Fewest tropical cyclones globally in 2010, lowest in over 3 decades, expected to go lower, fake catastrophic claims continue to make money

Cyclones referenced in following post:

"Hurricanes and global warming-still no connection," by Anthony Watts

(Al Gore in his movie, An Inconvenient Truth, 2005)

• "Dr. Roger Pielke Jr. sends word via email of a review of his new paper on ClimateWire, plus notes that Joe Romm “blows a gasket” about it.

That’s clear evidence that this paper is effective in refuting one of the most oft repeated climate hypes since Al Gore stood in front of a photo of Hurricane Katrina during his movie An Inconvenient Truth and said:

Now I’m going to show you, recently released, the actual ocean temperature. Of course when the oceans get warmer, that causes stronger storms

Well, no not really, the real world data says otherwise.

Dr. Ryan Maue, WUWT contributor and the keeper of the Florida State University dataset on Accumlated Cyclone Energy, has this to say:

2010 is in the books: Global Tropical Cyclone Accumulated Cyclone Energy [ACE] remains lowest in at least three decades, and expected to decrease even further… For the calendar year 2010, a total of 46 tropical cyclones of tropical storm force developed in the Northern Hemisphere, the fewest since 1977.

For the calendar-year 2010, there were 66-tropical cyclones globally, the fewest in the reliable record (since 1970)!

And here’s the data plotted up through 2010, the “Hottest Year Ever”, as people like Joe are fond of saying. NASA GISS said we just finished the “warmest decade on record” in 2009, ACE is at a 30 year low in 2010. (Cyclone graph below:)

2009 was low by ACE too, one of the quietest years on record, and that hurricane season was in the middle of an El Nino, with lots of warm SST’s Pacific:

And, the North Atlantic was warmer than past years too:

There is simply is no connection between hurricanes and supposed global warming/AGW driven sea surface temperature increases, and now we have another peer reviewed paper saying there’s

• no signal showing a connection between hurricane damage losses and AGW.

Of course they leave the door open for proving it in the future, but for the here and now, there’s no signal or connection to be made.

But don’t take my word for it, don’t take Dr. Roger Pielke’s Jr’s word for it. Have a look at these links first, then read what Dr. Pielke and his co-authors have to say. A few links:

WMO: “. . . we cannot at this time conclusively identify anthropogenic signals in past tropical cyclone data.”

- that’s the World Meteorological Organization (Knutson et al.) saying this.

Inconvenient hurricane facts

- Dr. Adam Lea, of University College London

Global Tropical Cyclone activity is at 33-year lows

Global Warming = more hurricanes | Still not happening

NOAA: More tropical storms counted due to better observational tools, wider reporting. Greenhouse warming not involved.

Increased hurricanes to global warming link: blown away

NOAA: Hurricane frequency and global warming NOT the cause of increased destruction

And then there’s this, using National Hurricane Center Data:

Yes, the lack of hurricanes during our “hottest years ever” is so bad, that Al Gore had to Photoshop them into his latest book cover.

Ryan Maue: A year ago, I walked into a Tallahassee Borders and snapped an IPhone photo (that’s my thumb) of Al Gore’s new book cover and marveled at the locations of hurricanes in a globally warmed future. The book was released at the tail end of the 2009 Atlantic hurricane season, which uncorked one of the quietest years on record. With Copenhagen, Cancun, and the hottest year ever come and gone, you would think that global climate disruption was spinning up cyclones with reckless abandon. Remember, after Katrina in 2005, scientists published alarming papers linking increases in hurricane activity worldwide to global warming. Fast forward 5-years: the inconvenient truth is that aside from the Atlantic basin, global tropical cyclone or hurricane activity during 2010 has tanked to the lowest levels in decades....

• And, of course, the statistical sophistry of Michael Mann supports the meme:

Mann hockey-sticks hurricanes: Hurricanes in the Atlantic are more frequent than at any time in the last 1,000 years.

• 8/13/09, by Anthony Watts:

"Just when you think it couldn’t get any more bizarre in Mann-world, out comes anew paper in Nature hawking hurricane frequency by proxy analysis. I guess Dr. Mann missed seeing the work of National Hurricane Center’s lead scientist, Chris Landsea which we highlighted a couple of days ago on WUWT: NOAA: More tropical storms counted due to better observational tools, wider reporting. Greenhouse warming not involved.

Mann is using “overwash” silt and sand as his new proxy. Chris Landsea disagrees in the Houston Chronicle interview saying: “The paper comes to very erroneous conclusions because of using improper data and illogical techniques,”

From the BBC and the Houston Chronicle, some excerpts are below."...

From the BBC, full story here."

all text and photos from Watts up with That.