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Sunday, October 25, 2015

Trump leads in New Hampshire with triple nearest competitor in Republican field, CBS News YouGov poll, Oct. 15-22, 2015

Trump 38  
Carson 12  
Bush 8  
Fiorina 7  
Rubio 7  
Cruz 5  
Kasich 5  
Paul 4
Christie 2  
Graham 1  
Santorum 1

10/25/15, "CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker, New Hampshire," YouGov

496 Likely Republican Primary Voters

Conducted October 15-22, 2015, Margin of Error ±6.6%. Methodology, online interviews

"1. First Choice Republican Candidate

Among Trump's gifts to the Republican Party are voters under age 30:
.............................

Age 18-29

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Bush 18%
Carson 6%
Trump 27%

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Age 30-44

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Bush 4%
Carson 16%
Trump 45%

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Age 45-64

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Bush 6%
Carson 10%
Trump 41%

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Age 65+

.............................

Bush 10%
Carson 18%
Trump 30%

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CBS News YouGov poll Methodology:

Online interviews of registered voters, some contacted by phone:

"The CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker is a panel study based on interviews conducted on the internet of registered voters in Iowa, New Hampshire, and South Carolina. The poll was conducted by YouGov, an online polling organization.

The first wave was fielded between September 3-10, 2015, with 4860 respondents, and the second wave fieldwork was completed between October 15-22, 2015, with 3952 respondents, the majority of which are recontacts. Respondents were selected from YouGovs and two other online panels. These are “opt-in” panels which are open for anyone to join. However, YouGov also randomly selected persons from voter registration lists who had previously voted in primary elections and contacted them by phone. A total of 20017 registered voters were contacted by phone and the YouGov sample includes 1290 phone recruits."   


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