News that doesn't receive the necessary attention.

Wednesday, November 26, 2014

Global Cooling snow falls in Ferguson, Missouri

11/26/14, "On the eve of Thanksgiving, relative calm in Ferguson," St. Louis Post Dispatch, Elisa Crouch and Doug Moore

"People walked the sidewalks and filled the restaurants along South Grand Boulevard in St. Louis. National Guard soldiers mingled with town residents in Ferguson at the Ferguson Brewery. And international television crews posed for photos in front of city hall.

After turbulent protests, it appeared the fever had broken Wednesday night and peace had fallen on parts of the region."...

photos by St. Louis Post-Dispatch


The climate term, "extreme weather" began when it became obvious "global warming" wasn't happening:

5/31/13, "Science in the Service of Ideology: The National Climate Assessment," Norman Rogers, American Thinker

"(Incidentally, the phrase "extreme weather" did not begin to appear frequently in New York Times articles until around 2010, when it was starting to become clear that global warming had really stopped, at which point the global warming story was changed to the extreme weather story.)"...  


More on "extreme weather:"

On 3/28/12, UN IPCC issued a Special Report on Extremes. Also known as IPCC SREX report, it expressed lack of confidence in attributing increased disasters to CO2:

From Chapter 4, UN IPCC found no human cause seen in loss trends from hurricanes, tornadoes and floods 

1. "There is medium evidence and high agreement that long-term trends in normalized losses have not been attributed to natural or anthropogenic climate change.

2. "The statement about the absence of trends in impacts attributable to natural or anthropogenic climate change holds for tropical and extratropical storms and tornadoes." 

3. "The absence of an attributable climate change signal in losses also holds for flood losses."

The UN IPCC SREX also said two oft-cited reports claiming connection between human CO2 and increased disaster losses are "commentary" rather than empirical research:
"Some authors suggest that a (natural or anthropogenic) climate change signal can be found in the records of disaster losses (e.g., Mills, 2005; Höppe and Grimm, 2009), but their work is in the nature of reviews and commentary rather than empirical research."

3/29/12, "A Handy Bullshit Button on Disasters and Climate Change," Roger Pielke Jr. blog

"The full IPCC Special Report on Extremes is out today, and I have just gone through the sections in Chapter 4 that deal with disasters and climate change. Kudos to the IPCC -- they have gotten the issue just about right, where "right" means that the report accurately reflects the academic literature on this topic. Over time good science will win out over the rest -- sometimes it just takes a little while....

With this post I am creating a handy bullshit button on this subject (pictured above). Anytime that you read claims that invoke disasters loss trends as an indication of human-caused climate change, including  the currently popular "billion dollar disasters" meme, you can simply call "bullshit" and point to the IPCC SREX report.

You may find yourself having to use the bullshit button in locations that are supposed to be credible, such as Nature Climate Change and the New York Times. This might may feel uncomfortable at first, because such venues are generally credible, but is absolutely necessary to help certain corners of science and the media to regain their credibility. The siren song of linking disasters to human-caused climate change exerts a strong pull for activists in all settings, but might be countered by the widespread and judicious use of the disaster and climate change bullshit button."

UN SREX, "Summary for Policy Makers," 20 pgs. 

"Managing the risks of extreme events and disasters to advance climate change adaptation," Summary for Policy Makers


Full report is 594 pages

Comment: Per UN IPCC SREX, page 16, Summary for Policy Makers, increased "international" efforts haven't created results at the local level:

Subhead, p. 15, E. "Managing changing risks of climate extremes and disasters:

page 16: "Stronger efforts at the international level do not necessarily lead to substantive and rapid results at the local level (high confidence)."...

Larger and more bureaucratic programs naturally lend themselves to waste, fraud and abuse. "Efforts at the international level" often means US taxpayer dollars diverted from real problems and funneled to UN and EU parasites and other rich cronies. No strings.



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