--------------------------------------
7/26/13, "After Alaska cooled 2.4F last decade, Greenpeace executive director Phil Radford claims that Lisa Murkowski is "a major cause" of Alaskan glacier retreat," Tom Nelson
"Twitter / Phil_Radford: Alaska's glaciers retreat from ...
Flashback: Forget global warming, Alaska is headed for an ice age | Alaska DispatchAlaska's glaciers retreat from climate change, and Senator#Murkowski continues to be a major cause of the problem... http://nyti.ms/13XsXuB
"In the first decade since 2000, the 49th state cooled 2.4 degrees Fahrenheit.""
=================================
Scientists say Alaska's 2.4 degrees Fahrenheit cooling since 2000 is "a large value for a decade:"
2012, The First Decade of the New Century: A Cooling Trend for Most of Alaska," G. Wendler*, L. Chen and B. Moore, Alaska Climate Research Center, Geophysical Institute, University of Alaska, Fairbanks, AK 99775, USA
Alaska cooled -2.4F in the past decade which scientists say is "a large value for a decade:"
As of Dec. 2012: "The mean cooling of the average of all stations was 1.3°C (2.4) for the decade, a large value for a decade."...
2012, The First Decade of the New Century: A Cooling Trend for Most of Alaska," G. Wendler*, L. Chen and B. Moore
Alaska Climate Research Center, Geophysical Institute, University of Alaska, Fairbanks, AK 99775, USA
"We analyzed the temperature change of the first decade of the 21st century for Alaska, both for annual and seasonal values. For this study we used all first order meteorological stations in Alaska, which are operated by professional meteorologist of the National Weather Service (NOAA).
There are 20 such stations, fairly well distributed over the
different climatic zones of Alaska [1]. We limited our
investigation to these stations, as all of these have similar or
identical in instrumentation and operational procedures. In
Fig. (1) the location of these stations is given.
There are many more climate stations operating in
Alaska, run by different federal, state and local entities as
well as by the industry and private individuals. The quality
of these stations is mixed, but it should not be taken as an
indication that all of these are of poor quality....
1926 was the warmest year ever recorded not only in Fairbanks, but also in
Sitka (southeastern Alaska) and Barrow (northern Alaska),
for which stations the data are available. The mean decadal
temperatures of Fairbanks show for the 1980’s the highest
value (-1.94°C) followed by the 1920’s (-2.39°C) and 1990’s
(-2.59°C). Further, a sudden temperature increase in Alaska
was recorded starting in 1977 [5], seemingly driven by the
change in polarity of the Pacific Decadal Oscillation (PDO)
Index [6], which went from dominantly negative before 1977
to dominantly positive values after that year. An update
version of the temperature trend for the mean of the 20
Alaskan first order stations is presented in Fig. (2), showing
that the temperature increase was non-linear. Besides the
strong temperature increase starting in 1977, on which
Hartmann and Wendler [5] reported, a cooling trend in the
2nd half of the first decade of the new century is clearly visible.
At this time it cannot be decided whether this is a
climatic shift during the first decade of the 21st century or if
it represents decadal-interdecadal variability."..,
=============================
"The 49th state has long been labeled one of the fastest-warming spots on the planet. But that's so 20th Century."
12/23/12, "Forget global warming, Alaska is headed for an ice age," Alaska Dispatch, Alex DeMarban
"The 49th state has long been labeled one of the fastest-warming spots on the planet. But that's so 20th Century.
In the first decade since 2000, the 49th state cooled 2.4 degrees Fahrenheit.
The nation's icebox is getting even icier. That may not be news to Alaskans coping with another round of 50-below during the coldest winter in two decades, or to the mariners locked out of the Bering Sea this spring by record ice growth."...
================================
Despite Greenpeace science denial, Alaska's 2013 record cold temperatures continued including in Fairbanks:
5/15/13, "Record cold continues in Interior Alaska," newsminer.com, Tim Mowry
"More cold temperature records fell at several locations around the Interior on Tuesday morning, though not in Fairbanks, and more may fall today as the result of a cold air mass that is holding spring hostage in much of the state.
