News that doesn't receive the necessary attention.

Friday, February 27, 2015

Even elected Republicans who say 'I'm not a scientist' can understand these charts showing electricity consumption trends

"Electricity consumption," Indexmundi, 2000-2012:













Above, United States. Added, US population 1990-2013 increased 26%.while US CO2 1990-2013 only increased 6% (p. 17). US leads world in CO2 reduction since 2006.













Above, China













Above, India













Above, Brazil














Above, Saudi Arabia














Above, EU














Above, UK













Above, Germany



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US population increased 26% 1990-2013 while its CO2 only increased 6% in that time, per EU Commission Report, Dec. 2014, global CO2 emissions trends: 

Dec. 2014, "Trends in global CO2 emissions 2014 Report," PBL Netherlands Environmental Assessment Agency, EU Commission Joint Research Centre

US population since 1990: +26%
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US CO2 since 1990: +6%
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p. 17, "United States 2.2.2

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"When comparing long term trends, we note that while the United States saw a relatively high annual population increase 26% since 1990, its CO2 emissions increased by 6% in this period (for more details see Section 2.3)"

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4/21/2012, Why [CO2] Emissions Are Declining in the U.S. But Not in Europe, by Michael Shellenberger and Ted Nordhaus, newgeography.com

As we note below in a new article for Yale360, a funny thing happened: U.S. emissions started going down in 2005 and are expected to decline further over the next decade.”



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US Energy CO2 emissions plunge, heading to 1991 levels. "Truly astonishing!"

7/2/2012, "Shale Gas Causes First Quarter 2012 US Carbon Emissions To Plummet Again," JohnHanger.blogspot.com
 

7/2/2012, CO2 Emissions Will Likely Fall This Year to 1991 Levels, Carpe Diem, Mark J. Perry. From John Hanger's blog:
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"The bottom line is that America's carbon emissions may drop back close to 1990 levels this year. That result would have been thought impossible, even at the end of 2011.

But the shale gas revolution makes a reality many things recently thought impossible.
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It was thought impossible to slash carbon US carbon emissions back to 1990 levels by 2012.  It was thought impossible to massively, quickly cut carbon emissions and, at the same time, have lower energy bills.

Shale gas production has slashed carbon emissions and saved consumers more than $100 billion per year.  Truly astonishing!"

"America's carbon emissions may drop back close to 1990 levels this year. That result would have been thought impossible, even at the end of 2011.
But the shale gas revolution makes a reality many things recently thought impossible.  It was thought impossible to slash carbon US carbon emissions back to 1990 levels by 2012.  It was thought impossible to massively, quickly cut carbon emissions and, at the same time, have lower energy bills.
Shale gas production has slashed carbon emissions and saved consumers more than $100 billion per year.  Truly astonishing!" - See more at: http://mjperry.blogspot.com/2012/07/more-shockingly-good-news-from-shale.html#sthash.4P9KcdkI.dpuf


US EIA data. Chart from Carpe Diem, 7/2/2012. EIA is a division of the US Dept. of Energy


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6/4/12, Climate change stunner: USA leads world in CO2 cuts since 2006,Vancouver Observer, Saxifrage



  
“Not only that, but as my top chart shows, US CO2 emissions are falling even faster than what President Obama pledged in the global Copenhagen Accord....Here is the biggest shocker of all: the average American's CO2 emissions are down to levels not seen since 1964 -- over half a century ago....
It is exactly America's historical role of biggest and dirtiest that makes their sharp decline in CO2 pollution so noteworthy and potentially game changing at the global level."...
... 

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Why so little talk about plunging US CO2? Left wing blog Grist says lower CO2 is seen as a negative for Obama since its achievement can be linked to economic depression, harsh EPA regulations, and fracking:
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7/17/12, "U.S. leads the world in cutting CO2 emissions — so why aren’t we talking about it?" Grist, David Roberts

"Contrary to popular belief, the U.S. is making progress on climate change.

We have cut our carbon emissions more than any other country in the world in recent years — 7.7 percent since 2006. U.S. emissions fell 1.9 percent last year and are projected to fall 1.9 percent again this year...

Why isn’t this extraordinary story a bigger deal in U.S. politics? You’d think Obama would be boasting about it! Turns out, though, it’s a little awkward for him, since several of the drivers responsible are things for which he can’t (or might not want to) take credit.


First off there’s the Great Recession, which flattened electricity demand in 2008. It has never recovered....

For obvious reasons, boasting about the environmental benefits of the recession is not something Obama’s eager to do.


The second big driver is the glut of cheap natural gas...This is absolutely crushing coal, the biggest source of CO2 in the electric sector:

The share of U.S. electricity that comes from coal is forecast to fall below 40% for the year, its lowest level since World War II. Four years ago, it was 50%. By the end of this decade, it is likely to be near 30%....
In April, coal and natural gas both contributed 32 percent to the U.S. electricity mix — equal for the first time since EIA started collecting data in the ’70s. This is, as Alexis Madrigal emphasizes, an extraordinary shift, unprecedented in the history of the U.S. electrical system....

Fracking’s potential environmental and health impacts has quickly made it a flash point with his environmental base (and his Hollywood base), so it’s at the very least a fraught subject.

Awkward: Kenyan socialist EPA sharia tyranny

A less significant driver of the switch from coal to natural gas is the EPA’s long overdue rollout of new or tightened clean-air rules on mercury, SO2 and NOx, and CO2. Those rules may do more work later on down the line when/if natural gas prices rise again, but for now the best analysis [PDF] shows that natural gas is doing most of the work killing coal. Nonetheless, EPA regs have proven a source of potent right-wing attacks on Obama and he’s probably not eager to call undue attention to them.

Thus: silence in the political world...

There’s more to this story than natural gas and recession.

First, it isn’t just natural gas and EPA taking coal out — it’s the kick-ass anti-coal movement! Fighting tooth-and-nail, plant-by-plant, it has blocked new construction and shut down over 100 existing plants."...

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Following link from above Grist article:

6/12/2012, "U.S. coal use falling fast as utilities switch to gas," AP via USA Today, Jonathan Fahey.

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IndexMundi: "Definition of Electricity - consumption: This entry consists of total electricity generated annually plus imports and minus exports, expressed in kilowatt-hours. The discrepancy between the amount of electricity generated and/or imported and the amount consumed and/or exported is accounted for as loss in transmission and distribution."

IndexMundi Team



via Grist.





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