UN Climate summary pre-Durban is by politicians & lawyers not scientists, oh yeah it'll be bad, trust us-Der Spiegel

"Politicians had high expectations for the new IPCC report on extreme weather.... Neither the new report nor its summary can be read as warning against increasing weather disasters." "The estimates are based on surveys, so they have no hard scientific facts." DER SPIEGEL.

11/18/11, "UN fails in education about climate change," Der Spiegel, by Axel Bojanowski (google translation from German)

Kampala - "At the launch of the new climate report of the United Nations (UN) this Friday in the Ugandan capital Kampala debunked already, the first issue of a local journalist, the dilemma of the UN Climate Council: "What has triggered the Erdlawinen in Uganda this year?" wanted to know the lady. Was the response of the UN climate experts not satisfy them: Each landslide has many causes, whether of man-made global warming plays a role, can hardly ever prove.

In extreme weather events already taking stock is hard: A large amount of data is needed to determine at all whether the increasing greenhouse effect has changed in recent decades, the frequency of weather extremes. Due to the rarity of extreme weather phenomena but lacks data -

• predictions are much more complicated.

Yet dare the UN climate panel (IPCC) is now a report that will provide a glimpse into the future. On Friday, the IPCC has presented the report on extreme weather. The Panel warns of an increase in heat waves, floods and torrential rain, unless the emissions of greenhouse gases will not be drastically reduced - SPIEGEL ONLINE had received substantial results in advance .

Politicians make pressure

But officially the climate report remains secret things: he will be released in February - one of the many weaknesses of the UN science. Published officially on Friday was only the summary of the report. It is, however, have negotiated the international community this week in Kampala to a document that

• politicians and lawyers.

Another problem with the UN Climate Council was already before the completion of the IPCC reports: politicians had high expectations for the new IPCC report on extreme weather.

• "We are hoping for a boost to the climate negotiations in South Africa," said EU climate policy makers in Brussels

in early November at a preparatory meeting for the World Climate Summit, which begins later this month. The hope seems to have been fulfilled: to warn the world media on the occasion of the publication of the IPCC report from weather disasters in the future.

Has the UN climate panel that is executed his mission? The presentation of the IPCC report shows quite the opposite - this way the UN climate panel unnecessary. Actually, his task is, according to the 1988 founding document is "to gather the knowledge about climate change and inform the world about it." The presentation of the new climate report shows that there seems to be indifferent, to find out what scientists in the years of hard work -

• the message is always the same: "Everything is getting worse."

The real message - another warning

Although it is proven that humans warmed the climate with greenhouse gases. [*] But neither the new climate report nor its summary can be read as sheer warning against increasing weather disasters. The real message is about the most weather disasters, we know too little to be able to predict their development. This unpredictability does not clear, however, it could be one of the world rather special reminder - after the climate system could hold nasty surprises, things seem possible. The interpretation of the IPCC's findings would be a matter for the company,

• not the science.

Struggled during the presentation of the report in Kampala present IPCC scientists, however, are threat scenario: The IPCC report underscores the vulnerability of people to extreme weather, said IPCC head Rajendra Pachauri.

• "We should be worried," added Maarten Aalst, director of the International Red Cross.
  

Qin Dahe, the climate researchers from Lanzhou University in China, and Chris Field of Stanford University in the United States explained that heat waves and droughts have increased in some regions - which is well documented. Moreover, scientists were able to demonstrate higher sea surges and more heavy rain in many regions."...

• (No claim is made that Americans caused these. ed.)
  

(continuing, Der Spiegel): "On the development of most other weather extremes, however, science can not make a satisfactory statement. To get the knowledge gaps in the handle, the IPCC scientists to help with information regarding the likelihood of phenomena.

• However: The estimates are based on surveys of experts,
  
• so they have no hard scientific basis.

Scenarios for the Future

The opinions of the UN climate panel meets in the summary of its report bear witness, at least of scientific honesty, they are among others:

• That heat waves in the wake of warming would likely be "very likely" - the term is equivalent to a 90-percent chance in the IPCC terminology.
• That heavy rainfall would occur in the future in more places, was "likely" - the term corresponds to a two-thirds chance in the IPCC terminology.
• That prolonged drought threatened, is "probably means", the odds are about 50 to 50,
• "Limited to medium confidence" there for the statement that floods have increased due to climate change.
• Prediction of tropical cyclones were "untrustworthy" - the data are too uncertain. The same is true of tornadoes and hail.

