7/24/17, "Intel Vets Challenge ‘Russia Hack’ Evidence," Consortium News
"In a memo to President Trump, a group of former U.S. intelligence
officers, including NSA specialists, cite new forensic studies to
challenge the claim of the key Jan. 6 “assessment” that Russia “hacked”
Democratic emails last year."
"MEMORANDUM FOR: The President
FROM: Veteran Intelligence Professionals for Sanity (VIPS)
SUBJECT: Was the “Russian Hack” an Inside Job?
Forensic studies of “Russian hacking” into Democratic National
Committee computers last year reveal that on July 5, 2016, data was leaked (not hacked) by a person with physical access to DNC computers, and then doctored to incriminate Russia.
After examining metadata from the “Guccifer 2.0” July 5, 2016
intrusion into the DNC server, independent cyber investigators have
concluded that an insider copied DNC data onto an external storage
device, and that “telltale signs” implicating Russia were then inserted.
Key among the findings of the independent forensic investigations is
the conclusion that the DNC data was copied onto a storage device at a speed that far exceeds an Internet capability for a remote hack. Of
equal importance, the forensics show that the copying and doctoring
were performed on the East coast of the U.S. Thus far, mainstream media
have ignored the findings of these independent studies [see here and here].
Independent analyst Skip Folden, a retired IBM Program Manager for
Information Technology US, who examined the recent forensic findings, is
a co-author of this Memorandum. He has drafted a more detailed
technical report titled “Cyber-Forensic Investigation of ‘Russian Hack’
and Missing Intelligence Community Disclaimers,” and sent it to the
offices of the Special Counsel and the Attorney General. VIPS member
William Binney, a former Technical Director at the National Security
Agency, and other senior NSA “alumni” in VIPS attest to the
professionalism of the independent forensic findings.
The recent forensic studies fill in a critical gap. Why the FBI
neglected to perform any independent forensics on the original “Guccifer
2.0” material remains a mystery – as does the lack of any sign that the
“hand-picked analysts” from the FBI, CIA, and NSA, who wrote the
“Intelligence Community Assessment” dated January 6, 2017, gave any
attention to forensics.
NOTE: There has been so much conflation of charges
about hacking that we wish to make very clear the primary focus of this
Memorandum. We focus specifically on the July 5, 2016 alleged Guccifer
2.0 “hack” of the DNC server. In earlier VIPS memoranda we addressed the
lack of any evidence connecting the Guccifer 2.0 alleged hacks and
WikiLeaks, and we asked President Obama specifically to disclose any
evidence that WikiLeaks received DNC data from the Russians [see here and here].
Addressing this point at his last press conference (January 18), he
described “the conclusions of the intelligence community” as “not
conclusive,” even though the Intelligence Community Assessment of
January 6 expressed “high confidence” that Russian intelligence “relayed
material it acquired from the DNC…to WikiLeaks.”
Obama’s admission came as no surprise to us. It has long been clear
to us that the reason the U.S. government lacks conclusive evidence of a
transfer of a “Russian hack” to WikiLeaks is because there was no such
transfer. Based mostly on the cumulatively unique technical experience
of our ex-NSA colleagues, we have been saying for almost a year that the
DNC data reached WikiLeaks via a copy/leak by a DNC insider (but almost
certainly not the same person who copied DNC data on July 5, 2016).
From the information available, we conclude that the same inside-DNC, copy/leak process was used at two different times, by two different entities, for two distinctly different purposes:
-(1) an inside leak to WikiLeaks before Julian Assange announced on
June 12, 2016, that he had DNC documents and planned to publish them
(which he did on July 22) – the presumed objective being to expose
strong DNC bias toward the Clinton candidacy; and
-(2) a separate leak on July 5, 2016, to pre-emptively taint anything
WikiLeaks might later publish by “showing” it came from a “Russian
* * *
This is our first VIPS Memorandum for you, but we have a history of
letting U.S. Presidents know when we think our former intelligence
colleagues have gotten something important wrong, and why. For example,
our first such memorandum,
a same-day commentary for President George W. Bush on Colin Powell’s
U.N. speech on February 5, 2003, warned that the “unintended
consequences were likely to be catastrophic,” should the U.S. attack
Iraq and “justfy” the war on intelligence that we retired intelligence
officers could readily see as fraudulent and driven by a war agenda.
