News that doesn't receive the necessary attention.

Friday, April 13, 2012

Emperor Penguins 'Poster children of Antarctica' doing fine, twice as many as thought, NSF, Scripps, 7 unknown colonies, climate modelers disproved

Update: 6/24/12, It's not about "science," it's about a Goldman Sachs approved version of "science." The trillion dollar 'climate' industry says, hold on, we're 'too big to fail,' you can't take our dying penguins away from us. So they come up with the usual labyrinth of computer models to say penguins are still dying due to man and the Antarctic is still melting.

"This research is a collaboration between BAS, University of Minnesota/NSF, Scripps Institution of Oceanography and the Australian Antarctic Division."" It nullifies a 2009 alarmist conclusion based on land studies and computer modeling.

4/13/12, "Twice as Many Emperor Penguins as Thought in Antarctica, First-Ever Penguin Count from Space Shows," Science Daily

"A new study using satellite mapping technology reveals there are twice as many emperor penguins in Antarctica than previously thought. The results provide an important benchmark for monitoring the impact of environmental change on the population of this iconic bird, which breeds in remote areas that are very difficult to study because they often are inaccessible with temperatures as low as -58 degrees Fahrenheit.

Recently reporting in the journal PLoS ONE, an international team of scientists describe how they used Very High Resolution satellite images to estimate the number of penguins at each colony around the coastline of Antarctica.

Using a technique known as pan-sharpening to increase the resolution of the satellite imagery, the science teams were able to differentiate between birds, ice, shadow and penguin poo or guano. They then used ground counts and aerial photography to calibrate the analysis.

Lead author and geographer Peter Fretwell at British Antarctic Survey (BAS), which is funded by the U.K.'s Natural Environment Research Council, explains, "We are delighted to be able to locate and identify such a large number of emperor penguins. We counted 595,000 birds, which is almost double the previous estimates of 270,000-350,000 birds. This is the first comprehensive census of a species taken from space."

On the ice, emperor penguins with their black and white plumage stand out against the snow and colonies are clearly visible on satellite imagery. This allowed the team to analyze 44 emperor penguin colonies around the coast of Antarctica, and seven previously unknown colonies.

"The methods we used are an enormous step forward in Antarctic ecology because we can conduct research safely and efficiently with little environmental impact, and determine estimates of an entire penguin population, said co-author Michelle LaRue from the University of Minnesota and funded by the U.S. National Science Foundation (NSF).

"The implications of this study are far-reaching: we now have a cost-effective way to apply our methods to other poorly-understood species in the Antarctic, to strengthen on-going field research, and to provide accurate information for international conservation efforts."

NSF manages the U.S. Antarctic Program through which it coordinates all U.S. scientific research on the southernmost continent and aboard ships in the Southern Ocean as well as related logistics support.

Co-author and BAS biologist Phil Trathan noted, "Current research suggests that emperor penguin colonies will be seriously affected by climate change. An accurate continent-wide census that can be easily repeated on a regular basis will help us monitor more accurately the impacts of future change on this iconic species."

Scientists are concerned that*in some regions of Antarctica, earlier spring warming is leading to loss of sea ice habitat for emperor penguins, making their northerly colonies more vulnerable to further climate change.

Trathan continued, "Whilst current research leads us to expect important declines in the number of emperor penguins over the next century, the effects of warming around Antarctica are regional and uneven. In the future, we anticipate that the more southerly colonies should remain, making these important sites for further research and protection."

This research is a collaboration between BAS, University of Minnesota/NSF, Scripps Institution of Oceanography and the Australian Antarctic Division."

====================

Ed. note: *Stated as a 'concern' not a fact. Antarctic Ice is NOT decreasing and even increasing per multiple citations below including AGU, NSIDC:

1. Feb. 21, 2012, "A new, high-resolution surface mass balance map of Antarctica (1979–2010) based on regional atmospheric climate modeling," J. T. M. Lenaerts,1 M. R. van den Broeke,1 W. J. van de Berg,1 E. van Meijgaard,2 and P. Kuipers Munneke1, American Geophysical Union, Geophysical Research Letters

Received 17 January 2012; accepted 21 January 2012; published 21 February 2012.

page 4. "3.4. Trend

[15] We found no significant trend in the 1979–2010 ice
sheet integrated SMB components, which confirms the
results from Monaghan et al. [2006]....

Conclusion

No significant trend in the ice sheet-integrated SMB is found
over the period 1979–2010
, and only (insignificant) trends
exist regionally. Snowfall is characterized by strong interannual
(s = 114 Gt y 1) and intra-annual variability (s =
30 Gt mo 1). Snowdrift sublimation is the main ablation
process and shows little interannual variability (s = 9 Gt y 1).
[17]

Acknowledgments. We thank two anonymous reviewers for their
valuable comments. This work was supported by funding from the ice2sea
programme from the European Union 7th Framework Programme, grant
226375. Ice2sea contribution 061.
[18] The Editor thanks David Bromwich and an anonymous reviewer"...

-----------

Antarctic ice news is covered in article in which the Arctic is mentioned in the headline but not the Antarctic, so it may have been missed by some:

2. 12/5/11, NSIDC: "In recent years, the sea ice cover that surrounds the Antarctic continent

  • has been higher than average,

12/5/11, "Arctic Sea Ice News and Analysis" NSIDC

Title: "December 5, 2011, Winter in the Arctic: Ice and storms"

Scroll down near bottom for 6th subhead:

"A look at Antarctica"

"Arctic Sea Ice News & Analysis generally focuses on sea ice conditions in the Arctic, since these conditions are closely tied to climate and weather in the Northern Hemisphere.