Was hardly talked about science

All information is given on the first pages of the summary of the IPCC report. But public discussion of science is far outpaces what the reaction of many media shows that take up the actual results of the UN reports do not usually - but this is due to the presentation of the Climate Report:

• About Science has spoken hardly,
  
• but about natural hazards .

Thus, the UN IPCC is itself a trap from which he warns: For opponents of environmental protection is easy to go against his kind of science communication. Because conceal gaps in knowledge,

• the scientists who publicly oppose the idea sometime - what the

• research would be discredited.

The so-called Climategate scandal involving the stolen e-mails from climate scientists could only cook so high, because the researchers were talking internally about knowledge gaps, which they publicly denied .

Have harmed the climate research also complain that they had of the policy can be harnessed, many researchers for a long time. The presentation of the new IPCC report is reminiscent of the so-called preparatory meeting for the UN Climate Change Conference in Copenhagen in March 2009. Climate scientists there felt exploited by the former Danish prime minister Anders Rasmussen, the "concrete results" expected, which should move the politicians to act. But after a week in seclusion had to qualify as the glaciologist their alarming data on Greenland glacier thawing. Rasmussen, however assessed the meeting as yet, "the wake-up call from Copenhagen."

Similar to the situation now appears in the publication of IPCC reports just before the UN Climate Change Conference in Durban , South Africa. The IPCC report is sold as a simple "wake up" - the work of scientists is simply ignored. "Unfortunately, we do not have any answer to many questions about climate forecasting," says Lisa Schipper, Stockholm Environment Institute,

• a lead author of the new IPCC report, told SPIEGEL ONLINE.

• "There is no black and white scenario, it is not."

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Italics above inserted by blog editor.
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*Commenter to Der Spiegel site on author's assertion about greenhouse gas:

By Berd, "Is that so?" How to write Bojanowski: "Although it is proven that humans warmed the climate with greenhouse gases," Is that it? Even hard-core believers of climate Church ought now to be noticed that CO2 [...] more ... can be at most one less important driver of climate.

There are strong indications that the emission of CO2 into the atmosphere will not have an impact, with whom we share the alarmists and the German "quality media" regularly threaten:

It there are no hot spots
The water vapor feedback seems to be more negative than positive
CLOUD
Increase of CO2 in the atmosphere but the stagnation temperatures
Redemption of horror scenarios of the IPCC report to IPCC report
the discovery of more and more "gates" (Climate-gate, Amazon-gate, glacier-gate, etc..) and crude forgeries as the hockey stick
The incorrect and incomplete models that are not in a position to really portray the complex climate, etc....

At the alarmist propaganda that will change anything of course. To the ladies and gentlemen have too much to lose now. Meanwhile, they are indeed gesponstert even Coca-Cola.

Greeting
berd"

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"The interpretation of the IPCC's findings would be a matter for the company,

• not the science." Der Spiegel

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11/20/11, "Der Spiegel Calls UN Weather Extremes Report Summary “Dubious,”" by P Gosselin

"Axel Bojanowski of the German flagship news magazine Der Spiegel blasted the UN for its Extreme Weather report saying the:

UN presentation was dubious: research results are ignored, the report remains secret.”

and

Only the summary of the report was officially made public on Friday. This is a document that politicians and lawyers of the community of countries negotiated this week in Kampala.”

Even though the sensationalist mainstream media have been writing about predictions of dire events coming in the future, Bojanowski writes:

Neither the new climate report nor its summary can be read as a sheer warning of increasing weather catastrophes. The real message is: We simply know too little about the most weather catastrophes in order to predict their development.”

There’s simply not enough data out there to draw conclusions. Der Spiegel also seems frustrated that politicians are not taking scientists seriously.

The presentation of the new climate report however shows the opposite, that it appears to not matter what scientists find out through their years of hard work – the message is always the same: ‘Everything is going to get worse.’”

With the conference in Durban coming up, little seems to have changed.

• Politicians automatically use every climate report

• for the sole purpose of driving the agenda,

• without even knowing what’s in it."....

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The entire 'climate' industry rests on the theory that all Americans are criminals and must pay indefinitely. The climate industry is "too big to fail." Care of the environment is necessary and normal. Criminalizing CO2 is something entirely different. ed.

via Tom Nelson