News that doesn't receive the necessary attention.

Monday, March 21, 2016

Trump up 11 points in CBS News NY Times national poll, March 17-20, 2016. Leads Republican field by 20 points

Trump 46
Cruz 26
Kasich 20

p. 12, question 14: "Which one of these candidates would you like to see the Republican Party nominate for President in 2016?"

3/21/16, "The New York Times CBS News Poll," scribd.com

March 17-20,  2016,  362  registered  likely  Republican  primary  voters  nationwide,   6% error margin 

"Support for Trump has risen eleven points -- from 35 percent in February to 46 percent now --while support has risen eight points for Ted Cruz and nine points for John Kasich."... 

Methodology:

"This poll was conducted by telephone March 17-20, 2016 among a random sample of 1,252 adults nationwide, including 1,058 registered voters and 362 registered voters likely to vote in a Republican primary. Data collection was conducted on behalf of CBS News and the New York Times by SSRS of Media, PA. Phone numbers were dialed from samples of both standard land-line and cell phones. The poll employed a random digit dial methodology. For the landline sample, a respondent was randomly selected from all adults in the household. For the cell sample, interviews were conducted with the person who answered the phone. 

Interviews were conducted in English and Spanish using live interviewers. 

The data have been weighted to reflect U.S. Census figures on demographic variables. The error due to sampling for results based on the entire sample could be plus or minus three percentage points. The margin of error for the sample of 362 Republican primary voters could be plus or minus six percentage points. The error for other subgroups may be higher and is available by request. The margin of error includes the effects of standard weighting procedures which enlarge sampling error slightly."
 
via, 3/21/16, "CBS/NYT poll: Who's to blame for violence at Donald Trump rallies?" cbsnews.com, by Anthony Salvanto, Fred Backus, Jennifer De Pinto, Sarah Dutton

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Trump has double digit lead in two national polls released Monday, March 21, 2016. CBS News NY Times (above) and CNN ORC:

3/21/16, "Trump holds double-digit lead in 2 national polls," The Hill, Jesse Byrnes

"A pair of national polls released Monday find Donald Trump holding a double-digit lead over Republican presidential rivals John Kasich and Ted Cruz.
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Trump holds a 20-point lead in the CBS News/New York Times poll, with 46 percent support, followed by Cruz at 26 percent and Kasich at 20 percent.
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Trump is up 16 points over Cruz in the CNN/ORC International poll, holding at 47 percent followed by Cruz at 31 percent and Kasich at 17 percent.
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The results of the poll come as Kasich insists he'll stay in the GOP race, despite the urging of Cruz, and as Trump turns to focus on Democratic front-runner Hillary Clinton.
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Trump's rivals are pushing to keep him below the required 1,237 delegates needed to lock up the nomination, forcing a contested convention in the summer to select a nominee.
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The CNN/ORC poll finds Trump would see the most excitement if he were the nominee, with 40 percent of Republican and GOP-leaning independents saying they would be enthusiastic with him as the nominee.
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That compares to 28 percent voicing the same sentiment if Cruz were the nominee, and 19 percent holding the same belief of Kasich. Still, 21 percent would be "upset" if Trump was the nominee, compared to 14 percent for Cruz and 17 percent for Kasich.
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Three-quarters of GOP primary voters surveyed in the CBS/NYT poll expect Trump to be their nominee, with 35 percent saying they would enthusiastically support him, compared to 29 percent for Cruz and 27 percent for Kasich.
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The CBS/NYT survey of 1,252 adults including 1,058 registered voters and 362 Republicans was conducted March 17-20 via land lines and cellphones with an overall margin of error of 3 points.
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The CNN/ORC survey of 1,001 adults including 925 registered voters and 397 Republicans was conducted March 17-20 via land lines and cellphones with an overall margin of error of 3 points."
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http://thehill.com/blogs/ballot-box/presidential-races/273842-trump-holds-double-digit-lead-in-two-national-polls
 





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