanish using live interviewers. 

The data have been weighted to reflect U.S. Census figures on demographic variables. 

The error due to sampling for results based on the entire sample could be plus or minus three percentage points. The error for subgroups may be higher and is available by request. The margin of error includes the effects of standard weighting procedures which enlarge sampling error slightly. 

The margin of error for the sample of 418 Democratic primary voters is 6 percentage points.

This poll release conforms to the Standards of Disclosure of the National Council on Public Polls.


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