  • A seasonal cover of sea ice
  • also surrounds the continent of Antarctica.

Since reaching its seasonal maximum in September, Antarctic sea ice has been near average in recent months. In November, Antarctic extent was 16.15 million square kilometers (6.24 million square miles), 87,000 square kilometers (33,600 square miles) less than the 1979 to 2000 average. In recent years, the sea ice cover that surrounds the Antarctic continent

  • has been higher than average,

Antarctic sea ice varies much more from year to year than Arctic sea ice, but overall, ice extent around Antarctica has been growing slightly over the past 30 years. The ice cover around Antarctica also varies widely by region, with some regions, for example the Amundsen and Bellingshausen seas, showing strong declines over the past three decades, while other regions such as the Ross Sea have seen significant increases. For more information on Antarctic sea ice, see All About Sea Ice: Antarctic vs. Arctic. Antarctic sea ice data are available from the Sea Ice Index."

------------------

3. 12/21/10, "Sea Ice News #32 – Southern Comfort," WUWT

"There’s a lot of news from NSIDC"

"Per the National Snow & Ice Data Center (NSIDC), the Southern Hemisphere Sea Ice Extent Anomaly

Source: ftp://sidads.colorado.edu//DATASETS/NOAA/G02135/Nov/S_11_plot.png

November’s record high Antarctic Sea Ice Area of 16.90 Million Sq Km, exceeded the prior record of 16.76 Million Sq Km (Set in November 2005), by 140,000 Square Kilometers. See here:

ftp://sidads.colorado.edu/DATASETS/NOAA/G02135/Nov/S_11_area.txt"

Like other recent Antarctic Ice record highs, the news is not trumpeted by the media.

-----------------------------

4. 4/9/11, "German Researcher says Antarctic Ice Intact," suite101.com, Hubert Vaz

"Working on a year-long research project in a polar station in the Antarctica, Franzisca Nehring, feels global warming hasn't really affected the ice."

------------------------------------------

5. 4/13/12, "Emperor penguins counted from space," BBC, Jonathan Amos

"The extent of sea ice in the Antarctic has been relatively stable in recent years..." (7th parag. from end).

(While admitting climate models were wrong about penguins, the BBC mentions several times in the article the hope that warming still "could" take place and that "if" it did things could get bad for penguins. For example, at end of article: "If Antarctica warms so that predators and competitors can move in, then their ecological niche no longer exists; and that spells bad news for the emperor penguin."

------------------------------

Global warming profiteers used penguins to make billions:

"Global Warming Threatens Penguins"

Special Time Magazine Report for 2009 Copenhagen Climate Summit:

-------------------------------

On the backs of penguins who were not dying, this article also called for an increase in power and authority of the UN. A steady stream of articles like this serve as an excuse to transfer billions of taxpayer dollars to climate profiteers et al.:

'Per WWF,' global warming killing off penguins. "The Emperor is thought to be the most vulnerable of all Antarctic species to climate change."

12/11/2007, "Penguins now threatened by global warming," UK Telegraph, Paul Eccleston

"Global warming is threatening one of the most endearing symbols of Antarctica - the penguin....

The environmental conservation group WWF is warning that rising temperatures and the resulting loss of sea ice is robbing the emblematic birds of the nesting grounds they need to breed successfully....

The most vulnerable of the four species at risk is the biggest, the Emperor, renowned for the stoic male which nurses its solitary egg on its feet throughout the long Antarctic winter when temperatures can drop to almost -50ÂșC....

Emily Lewis-Brown said: "The UN climate change summit underway in Bali must agree a process now which results in comprehensive, ambitious, and fair global emission reduction targets beyond the current phase of Kyoto which ends in 2012. It's vital that governments agree upon a clear, shared vision to keep global warming to less than 2°C above pre-industrial levels."

The charity also wants to see international action to protect Antarctica from other pressures such as fisheries and tourism....

The Emperor is thought to be the most vulnerable of all Antarctic species to climate change."

--------------------------

Antarctic ice is not melting and as stated above by NSIDC in item #2, it is normal for Antarctic measurements to fluctuate greatly from year to year.

===================

Now proven erroneous, a 2009 report based on land studies, computer modeling, and IPCC reports, said some penguins could become extinct due to global warming:

Cites 11/2009 study, "Are Emperor Penguins Marching to Extinction?... and other recent research findings by WHOI scientists," Woods Hole Oceanographic Institute

"Emperor penguins, which delighted audiences of the Academy Award-winning documentary March of the Penguins, could be sliding on the

--------------------------------

US government bureaucrats sold the same erroneous story of pending penguin extinction. After all, if they said there was no global warming billions of dollars would stop flowing, many would lose their jobs.

7/13/2009, "Climate Change Likely to Devastate Emperor Penguin Populations in Antarctica," NSF.gov

"Survival of species could be threatened"

"You might call them the "poster children" of Antarctica. Penguins have long topped the charts as the iconic animal of the frozen continent.

But now, a new study indicates melting sea ice, caused by climate change, may soon wreak havoc on one colony of emperor penguins--and that could spell doom for a large swath

  • of the entire species."...via Tom Nelson
---------------------------------

Of course the NSF is admittedly unable to do its job anyway.

================================

Goldman Sachs loses money if they can't say penguins are dying. So, guess what:

Without dying penguins, thousands of people will lose their jobs. EU carbon trading will fall further in the tank. The UK monarchy will collapse. Organized crime will be angry. Obviously, computer models will be found to say that penguins are still dying:

6/21/12, "Melting Sea Ice Threatens Emperor Penguins," Environmental Protection





via Climate Depot

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