Eielson Air Force Base recorded a temperature of 22 degrees Tuesday morning, breaking the record of 26 set in 1954. The College Observatory at the University of Alaska Fairbanks had a low temperature of 21 degrees, which broke the old mark of 24 set in 1964.
In Bettles, 250 miles north of Fairbanks, the low of 11 degrees shattered the record of 22 degrees set in 1986. Galena saw a temperature of 13 degrees, breaking the record of 16 in 1965.
The low temperature of 23 degrees at Fairbanks International Airport fell 2 degrees shy of tying the record of 21 set in 1913.
The cold temperatures are the result of a cold air mass that moved into Alaska on Sunday night and that has remained over the northern part of the state for the past two days.
Record or near-record cold temperatures were expected again Tuesday night and this morning, but things should gradually begin to warm up later today, said meteorologist Ed Plumb at the National Weather Service in Fairbanks. Highs today should get into the mid-40s, and high temperatures on Thursday are expected to be in the low to mid-50s.
A chinook moving through the Alaska Range could bring even warmer temperatures Friday, but they will be short-lived. More cold air is forecast to move into the area from the west Friday night, dropping the high temperatures back into the 40s during the weekend, Plumb said. The cold air mixed with the chinook could produce some rain or snow Friday night or Saturday.
The good news is that early next week it should start to warm up to more normal temperatures, which at this time of year are 60 degrees for a high and 37 for a low.
Fairbanks set a record low of 22 degrees Monday, and temperatures in many spots in the northern and western Interior failed to climb above freezing Monday. In Bettles, which set a record low of 10 degrees Monday, the high temperature was only 27 above, which was the latest occurrence ever recorded with an afternoon temperature in the 20s.
Fairbanks also set a new record for the coldest high temperature at the airport Monday with a high temperature of 37 degrees. That broke the record of 40 set in 1937.
Other record low maximum temperature records were reported at Galena (31), Tanana (34) and Eielson Air Force Base (38).
Fairbanks avoided another record cold high temperature Tuesday when the high temperature at the airport hit 40 degrees, surpassing the record of 39 degrees in 1937."
==================================
Following are 3 more citations on this topic, two relating to 2011 and one to 2012:
Nov. 2011 Washington Post, record cold temperatures in Alaska interior:
11/17/11, "Record smashing cold in interior Alaska, Fairbanks," Washington Post, J, Samenow
"A frigid Arctic air mass, unusual even by Alaska standards, is dropping the mercury in the state’s interior to unheard of levels in mid-November. Stunningly low temperatures in the -35 to -50 range have gripped the region since Tuesday. These temperatures are some 25 to 40 degrees colder than average.
This morning, Fairbanks airport dropped to 40 below zero, breaking the old record of 39 below. That’s after setting a record low of 35 below Tuesday morning, breaking the old record of 33 below from 1956. Wednesday’s low of -39 just missed 1969’s record of -41.
Eielson Air Force Base in Fairbanks dropped to an incredible 42 below Wednesday morning, shattering the old record of 37 below set in 1956. This morning, it dropped to 42 below again, setting another new record low. The average low is -7."...
---------------------------------------
March 2012 Bering Sea ice extent record:
NSIDC announced record ice in Bering Sea in March 2012 (scroll down for Bering Sea citation):
"High ice extent in the Bering Sea
In the Bering Sea, off Alaska, ice extent reached a record high for the month of March. Persistent winds pushed the sea ice southward and froze more seawater into ice.".
============================
Feb. 2012 Bering Sea ice extent record:
.
NASA, NSIDC: "February 2012 had the highest ice extent for the area since satellite records started."... earthobservatory.nasa.gov
"For most of the winter of 2011–2012, the Bering Sea has been choking with sea ice. Though ice obviously forms there every year, the cover has been unusually extensive this season. In fact, the past several months have included the second highest ice extent in the satellite record for the Bering Sea region, according to the National Snow and Ice Data Center (NSIDC)....