The January 6 “Intelligence Community Assessment” by “hand-picked”
analysts from the FBI, CIA, and NSA seems to fit into the same
agenda-driven category. It is largely based on an “assessment,” not
supported by any apparent evidence, that a shadowy entity with the
moniker “Guccifer 2.0” hacked the DNC on behalf of Russian intelligence
and gave DNC emails to WikiLeaks.
The recent forensic findings mentioned above have put a huge dent in
that assessment and cast serious doubt on the underpinnings of the
extraordinarily successful campaign to blame the Russian government for
hacking. The pundits and politicians who have led the charge against
Russian “meddling” in the U.S. election can be expected to try to cast
doubt on the forensic findings, if they ever do bubble up into the
mainstream media. But the principles of physics don’t lie; and the
technical limitations of today’s Internet are widely understood. We are
prepared to answer any substantive challenges on their merits.
You may wish to ask CIA Director Mike Pompeo what he knows about
this. Our own lengthy intelligence community experience suggests that it
is possible that neither former CIA Director John Brennan, nor the
cyber-warriors who worked for him, have been completely candid with
their new director regarding how this all went down.
Copied, Not Hacked
As indicated above, the independent forensic work just completed focused on data copied (not hacked)
by a shadowy persona named “Guccifer 2.0.” The forensics reflect what
seems to have been a desperate effort to “blame the Russians” for
publishing highly embarrassing DNC emails three days before the
Democratic convention last July. Since the content of the DNC emails
reeked of pro-Clinton bias, her campaign saw an overriding need to
divert attention from content to provenance – as in, who “hacked” those
DNC emails? The campaign was enthusiastically supported by a compliant
“mainstream” media; they are still on a roll.
“The Russians” were the ideal culprit. And, after WikiLeaks editor
Julian Assange announced on June 12, 2016, “We have emails related to
Hillary Clinton which are pending publication,” her campaign had more
than a month before the convention to insert its own “forensic facts”
and prime the media pump to put the blame on “Russian meddling.” Mrs.
Clinton’s PR chief Jennifer Palmieri has explained how she used golf
carts to make the rounds at the convention. She wrote
that her “mission was to get the press to focus on something even we
found difficult to process: the prospect that Russia had not only hacked
and stolen emails from the DNC, but that it had done so to help Donald
Trump and hurt Hillary Clinton.”
Independent cyber-investigators have now completed the kind of
forensic work that the intelligence assessment did not do. Oddly, the
“hand-picked” intelligence analysts contented themselves with
“assessing” this and “assessing” that. In contrast, the investigators
dug deep and came up with verifiable evidence from metadata found in the
record of the alleged Russian hack.
They found that the purported “hack” of the DNC by Guccifer 2.0 was
not a hack, by Russia or anyone else. Rather it originated with a copy
(onto an external storage device – a thumb drive, for example) by an
insider. The data was leaked after being doctored with a cut-and-paste
job to implicate Russia. We do not know who or what the murky Guccifer
2.0 is. You may wish to ask the FBI.
The Time Sequence
June 12, 2016: Assange announces WikiLeaks is about to publish “emails related to Hillary Clinton.”
June 15, 2016: DNC contractor Crowdstrike, (with a
dubious professional record and multiple conflicts of interest)
announces that malware has been found on the DNC server and claims there
is evidence it was injected by Russians.
June 15, 2016: On the same day, “Guccifer 2.0”
affirms the DNC statement; claims responsibility for the “hack;” claims
to be a WikiLeaks source; and posts a document that the forensics show
was synthetically tainted with “Russian fingerprints.”
We do not think that the June 12 and 15 timing was pure
coincidence. Rather, it suggests the start of a pre-emptive move to
associate Russia with anything WikiLeaks might have been about to
publish and to “show” that it came from a Russian hack.
The Key Event
July 5, 2016: In the early evening, Eastern Daylight
Time, someone working in the EDT time zone with a computer directly
connected to the DNC server or DNC Local Area Network, copied 1,976
MegaBytes of data in 87 seconds onto an external storage device. That speed is many times faster than what is physically possible with a hack.
It thus appears that the purported “hack” of the DNC by Guccifer 2.0
(the self-proclaimed WikiLeaks source) was not a hack by Russia or
anyone else, but was rather a copy of DNC data onto an external storage
device. Moreover, the forensics performed on the metadata reveal there
was a subsequent synthetic insertion – a cut-and-paste job using a
Russian template, with the clear aim of attributing the data to a
“Russian hack.” This was all performed in the East Coast time zone.
