News that doesn't receive the necessary attention.

Tuesday, December 8, 2015

Trump has ten point lead over Republican field in latest Suffolk University/USA Today national poll, Dec. 2-6, 2015. 68% of Trump supporters would still vote for him if he ran as an Independent

Trump 27.45
Cruz 16.53
Rubio 15.69
Carson 10.36
Bush 4.20
Paul 2.24
Christie 1.68
Kasich 1.68
Huckabee 1.40
Fiorina .84
Santorum .84

Poll dates, 12/2-12/6/15. 357 Likely Republican primary/caucus voters, 5.2% error margin. Live telephone interviews. Suffolk University/USA Today Poll questions. Released 12/8/15.

p. 3, Question 12: If Donald Trump ran as an independent candidate, not as a Republican, would you still support him?

Yes 68.37
No 18.37
Undecided 11.22

p. 7, Question 25, matchup of Hillary vs Trump, asked of combined Democrat and Republican sample was close to a statistical tie within the margin or error of 3% for total of 1000 Democrats and Republicans:

Hillary 47.50
Trump 44.20
Undecided 7.0

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"Methodology"

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"The nationwide survey of 1,000 voters was conducted Dec. 2-6 using live telephone interviews of households where respondents indicated they were very or somewhat likely to vote in the 2016 general election. The margin of error is +/-3 percentage points at a 95 percent level of confidence. The margin of error for the Democratic primary/caucus subset of 363 likely voters is +/-5.1 percentage points. The margin of error for the Republican primary/caucus subset of 357 likely voters is +/-5.2 percentage points. Marginals and full cross-tabulation data are posted on the Suffolk University Political Research Center website. For more information, contact David Paleologos at 781-290-9310, dpaleologos@suffolk.edu."



 http://www.suffolk.edu/documents/SUPRC/12_8_2015_partial_marginals.pdf

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