News that doesn't receive the necessary attention.

Thursday, September 24, 2015

Donald Trump at 31.5 wins Florida poll of Likely Republican Voters post CNN debate, over 12 points ahead of GOP field-FAU poll, 9/17-9/20/15

352 likely Republican voters, Sept. 17-20, 5.2 margin of error

Trump 31.5
Rubio 19.2  
Bush 11.3   
Carson 10.3  
Fiorina 8.3 
9/23/15, "Latest FAU poll shows Rubio jumping to second place in Florida; Clinton facing tough matchups against GOP," PRNewswire-USNewswire/Boca Raton, Fla.

"If the 2016 Republican primary for president were held today, Donald Trump would win Florida with 31.5 percent of the vote, with Rubio finishing second with 19.2 percent of the vote and Jeb Bush taking third with 11.3 percent....  
Hillary Clinton trails in most general election matchups with Republican presidential contenders, according to the latest survey conducted by the Florida Atlantic University Business and Economics Polling Initiative (FAU BEPI) in the College of Business. 
In a Democratic primary, Clinton would win an overwhelming majority with 59.5 percent of the votes, well ahead of Joe Biden (15.9 percent) and Bernie Sanders (15.2 percent). That's where the good news ends for Clinton, however, as she came up short in many of the matchups with possible GOP nominees in the general election....

"The survey shows a substantial negative view of Hillary Clinton, leaving room for other candidates to compete with her in both the general and primary elections," said Kevin Wagner, Ph.D., associate professor of political science at FAU and a research fellow of the Initiative. "The biggest winner from the debate among Florida voters may be Marco Rubio, who has jumped over both Jeb Bush and Ben Carson into second place."

The polling sample for the Democratic and the Republican primary consisted of 298 and 352 likely Florida voters, respectively, with a margin of error of +/-5.6 percent and +/-5.2 percent at a 95 percent confidence level. The General Election Sample consisted of 801 registered voters with a margin of error of +/-3.4 percent and a 95 percent confidence level."


Sun-Sentinel article on FAU poll:

9/22/15, "Poll: Marco Rubio pulls ahead of Jeb Bush in Florida; Hillary Clinton in trouble," Sun-Sentinel, Anthony Man

"The survey was conducted by the Florida Atlantic University Business and Economics Polling Initiative in the College of Business. Polling, conducted from Sept. 17- 20, started the day after the Republican presidential debate at the Ronald Reagan Presidential Library in California. 

FAU provided results to the Sun Sentinel on Tuesday....

Trump had 31.5 percent of the Republican primary vote. Rubio was second with 19.2 percent and Bush was third with 11.3 percent.

Carson, the retired neurosurgeon who lives in West Palm Beach, was in fourth place with 10.3 percent.
Carly Fiorina, the former Hewlett-Packard chief executive whose debate performance received widespread positive views, was in fifth place in Florida, at 8.3 percent....

FAU used a combination of automated so-called robocalls and online surveys. The survey of 298 Democratic likely voters has a margin of error of plus or minus 5.6 percentage points. The survey of 352 Republican likely voters has a margin of error of 5.2 percentage points. The general election survey, of 801 registered voters, has a margin of error of plus or minus 3.4 percentage points." 

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