Poll dates, Oct. 15-18, 2015. Asked of 423 registered voters who "lean Republican." Margin of error 5.5. Telephone poll.
10/21/15, "Trump leads in Expectations, Shows Strength in Attributes," ABC News Washington Post poll
"Donald Trump leads the Republican presidential field in the latest ABC News/Washington Post poll, not only in vote preferences but in expectations as well-a remarkable feat for the non-politician who’s surprised the GOP establishment with his staying power as well as his support. Trump has leveled off with backing from 32 percent of Republicans and Republican-leaning independents who are registered to vote, easily enough to retain his frontrunner status. Fellow outsider Ben Carson follows with 22 percent, also flat this month after sharp summertime gains. Notably, even more leaned Republicans, 42 percent, say they expect Trump to win the GOP nomination for president. And given a list of six potential nominees, 43 percent pick Trump as having the best chance to win the general election just more than a year from now.
Trump also fares well on many key attributes. Nearly half of leaned Republicans, 47 percent, view him as the strongest leader; 39 percent think he'd be best able to handle immigration; 32 percent feel he is closest to them on the issues; and 29 percent say he “best understands the problems of people like you.” In each case he leads the other top-five contenders for the nomination, Carson, Marco Rubio, Jeb Bush, Ted Cruz and Carly Fiorina."...
10/21/15, "Donald Trump Leads in Expectations, Shows Strength on Attributes (POLL)," ABC News, Julie Phelan