“Obfuscation and De-obfuscation”
Mr. President, the disclosure described below may be related. Even if
it is not, it is something we think you should be made aware of in this
general connection. On March 7, 2017, WikiLeaks began to publish a
trove of original CIA documents that WikiLeaks labeled “Vault
7.” WikiLeaks said it got the trove from a current or former CIA
contractor and described it as comparable in scale and significance to
the information Edward Snowden gave to reporters in 2013.
No one has challenged the authenticity of the original documents of
Vault 7, which disclosed a vast array of cyber warfare tools developed,
probably with help from NSA, by CIA’s Engineering Development
Group. That Group was part of the sprawling CIA Directorate of Digital
Innovation – a growth industry established by John Brennan in 2015.
Scarcely imaginable digital tools – that can take control of your car
and make it race over 100 mph, for example, or can enable remote spying
through a TV – were described and duly reported in the New York Times
and other media throughout March. But the Vault 7, part 3 release on
March 31 that exposed the “Marble Framework” program apparently was
judged too delicate to qualify as “news fit to print” and was kept out
of the Times.
The Washington Post’s Ellen Nakashima, it seems, “did not get the
memo” in time. Her March 31 article bore the catching (and accurate)
headline: “WikiLeaks’ latest release of CIA cyber-tools could blow the cover on agency hacking operations.”
The WikiLeaks release indicated that Marble was designed for flexible
and easy-to-use “obfuscation,” and that Marble source code includes a
“deobfuscator” to reverse CIA text obfuscation.
More important, the CIA reportedly used Marble during 2016. In her
Washington Post report, Nakashima left that out, but did include another
significant point made by WikiLeaks; namely, that the obfuscation tool
could be used to conduct a “forensic attribution double game” or
false-flag operation because it included test samples in Chinese,
Russian, Korean, Arabic and Farsi.
The CIA’s reaction was neuralgic. Director Mike Pompeo lashed out two
weeks later, calling Assange and his associates “demons,” and
insisting, “It’s time to call out WikiLeaks for what it really is, a
non-state hostile intelligence service, often abetted by state actors
Mr. President, we do not know if CIA’s Marble Framework, or tools
like it, played some kind of role in the campaign to blame Russia for
hacking the DNC. Nor do we know how candid the denizens of CIA’s Digital
Innovation Directorate have been with you and with Director
Pompeo. These are areas that might profit from early White House review.
Putin and the Technology
We also do not know if you have discussed cyber issues in any detail
with President Putin. In his interview with NBC’s Megyn Kelly, he seemed
quite willing – perhaps even eager – to address issues related to the
kind of cyber tools revealed in the Vault 7 disclosures, if only to
indicate he has been briefed on them. Putin pointed out that today’s
technology enables hacking to be “masked and camouflaged to an extent
that no one can understand the origin” [of the hack] … And, vice versa,
it is possible to set up any entity or any individual that everyone will
think that they are the exact source of that attack.”
“Hackers may be anywhere,” he said. “There may be hackers,
by the way, in the United States who very craftily and professionally
passed the buck to Russia. Can’t you imagine such a scenario?…I can.”
Full Disclosure: Over recent decades the ethos of
our intelligence profession has eroded in the public mind to the point
that agenda-free analysis is deemed well nigh impossible. Thus, we add
this disclaimer, which applies to everything we in VIPS say and do: We
have no political agenda; our sole purpose is to spread truth around
and, when necessary, hold to account our former intelligence colleagues.
We speak and write without fear or favor. Consequently, any
resemblance between what we say and what presidents, politicians and
pundits say is purely coincidental. The fact we find it is necessary to
include that reminder speaks volumes about these highly politicized
times. This is our 50th VIPS Memorandum since the afternoon of Powell’s speech at the UN. Live links to the 49 past memos can be found at https://consortiumnews.com/vips-memos/."
"FOR THE STEERING GROUP, VETERAN INTELLIGENCE PROFESSIONALS FOR SANITY
William Binney, former NSA Technical Director for World Geopolitical and Military Analysis; Co-founder of NSA’s Signals Intelligence
Automation Research Center
Skip Folden, independent analyst, retired IBM Program Manager for Information Technology US (Associate VIPS)
Matthew Hoh, former Capt., USMC, Iraq and Foreign Service Officer, Afghanistan (associate VIPS)
Michael S. Kearns, Air Force Intelligence Officer (Ret.), Master SERE Resistance to Interrogation Instructor
John Kiriakou, Former CIA Counterterrorism Officer and former Senior Investigator, Senate Foreign Relations Committee
Linda Lewis, WMD preparedness policy analyst, USDA (ret.)