NSIDC data indicate that ice extent in the Bering Sea for most of this winter has been between 20 to 30 percent above the 1979 to 2000 average. February 2012 had the highest ice extent for the area since satellite records started."...
==================================
A 2005 peer reviewed study on Alaska climate suggests the year 1976 alone led to misunderstanding of Alaska long term climate. From the Abstract:
"When analyzing the total time period from 1951 to 2001, warming is observed; however, the 25-yr period trend analyses before 1976 (1951–75) and thereafter (1977–2001) both display cooling, with a few exceptions. In this paper, emphasis is placed
on the importance of taking into account the sudden changes
that result from abrupt climatic shifts, persistent regimes,
and the possibility of cyclic oscillations, such as the PDO,
in the analysis of long-term climate change in Alaska."...
Nov. 2005, "The Significance of the 1976 Pacific Climate Shift in the Climatology of Alaska," Brian Hartmann and Gerd Wendler, Geophysical Institute, University of Alaska, Fairbanks, Fairbanks, Alaska
(Manuscript received 20 April 2004, in final form 25 February 2005)
Introduction: "In 1976, the North Pacific
region, including
Introduction: "In 1976, the North Pacific
Alaska, underwent a dramatic shift to a climate regime that saw great increases in winter and spring temperatures, and lesser increases in summer and autumn,
when compared to the previous 25 yr."...It is shown that a significant amount of the warming trend seen throughout
Alaska during the last half of the twentieth century is
largely a result of the sudden shift in 1976,
The temperature trends of the 25-yr climate periods that correspond to
The temperature trends of the 25-yr climate periods that correspond to
opposite phases of the Pacific decadal oscillation
before and after the shift are not uniform, most often
indicating cooling, and may contradict
some ideas about long-term climate change
as it relates to Alaska insofar
as all of the regions in sub-Arctic Alaska have experienced
a net cooling since 1977."
==================================
Philip Radford is Executive Director of Greenpeace
=====================
Comment: This post isn't intended to prove or disprove the hypothesis that human CO2 is destroying the planet or is capable of doing so (it's not), or that even though US CO2 has plunged and has little to no effect on the global number, murderous profiteers are anxious for US taxpayers already forced into poverty by criminal politicians to sign a global "treaty" and transfer their meager earnings to unelected, unaccountable UN parasites.
.
===========================
10+ climate citations Greenpeace hasn't likely seen:
============================
1. 30 year peer reviewed study finds CO2 does not cause rising temperatures. Using 8 datasets, scientists find CO2 lags land surface, sea surface, and lower troposphere temperatures:
Jan. 2013, "The phase relation between atmospheric carbon dioxide and global temperature," Global and Planetary Change, Ole Humluma, b, , ,Kjell Stordahlc, Jan-Erik Solheimd
.
"Abstract
"Using data series on atmospheric carbon dioxide and global temperatures we investigate the phase relation (leads/lags) between these for the period January 1980 to December 2011. Ice cores show atmospheric CO2 variations to lag behind atmospheric temperature changes on a century to millennium scale....In our analysis we use eight well-known datasets:
- 1) globally averaged well-mixed marine boundary layer CO2 data,
- 2) HadCRUT3 surface air temperature data,
- 3) GISS surface air temperature data,
- 4) NCDC surface air temperature data,
- 5) HadSST2 sea surface data,
- 6) UAH lower troposphere temperature data series,
- 7) CDIAC data on release of anthropogene CO2, and
- 8) GWP data on volcanic eruptions. "...
2. 6/4/12, “Climate change stunner: USA leads world in CO2 cuts since 2006,” Vancouver Observer, Saxifrage
“Not only that, but as my top chart shows, US CO2 emissions are falling even faster than what President Obama pledged in the global Copenhagen Accord.”…
-------------------------
US CO2 has plunged while that of other countries has risen. The US has little to no effect on global CO2 due to China's high number:
6/10/13, CO2 emissions chart from IEA report, p. 2
—————————————————–
3. UN IPCC, 2/21/13, “IPCC Head Pachauri Acknowledges Global Warming Standstill,” The Australian, Graham Lloyd
"The UN’s climate change chief, Rajendra Pachauri, has acknowledged a 17-year pause in global temperature rises, confirmed recently by Britain’s Met Office."...
