"These errors in oceanic heat uptake will also have a large impact on the
reliability of the sea level rise projections."
"Climate Change 2007: Working Group I: The Physical Science Basis"
.
"8.3.2.2.2 Southern Ocean circulation"
"The
Southern Ocean wind stress error has a particularly large detrimental
impact on the Southern Ocean simulation by the models. Partly due to the
wind stress error identified above, the simulated location of the
Antarctic Circumpolar Current (ACC) is also too far north in most models
(Russell et al., 2006). Since the AAIW is formed on the north side of
the ACC, the water mass properties of the AAIW are distorted (typically
too warm and salty: Russell et al., 2006). The relatively poor AAIW
simulation contributes to the multi-model mean error identified above
where the thermocline is too diffuse, because the waters near the base
of thermocline are too warm and salty.
It is likely that the
relatively poor Southern Ocean simulation
will influence the transient
climate response to increasing greenhouse gases by affecting the oceanic
heat uptake.
When forced by increases in radiative forcing, models with
too little Southern Ocean mixing will probably underestimate the ocean
heat uptake; models with too much mixing will likely exaggerate it.
These errors in oceanic heat uptake will also have a large impact on the
reliability of the sea level rise projections. See Chapter 10 for more discussion of this subject."
=======================
Subsequent UN IPCC chapter again cites inability of computer models to measure ocean heat:
"8.3.2.3 Summary of Oceanic Component Simulation"
"In the Southern Ocean, the equatorward bias of the westerly wind stress
maximum found in most model simulations is a problem that may affect
the models’ response to increasing radiative forcing."
.
George Soros gave Ivanka's husband's business a $250 million credit line in 2015 per WSJ. Soros is also an investor in Jared's business.
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About Me
- susan
- I'm the daughter of a World War II Air Force pilot and outdoorsman who settled in New Jersey.
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