Lisa Ling, TSgt USAF (ret.) (associate VIPS)
Edward Loomis, Jr., former NSA Technical Director for the Office of Signals Processing
David MacMichael, National Intelligence Council (ret.)
Ray McGovern, former U.S. Army Infantry/Intelligence officer and CIA analyst
Elizabeth Murray, former Deputy National Intelligence Officer for Middle East, CIA
Coleen Rowley, FBI Special Agent and former Minneapolis Division Legal Counsel (ret.)
Cian Westmoreland, former USAF Radio Frequency Transmission Systems
Technician and Unmanned Aircraft Systems whistleblower (Associate VIPS)
Kirk Wiebe, former Senior Analyst, SIGINT Automation Research Center, NSA
Sarah G. Wilton, Intelligence Officer, DIA (ret.); Commander, US Naval Reserve (ret.)
Ann Wright, U.S. Army Reserve Colonel (ret) and former U.S. Diplomat"
Added: July 9, 2017 article by Craig Murray
7/9/2017, "‘Russiagate’: The Stink Without a Secret," WashingtonsBlog.com, by Craig Murray
"By Craig Murray, former British intelligence officer,
former UK ambassador to Uzbekistan, and Rector (i.e. Chancellor) of the
University of Dundee. Originally published at CraigMurray.org.uk."
"After six solid months of coordinated allegation from the mainstream
media allied to the leadership of state security institutions, not one
single scrap of solid evidence for Trump/Russia election hacking has
I do not support Donald Trump. I do support truth. There is much
about Trump that I dislike intensely. Neither do I support the
neo-liberal political establishment in the USA. The latter’s control of
the mainstream media, and cunning manipulation of identity politics,
seeks to portray the neo-liberal establishment as the heroes of decent
values against Trump. Sadly, the idea that the neo-liberal establishment
embodies decent values is completely untrue.
Truth disappeared so long ago in this witch-hunt that it is no longer
even possible to define what the accusation is. Belief in “Russian
hacking” of the US election has been elevated to a generic accusation of
a vague malaise we are told is floating
poisonously in the ether, but we are not allowed to analyze.
the Russians actually do?
The original, base accusation is that it was the Russians who hacked
the DNC and Podesta emails and passed them to WikiLeaks. (I can assure
you that is untrue).
The authenticity of those emails is not in question. What they
revealed of cheating by the Democratic establishment in biasing the
primaries against Bernie Sanders, led to the forced resignation of
Debbie Wasserman Shultz as chair of the Democratic National Committee.
They also led to the resignation from CNN of Donna Brazile, who had
passed debate questions in advance to Clinton. Those are facts. They
actually happened. Let us hold on to those facts, as we surf through
lies. There was other nasty Clinton Foundation and cash for access stuff
in the emails, but we do not even need to go there for the purpose of
The original “Russian hacking” allegation was that it was the
Russians who nefariously obtained these damning emails and passed them
to WikiLeaks. The “evidence” for this was twofold. A report from private
cyber security firm Crowdstrike claimed that metadata showed that the
hackers had left behind clues, including the name of the founder of the
Soviet security services. The second piece of evidence was that a
blogger named Guccifer2 and a website called DNCLeaks appeared to have
access to some of the material around the same time that WikiLeaks did,
and that Guccifer2 could be Russian.
That is it. To this day, that is the sum total of actual “evidence”
of Russian hacking. I won’t say hang on to it as a fact, because it
contains no relevant fact. But at least it is some form of definable
allegation of something happening, rather than “Russian hacking” being a
simple article of faith like the Holy Trinity.
But there are a number of problems that prevent this being fact at all. Nobody has ever been able to refute the evidence of Bill Binney,
former Technical Director of the NSA who designed its current
surveillance systems. Bill has stated that the capability of the NSA is
such, that if the DNC computers had been hacked, the NSA would be able
to trace the actual packets of that information as those emails traveled
over the Internet, and give a precise time, to the second, for the
hack. The NSA simply do not have the event – because there wasn’t one. I
know Bill personally and am quite certain of his integrity.