======================
4. 1/18/13, "The British Met Office forecast even more recently that the temperature interval could continue at a high level until the end of 2017 - despite the rapidly increasing emissions of greenhouse gases . Then global warming would pause 20 years."..."The exact reasons of the temperature standstill since 1998, are not yet understood, says climate researcher Doug Smith of the Met Office."...1/18/13, “Climate change: scientists puzzle over halt in global warming,” Der Spiegel, by Axel Bojanowski (translation from German)
UK Met Office chart via Der Spiegel
----------------------------------------------
5. Dr. Judith Curry, 4/25/13, "STATEMENT TO THE SUBCOMMITTEE ON ENVIRONMENT COMMITTEE ON SCIENCE, SPACE AND TECHNOLOGY OF THE UNITED STATES HOUSE OF REPRESENTATIVES Hearing on “Policy Relevant Climate Issues in Context," 25 April 2013, Judith A. Curry, Georgia Institute of Technology:
page 3, "Since 1998 there has been no statistically significant increase in global surface temperature. While many engaged in the public discourse on this topic dismiss the significance of a hiatus in increasing global temperatures because of expected variations associated with natural variability, analyses of climate model simulations find very unlikely a plateau or period of cooling that extends beyond 17 years in the presence of human-induced global warming....Others have suggested that the pause could last up to two decades (11) or even longer, owing to the transition to the cool phase of the Pacific Decadal Oscillation that is associated with a predominance of La Nina (cool) events."...footnote 11, Aug.-Sept. 2009, "Advancing Climate Prediction Science," WMO, Geneva (p. 3 graph shows cooling in early 2000's)
Dr. Curry says temperatures may move from flat to cool: 6/14/13, "Week in review," Climate, Etc., JudithCurry.com
-----------------------------------------------
6. 6/20/13, Hans von Storch of the Meteorological Institute of the University of Hamburg, "Climate Expert von Storch: Why Is Global Warming Stagnating?" Der Spiegel, Stampf and Traufetter:
"Climate experts have long predicted that temperatures would rise in parallel with greenhouse gas emissions. But, for 15 years, they haven't. In a SPIEGEL interview, meteorologist Hans von Storch discusses how this "puzzle" might force scientists to alter what could be "fundamentally wrong" models.
SPIEGEL: Mr. Storch, Germany has recently seen major flooding. Is global warming the culprit?
Storch: I'm not aware of any studies showing that floods happen more often today than in the past. I also just attended a hydrologists' conference in Koblenz, and none of the scientists there described such a finding."...
---------------------------------------------------
7. NOAA "State of the Climate in 2008," released in August 2009, stated that 15 year lack of warming would be point at which prediction models have failed.
Scientists in 2008 noted already a decade of no warming, a then approximate 10 year pause in rising temperatures (which as of 2013 is a 15 year pause), and that a 15 year pause would invalidate predictions:
p. 22, "Do global temperature trends over the last decade falsify climate predictions?"
"Observations indicate that global temperature rise has slowed
in the last decade (since 1998) (Fig. 2.8a)....This is despite a steady increase
in radiative forcing as a result of human activities
and has led some to
of substantial twenty-first
century warming (Lawson 2008; Carter 2008)....
p. 23, "Near-zero and even negative trends are common for intervals
of a decade or less in the simulations, due to the model’s internal climate variability.
The simulations rule out (at the 95% level) zero trends for intervals of 15 yr or more, suggesting
that an observed absence of warming of
this duration is needed to create a discrepancy
with the expected
present-day warming rate."
