'Climate Refugee' hoax revealed, was key in demand for billions in 'reparations' from 'developed' nations

UPDATE: UN doubles down in face of flop 'refugee' claim: Now predicts 50 million 'climate refugees' by 2020, per Der Spiegel: 

4/18/11, "UN Embarrassed by Forecast on Climate Refugees, Feared migration hasn't happened," Der Spiegel, Axel Bojanowski

"Six years ago [2005], the United Nations issued a dramatic warning that the world would have to cope with 50 million climate refugees by 2010. But now that those migration flows have failed to materialize, the UN has distanced itself from the forecasts. On the contrary, populations are growing in the regions that had been identified as environmental danger zones.... 

Meanwhile a new forecast is doing the rounds. At the annual meeting of the American Association for the Advancement of Science (AAAS) in February, Cristina Tirado, an environment researcher at the University of California in Los Angeles, warned of 50 million environmental refugees in the future. That figure was a UN projection she said -- for 2020." (last paragraph of article).

United Nations UNEP claim in 2005, "50 million climate refugees by 2010" [link dead, but map cached]

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• Refugee claim was basis for which $100 billion was demanded at Copenhagen

4/13/11, "The Climate Refugee Hoax," IBD, Editorial

"Junk Science: Five years ago, the U.N. predicted that by 2010 some 50 million people would be fleeing climate change, rising seas, mega-hurricanes and so on.

• Instead, no islands have sunk and their populations are booming.

It's been said that when you make a prediction and provide a date, never give a number, and if you give a number, never provide a date. That way you can always claim to be right, even when you are wrong, and that it just hasn't happened yet.

The United Nations Environment Program (UNEP) made that mistake in 2005 when it produced a map showing areas to be impacted by the effects of climate change. These areas would produce 50 million "climate refugees" driven out by rising sea levels, increased frequency and ferocity of hurricanes,

• disruptions in food production, etc.

As related by blogger Gavin Atkins, who unearthed the forgotten prophecy of doom, some of these areas have conducted censuses and if they are facing any problems at all, it's caused by their rapid and sustained population growth. If anybody is leaving any of the danger zones, it's because

• they are getting too crowded.

For example, the latest census report shows that the population of the Solomon Islands near Australia has passed a half-million, up 100,009 in the last decade. The Seychelles, in the Indian Ocean, has seen its population rise from 81,755 in 2002 to 88,311.

The Bahamas, a favorite vacation spot for those rich capitalists plundering the earth, has added more than 50,000 people. China's six fastest-growing cities are in the middle of one of UNEP's climate change-affected danger zones, as are many U.S. coastal cities. At last report there was no mass migration inland. Apparently these endangered

• populations didn't get the memo.

In 2005, Britain's Guardian reported the refugee prediction by Janos Bogardi of the Institute for Environment and Human Security at the United Nations University in Bonn. He spoke of "well-founded fears that the number of people fleeing untenable environmental conditions may grow exponentially as the world experiences the effects of climate change."

• Well-founded?

The article noted that New Zealand had agreed to accept the 11,600 inhabitants of the low-lying Pacific island state Tuvalu if rising sea levels swamp the country. At last report,

• Tuvalu is alive and well and above water.

Apocalyptic changes forecast by climate change alarmists, according to Swedish geologist and physicist Nils-Axel Morner, former head of the International Commission on Sea Level Change, are not in the cards. Despite fluctuations down as well as up, "the sea is not rising," he says. "It hasn't risen in 50 years." If there is any rise this century it will "not be more than 10 cm (four inches), with an uncertainty

• of plus or minus 10 cm."

Hurricane frequency and intensity are a natural cyclical phenomena, made worse only by growing numbers rushing to the coasts, not fleeing from them. Chalk up this latest fear-mongering next to the myth of Himalayan glaciers

• that were supposed to vanish by 2035.

If there is any disruption in food supplies, it's caused by rising food prices ironically caused by increased demand for biofuels to save the earth, and the diversion of cropland and even the

• clear-cutting of sacred rainforests to produce them.

The endless fraud perpetrated by the climate hucksters knows no bounds. Neither does the inaccuracy of climate models that cannot predict the past. Yet they keep trying, like the cartoon prophet carrying the sign

• predicting the world will end tomorrow."

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4/15/11, "UN Caught Scrubbing Embarrassing Climate Refugee Prediction (Update: Gavin Links and Hotairalanche)," Patterico's Pontifications, Aaron Worthing
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1/24/10, "UN Wrongly linked global warming to natural disasters," TimesOnlineUK, by Jonathan Leake

"THE United Nations climate science panel faces new controversy for wrongly linking global warming to an increase in the number and severity of natural disasters

• such as hurricanes and floods.

It based the claims on an unpublished report that had not been subjected to routine scientific scrutiny —

• and ignored warnings from scientific advisers that the evidence supporting the link too weak. The report's own authors later withdrew the claim because they felt the evidence was not strong enough.

The claim by the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC), that global warming is already affecting the severity and frequency of global disasters,

• has since become embedded in political and public debate.

It was central to discussions at last month's Copenhagen climate summit, including a demand by developing countries for compensation of $100 billion (£62 billion) from the

• rich nations blamed for creating the most emissions.

Ed Miliband, the energy and climate change minister, has suggested British and overseas floods — such as those in Bangladesh in 2007 — could be linked to global warming.

• Barack Obama, the US president, said last autumn (2009): "More powerful storms and floods threaten every continent."

Last month Gordon Brown, the prime minister, told the Commons that the financial agreement at Copenhagen "must address the great injustice that . . . those hit first and hardest by climate change are those that have done least harm".

• The latest criticism of the IPCC comes a week after reports in The Sunday Times forced it to retract claims in its benchmark 2007 report that the Himalayan glaciers would be largely melted by 2035. It turned out that the bogus claim had been lifted from a news report published in 1999 by New Scientist magazine.

The new controversy also goes back to the IPCC's 2007 report in which a separate section warned that the world had "suffered rapidly rising costs due to extreme weather-related events since the 1970s". 

It suggested a part of this increase was due to global warming

• and cited the unpublished report, saying:

"One study has found that while the dominant signal remains that of the significant increases in the values of exposure at risk, once losses are normalised for exposure, there still remains an underlying rising trend."

The Sunday Times has since found that the scientific paper on which the IPCC based its claim

• had not been peer reviewed, nor published, at the time the climate body issued its report.

When the paper was eventually published, in 2008, it had a new caveat. It said: "We find insufficient evidence to claim a statistical relationship between global temperature increase and catastrophe losses."

• Despite this change the IPCC did not issue a clarification ahead of the Copenhagen climate summit last month.

It has also emerged that at least two scientific reviewers who checked drafts of the IPCC report urged greater caution in proposing a link between climate change and disaster impacts —

• but were ignored.

• The claim will now be re-examined and could be withdrawn."...

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4/16/11, "The UN 'disappears' 50 million climate refugees, then botches the cover-up" Anthony Watts, Daily Caller


via Climate Depot. Top photo from Berlingske, Copenhagen, described as Bangladesh 'Climate Refugees' victims of industrialized nations appeared during Copenhagen climate summit.







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