Carson 22
Bush 8
Rubio 8
Huckabee 5
Paul 5
Christie 4
Cruz 4
Fiorina 4
Kasich 3
Santorum 2
Graham 1
10/14-10/17/15, 465 registered Republicans or R leaning independents, 4.5% error margin, telephone poll
10/20/15, "Poll: Trump, Carson dominate GOP field as Fiorina falters," CNN, Jennifer Agiesta
"Donald Trump and Ben Carson now stand alone at the top of the Republican field, as Carly Fiorina's brief foray into the top tier of candidates seeking the GOP nomination for president appears to have ended, a new CNN/ORC poll finds.
Fiorina has lost 11 points in the last month, declining from 15% support and second place to 4% and a tie for seventh place....
No
other candidates made significant gains since the last CNN/ORC poll
conducted just after the Republican debate hosted by CNN and the Ronald
Reagan Presidential Library.
Overall, Trump's 27% leads the field,
followed by Carson at 22%, both head and shoulders above their nearest
competition. Former Florida Gov. Jeb Bush and Florida Sen. Marco Rubio
are tied for third place with 8% support each, followed by former
Arkansas Gov. Mike Huckabee and Kentucky Sen. Rand Paul each at 5%.
Fiorina, New Jersey Gov. Chris Christie and Texas Sen. Ted Cruz each
have 4% support, while Ohio Gov. John Kasich is at 3%. Former
Pennsylvania Sen. Rick Santorum stands at 2% and South Carolina Sen.
Lindsey Graham holds 1%.
The new poll
comes amid a flurry of polling being released about a week before the
GOP candidates will again meet on the debate stage. The polling criteria
set by the organizers of that debate, set to take place October 28,
appear likely to result in 10 candidates taking the main stage....
Fiorina's decline comes
across the demographic and political spectrum, with her support now
topping out at 8% among those with college degrees. Last month, she
stood at 22% among the same group. Fiorina has dropped 11 points among
women and 12 points among men, fallen 18 points among independents, 17
points among those age 50 or older, and 15 points among conservatives.
The
poll finds Republican voters increasingly satisfied with their field of
choices, 32% say they are "very satisfied" with the group of candidates
running for president, up from 23% in July. Republicans also remain
more enthusiastic about the presidential race than Democratic voters. In
the new poll, 68% of Republican voters say they are extremely or very
enthusiastic about voting for president in next year's election,
compared with 58% among Democratic voters....
Trump's support among the
enthusiastic voters is 30%, with Carson at 25%, while Bush's support
dips to just 3%. Among those who say they are "somewhat enthusiastic" or
less, 22% back Trump, 16% back Carson and 15% back Bush....
A
gender gap has reemerged in the data in the last month, with Carson
matching Trump's support among women (23% back each) with Bush behind at
9%, Huckabee at 7% and Fiorina and Rubio each at 6% among GOP women.
Trump
has larger edges over Carson among men (31% to 21%, with Rubio at 10%)
and independents who lean toward the Republican Party (32% Trump to 19%
Carson).
The
CNN/ORC Poll was conducted by telephone October 14-17 among a random
national sample of 1,028 adults. Results among the 465 registered voters
who say they are Republicans or independents who lean toward the
Republican Party have a margin of sampling error of plus or minus 4.5
percentage points."
..............................
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