============================
8. 11/29/12, 134 scientists write to UN Sec. Gen. Ban Ki-Moon, asking him to desist from blaming climate disasters on global warming that hasn't happened: "Global warming that has not occurred cannot have caused the extreme weather of the past few years."...“The NOAA “State of the Climate in 2008” report asserted that 15 years or more without any statistically-significant warming would indicate a discrepancy between observation and prediction. Sixteen years without warming have therefore now proven that the models are wrong by their creators’ own criterion.”…(2nd parag. fr. end of letter). “Global warming that has not occurred cannot have caused the extreme weather of the past few years.”…"Policy actions that aim to reduce CO2 emissions are unlikely to influence future climate. Policies need to focus on preparation for, and adaptation to, all dangerous climatic events, however caused."...Special to Financial Post, 12/10/12
=================================
9. NOAA study says US 2012 weather extremes due to natural causes, not global warming:
4/12/13, “Study Reveals Global Warming Not To Blame For Last Year’s Crippling Drought,” stlouis.cbslocal.com with AP
.
“A new federal study reveals that global warming is not to blame for last year’s extreme drought that crippled the central Great Plains. The study conducted by the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Drought Task Force places the blame on natural variations.“…
------------------------------
10. 5/28/13, Peer reviewed NASA study says Superstorm Sandy not due to man-caused global warming or climate change:
5/28/13, "On the impact angle of Hurricane Sandy's New Jersey landfall," Geophysical Research Letters, Hall and Sobel
"Hall and Sobel report their findings in a paper published last week (29 May 2013) in Geophysical Research Letters, a journal of the American Geophysical Union."...
============
Following are two reports noting the above Sandy finding:
6/3/13, "Hurricane Sandy took highly unusual path, but climate change doesn’t get the blame – yet," blogs.AGU.org, by Sarah Charley
7/12/13, "Hurricane Sandy Was 1-in-700-Year Event," LiveScience.com, Elizabeth Howell
=============================
News of US CO2 plunge has been described as:
- “Surprising,“
- “little noticed,“
- “dramatic,“
- “stunner,“
- “most people are surprised to learn,“
- “quiet but tremendous progress,”
- “major long term implications,”
- “game changing,”
- “shocker,”
- “huge contrast to the forecast.”
==============================
7/11/13, "Networks Do 92 Climate Change Stories; Fail to Mention 'Lull' in Warming All 92 Times, ABC, CBS and NBC ignore 'mystery' warming plateau in favor of alarmism about sea levels, allergies, weather." Wall St. Journal, Julia A. Seymour
"Just since Jan. 1, 2013, ABC, CBS and NBC morning and evening news programs have aired 92 stories about "climate change" or "global warming." Not a single one of those stories mentioned the "warming plateau" reported even by The New York Times on June 10."...
====================
In 2012, EPA freely admits cutting greenhouse gas emissions at US electric utility units won't effect US CO2 emissions. They say it's to stimulate investment and to send a "signal internationally." A signal of what, they don't say. Perhaps it's a political signal:
3/27/12, "Standards of Performance for Greenhouse Gas Emissions for New Stationary Sources: Electric Utility Generating Units," EPA, Carbon Pollution Standard, Fed. Register, draft, epa.gov
p. 49, "While this proposed rule also will not have direct impact on U.S. emissions of greenhouse gases under expected economic conditions, it provides assurance that emission rates from new fossil fuel-fired generation will not exceed the level of the standard and will send a strong signal both domestically and
internationally.
Domestically, this proposed rule can further stimulate investment in CCS and other clean coal technologies,
by making it clear that such technologies do provide a clear path forward for new coal-fired generating capacity.
Internationally,
==================================
4/12/12, "The Illogic of EPA Carbon Regulations," USNews.com, by
Daniel Simmons
Does the EPA not really care about global warming
or are they working to end America's use of coal?
What explains the EPA's actions? And why are taxpayers paying for this nonsense?
The only thing we know for sure is that the EPA claims that global warming is a problem and then announces rules that the agency admits does nothing about it. Draw your own conclusions."
..
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