News that doesn't receive the necessary attention.

Thursday, October 15, 2015

Trump up 11 points to 32 topping second straight NJ Rutgers-Eagleton Poll, October 3-10, 2015, more than double nearest Republican competitor-NJ Advance Media

Trump 32
Carson 13
Rubio 13
Cruz 6
Bush 5
Christie 5
Fiorina 5
Kasich 2
Huckabee 1
Pataki 1














Chart above: "New Jersey Republicans and Republican-leaning voters," Rutgers-Eagleton Polls

10/15/15, "TRUMP STILL LEADS GOP FIELD IN NEW JERSEY, CHRISTIE FALLS WELL BEHIND; VOTERS TO CHRISTIE: END CAMPAIGN," Rutgers-Eagleton Center for Public Interest Polling, New Brunswick, NJ

Page 6, NJ trends
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Poll dates Oct. 3-10, 2015. 273 NJ Registered Republicans, 6.6 margin of error, land lines and cell phones.

10/15/15, "Rutgers Poll: 67% of New Jerseyans Want Christie to End Prez Campaign," politickernj.com, by

2016 Republican presidential candidate Gov. Chris Christie has plummeted among his own party’s preferences in his home state of New Jersey, according to today’s Rutgers-Eagleton Poll.

Similar to national polls, 32 percent of New Jersey Republican and GOP-leaning registered voters choose businessman Donald Trump for their party’s nomination. Trump tops the list for the second straight Rutgers-Eagleton Poll. For his part, Christie’s New Jersey GOP support has been cut in half since August, when he was in second place at 12 percent. With just 5 percent of Republican voters naming him, Christie now trails Dr. Ben Carson and Florida Sen. Marco Rubio, both at 13 percent, and Texas Sen. Ted Cruz at 6 percent. While tied when results are rounded, he comes in sixth in mentions between former CEO Carly Fiorina and former Florida Gov. Jeb Bush, each also at 5 percent....

Other Republican candidates have been led by Trump in their home states’ polls, but virtually all still come in second or third,” said Ashley Koning, assistant director of the Eagleton Center for Public Interest Polling at Rutgers University. “Christie no longer has any home state advantage."...

Results are from a statewide poll of 935 adults contacted by live callers on both landlines and cell phones from October 3 to 10, 2015, including 781 registered voters reported on in this release. The registered voter sample has a margin of error of +/-3.9 percentage points. The GOP subsample of 273 voters has a margin of error of +/-6.6 percentage points, while the subsample of 367 Democrats is +/- 5.7 percentage points. Interviews were done in English and, when requested, Spanish."

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10/15/15, "N.J. Republicans souring on Christie for president, poll finds," by Matt Arco | NJ Advance Media for NJ.com, Tuftonboro, NH

"According to a Rutgers-Eagleton Poll released Thursday, Christie ranks behind five other GOP presidential contenders in Garden State state support from Republicans and GOP-leaning voters....

With Trump still leading in New Jersey at 32 percent of support from Republican and GOP-leaning voters, Christie — at 5 percent — now trails retired neurosurgeon Ben Carson and Florida Sen. Marco Rubio, tied at 13 percent, and U.S. Sen. Ted Cruz of Texas, who's at 6 percent, according to the poll. Christie is tied with businesswoman Carly Fiorina and former Florida Gov. Jeb Bush.

"Other Republican candidates have been led by Trump in their home states' polls, but virtually all still come in second or third," said Ashley Koning, assistant director of the Eagleton Center for Public Interest Polling at Rutgers University. "Christie no longer has any home state advantage," she said. "The voters who know him best blame not his competition but what Christie himself is doing, or not doing, for New Jersey."

Making matters worse, 60 percent believe Christie should end his campaign, compared to only 27 percent who think he should continue to run, according to the survey. Only 9 percent say Christie's prospects have recently improved....

The newest survey polled 935 adults from Oct. 3 to 10, including 781 registered voters. The registered voter sample has a margin of error of plus or minus 3.9 percentage points. The GOP subsample of 273 voters has a margin of error of plus or minus 6.6 percentage points."
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NJ Republican Party left to twist in the wind faces loss of seats across the state:

10/15/15, "Election Cycle Marred by Statewide Troubles for the GOP," politickernj.com, by

"This year the New Jersey Republican Party has been floundering. This cycle has been marked by few funds raised in some of the more competitive districts, scandals that have seemingly crippled candidates and infighting due to a lack of perceived support from county officials.

With Governor Chris Christie campaigning heavily around the country for his own presidential run, some are wondering if his absence is negatively impacting the overall state of New Jersey GOP. Others think that the issues in the party revolve around other factors while some believe that there is no underlying issue and the party is not disjointed.

According to Montclair University political scientist Brigid Harrison, Christie’s lack of effort to unite the party in his state is a central reason why the party might be on track to lose seats across the state.

“I think that from the outset of Governor Christie’s tenure as governor, there were great expectations in terms of his ability to lead the political party in New Jersey,” Harrison said. “I think you would be hard pressed to find a Republican in the state that would argue that he has lived up to those expectations.”

Harrison continued:He has failed to support many of the down ballot candidates in some of the past state legislative elections and, obviously, this year. There were great expectations in terms of his ability to raise money for state and county Republican candidates and buy and large that has fallen short as well.”

According to Harrison, many of Christie’s responsibilities have fallen to Assembly Minority Leader Jon Bramnick—who on Wednesday said he takes responsibility for Bergen’s Anthony Cappola fiasco—and Lieutenant Governor Kim Guadagno. Recently, Rutgers released a poll showing that Christie’s popularity as a presidential candidate was at a low point. Harrison thinks that the lack of excitement about him as leached into the reputation of other candidates.

“Lt. Gov Guadagno and Jon Bramnick are doing the best that they can but they are also facing the obstacle of Christie’s lack of popularity in the state which I think many Republicans and many donors view as a disadvantage to some of the assembly candidates this year,” she said."...



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