9/26/2012, "Why Romney is losing must-win Ohio," CNN, Peter Hamby
"Polls show Mitt Romney trailing President Barack Obama in just about every one of the swing states where the 2012 campaign is being waged.
"Polls show Mitt Romney trailing President Barack Obama in just about every one of the swing states where the 2012 campaign is being waged.
So why exactly is Romney trailing?
Two surveys released in
recent days, one from the Ohio Newspaper Association and another from
The Washington Post, crystallized the challenge facing Romney as he
embarks on his second straight day of campaigning in the Buckeye State.
The topline numbers-Obama led by 5 points among likely voters in the Ohio poll, and a
startling 8 points in the Post poll -- only tell part of the story.
Romney's favorable rating
is underwater. Almost two-thirds of voters approve of Obama's decision
to bail out the auto industry, a staple of Ohio's manufacturing economy.
The president leads Romney by a wide margin on the question of who
would do more to help the middle class.
And when voters are asked
which candidate would do a better job handling the economy, Obama has a
sturdy lead, undercutting the thematic premise of Romney's candidacy.
Interviews with some two
dozen Republican strategists and elected officials across Ohio revealed
an array of explanations--and no easy answers--for Romney's failure
to catch on there.
Some pointed to the
Obama campaign's aggressive effort to hang Romney's opposition to the
federal bailout of Chrysler and General Motors around his neck. Others
said a hangover remains from the divisive 2011 battle over collective
bargaining rights that hurt the GOP's standing with working class
voters.
A handful of GOP strategists blamed Romney's standing on campaign staffers who aren't Ohio natives.
One longtime Republican
strategist griped about the "arrogant top-down" approach of the Romney
team and said they have done a poor job listening to the advice of savvy
Ohio strategists -- a charge rebuffed by Romney aides who point out
that field staffers from the Ohio offices of Sen. Rob Portman and House
Speaker John Boehner have come on board.
Still others cited
Romney's lackluster political skills and said his stiff CEO demeanor as a
turnoff for Ohioans, with one Republican officeholder saying that
former Mississippi Gov. Haley Barbour wasn't far off when he said
recently that Romney is being caricatured as "a plutocrat married to a
known equestrian."
The main criticism that emerged, though, is that Romney is man without a message.
"We are still at a point
where I think it's still a winnable race for Romney," said Ohio
Attorney General Mike DeWine. "Generally when you talk people, there is a
feeling that Obama hasn't done that great a job. But Romney hasn't made
the sale. He still can. But he hasn't made the sale yet."
Another statewide
Republican officeholder who-like others interviewed for this article-did not want to be identified criticizing the Republican ticket,
offered a blunter assessment....
"Why is Mitt Romney running for president and what will his presidency be about?" the
official asked. "I don't think most Republicans in Ohio can answer that
question. He has not made a compelling case for his candidacy. Don't
make your campaign about marginal tax rates. Make it about your children
and your grandchildren and the future of this country."
Romney is adjusting. The
campaign, prevented from spending general election funds until after
the Republican National Convention concluded in late August, launched
its first statewide television buy of the campaign last week.
The former Massachusetts
governor has also intensified his rhetoric on trade, long a potent
issue in Ohio, accusing the president of failing to stand up to China
and costing Americans jobs.
But Romney's argument du
jour -- he has spent a week attacking the president's handling of
foreign policy and the recent turmoil in the Middle East -- isn't likely
to resonate in Ohio as much as a concise and aggressive jobs-themed
message, Republicans said.
Several Ohio GOP operatives even credited the Obama campaign for presenting a more consistent economic argument.
Obama forces have
persistently reminded voters about the auto bailout -- on television and
in small-scale earned media events around the state -- and Republicans
faulted Romney for failing to develop a succinct response to the
criticism in a state where one out of every eight jobs is tied to the
auto sector.
Romney wrote a New York
Times op-ed in 2008 titled "Let Detroit Go Bankrupt" and argued for a
managed bankruptcy for the industry, without the use of government
funds. In May, he took credit for proposing the bankruptcy idea. In
August, he tapped a running mate, Wisconsin Rep. Paul Ryan, who voted in
favor of bailout.
Meanwhile, the Obama
campaign has aired multiple TV ads on the issue and synced their
pro-bailout message with down-ballot Democratic candidates such as Sen.
Sherrod Brown.
Labor organizations are
leaving thousands of bailout-themed doorknob hangers and making phone
calls to union members highlighting Obama's support for the auto
industry.
According to The
Washington Post poll, 64% of Ohio registered voters view the federal
loans to GM and Chrysler as "mostly good" for the state's economy. Only
29% said the bailout was "mostly bad."
Putting a finer point on
the matter, one longtime Ohio GOP strategist called Obama's advantage
on the auto bailout "a kick in the balls" for the Romney campaign....
"Nobody will win Ohio by
5," said Mark Weaver, a Republican consultant with more than two
decades of campaign experience in the state. "Anybody who tells you that
doesn't know Ohio."...
Weaver complimented the
Romney campaign effort and predicted a 2-point victory for Republicans
in November but advised the GOP nominee to spend more time in the state
and rely less on scripted remarks before large crowds.
"I think they need to
get Romney here in Ohio more, and talking off the cuff more," he said.
"I think he is a sincere guy, and I think the more he talks off the
cuff, the more people will like him."
Another Ohio Republican
strategist said Romney should begin dispatching his wife, Ann, to the
suburbs of Cleveland and Columbus, where there is "room for improvement"
-- a nice way of saying that Obama has a double-digit lead among women
voters in Ohio, according to the Post poll."...
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Links within above 2012 article:
Poll: Brown ahead of GOP challenger in Ohio Senate race
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Ed. note: Please excuse wide spaces between paragraphs. Google dislikes free speech. They're on tilt nowadays.
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Ed. note: Please excuse wide spaces between paragraphs. Google dislikes free speech. They're on tilt nowadays.
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