News that doesn't receive the necessary attention.

Saturday, June 21, 2014

Establishment Republicans take "two actions unprecedented in Mississippi politics: Elaborately groveling for Democrat and union votes," and using local office holders as a campaign arm when majority of constituents clearly favored another candidate-Chism poll, 6/20/14

6/21/14, "US Senate Mississippi GOP Primary Runoff," Chism Strategies, Brad Chism

"Last night we conducted the final track of our MS Senate GOP runoff surveys. We surveyed 697 voters statewide. The MOE (margin of error) was +/- 3.8%....
McDaniel holds an eight point lead among GOP voters who went to the polls on June 3rd and plan to return on Tuesday. 
"No Polling Can Measure the Implications of Two Unprecedented Actions in Mississippi Politics

[1]*Surrogates for the 42 year GOP incumbent are groveling for Democrat and union votes in the runoff after his campaign spent millions in the Primary bashing President Obama and his policies. Can Cochran’s team execute their elaborate, expensive GOTV plan? Will this pivot to a more centrist message erode his conservative base?
[2]*Republican office holders have gotten way out ahead of their constituents.
Are the establishment Republicans able to bring the rank and file to Cochran?

      o Will there be a backlash from this top down directive?
We look forward to seeing the answers on Tuesday....
The survey was restricted to voters from the GOP primary on June 3rd. It does not include potential voters who did not participate in that election

How We See It

Unless Cochran expands the electorate with general election Republicans and crossover Democrats, McDaniel wins.

The electoral math is much closer than the pollingCochran heads into Tuesday only about 6,200 votes down out of a total of almost 319,000 cast on June 3rd. (We assume the third candidate’s supporters do not migrate to Cochran.)"...

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