As we have been repeatedly told, “17 intelligence agencies” sign up
to the “Russian hacking”, yet all these king’s horses and all these
king’s men have been unable to produce any evidence whatsoever of the
purported “hack”. Largely because they are not in fact trying. Here is
another actual fact I wish you to hang on to: The Democrats have refused
the intelligence agencies access to their servers to discover what
actually happened. I am going to say that again.
The Democrats have refused the intelligence agencies access to their servers to discover what actually happened.
The heads of the intelligence community have said that they regard
the report from Crowdstrike – the Clinton aligned private cyber security
firm – as adequate. Despite the fact that the Crowdstrike report
plainly proves nothing whatsoever and is based entirely on an initial
presumption there must have been a hack, as opposed to an internal
Not actually examining the obvious evidence has been a key tool in
keeping the “Russian hacking” meme going.
On 24 May the Guardian reported triumphantly, following the Washington Post, that
“Fox News falsely alleged federal authorities had found thousands
of emails between Rich and WikiLeaks, when in fact law enforcement
officials disputed that Rich’s laptop had even been in possession of, or
examined by, the FBI.”
It evidently did not occur to the Guardian as troubling, that those
pretending to be investigating the murder of Seth Rich have not looked
at his laptop.
There is a very plain pattern here of agencies promoting the notion
of a fake “Russian crime”, while failing to take the most basic and
obvious initial steps if they were really investigating its existence. I
might add to that, there has been no contact with me at all by those
supposedly investigating. I could tell them these were leaks not hacks.
WikiLeaks The clue is in the name.
So those “17 agencies” are not really investigating but are prepared
to endorse weird Crowdstrike claims, like the idea that Russia’s
security services are so amateur as to leave fingerprints with the name
of their founder. If the Russians fed the material to WikiLeaks, why
would they also set up a vainglorious persona like Guccifer2 who leaves
obvious Russia pointing clues all over the place?
Of course we need to add from the WikiLeaks “Vault 7” leak release,
information that the CIA specifically deploys technology that leaves
behind fake fingerprints of a Russian computer hacking operation.
Crowdstrike have a general anti-Russian attitude. They published a
report seeking to allege that the same Russian entities which “had
hacked” the DNC were involved in targeting for Russian artillery in the
Ukraine. This has been utterly discredited.
Some of the more crazed “Russiagate” allegations have been quietly
dropped. The mainstream media are hoping we will all forget their
breathless endorsement of the reports of the charlatan Christopher
Steele, a former middle ranking MI6 man with very limited contacts that
he milked to sell lurid gossip to wealthy and gullible corporations. I confess I rather admire his chutzpah.
Given there is no hacking in the Russian hacking story, the charges
have moved wider into a vague miasma of McCarthyite anti-Russian
hysteria. Does anyone connected to Trump know any Russians? Do they have
business links with Russian finance?
Of course they do. Trump is part of the worldwide oligarch class
whose financial interests are woven into a vast worldwide network that
enslaves pretty well the rest of us. As are the Clintons and the owners
of the mainstream media who are stoking up the anti-Russian hysteria. It
is all good for their armaments industry interests, in both Washington
Trump’s judgment is appalling. His sackings or inappropriate directions to people over this subject may damage him.
The old Watergate related wisdom is that it is not the crime that
gets you, it is the cover-up. But there is a fundamental difference
here. At the center of Watergate there was an actual burglary. At the
center of Russian hacking there is a void, a hollow, and emptiness, an
abyss, a yawning chasm. There is nothing there.
Those who believe that opposition to Trump justifies whipping up
anti-Russian hysteria on a massive scale, on the basis of lies, are
wrong. I remain positive that the movement Bernie Sanders started will
bring a new dawn to America in the next few years. That depends on
political campaigning by people on the ground and on social media.
Leveraging falsehoods and cold war hysteria through mainstream media in
an effort to somehow get Clinton back to power is not a viable
alternative. It is a fantasy and even were it practical, I would not
want it to succeed."
News that doesn't receive the necessary attention.
Monday, July 24, 2017
DNC emails were leaked--not hacked--per investigation of forensic evidence. Leaker was on US East Coast. June 12, Assange announces intent to publish DNC emails. June 15: Media reports DNC contractor CrowdStrike says Russian gov. took emails-7/24/17 Veteran Intelligence Professionals in memo to Pres. Trump, following earlier memo to former Pres. Obama on same subject
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