The world pretends it's free, but one man drives it all, Ben Bernanke. And the media report about this as if it were normal-Joanne Nova
6/21/13, "The Ben Factor. One man drives a market. The world pretends it is “free”." joannenova.com
"How much is that company worth? You can look at its PE, debt, market
spread, sovereign risk, and discounted cash flow, but in the end, it’s
the Ben Factor (BF) which dominates all companies, metal prices, and
sovereign currencies in the West.
The Ben hath spoken, and said that in future, if the economy is looking better, he might
slow the printing of $85 billion US dollars a month, some indefinite
non-specified day. All that was … obvious. But, world-wide investors and
traders hang off the words, trying to second-guess what the BF banality
implies. No one will say it, but everyone knows that it the rate of the
flow of easy cash so much as slows, all hell will break loose.
Balanced on this thin veneer of pretense, stocks, metals and whole
national currencies change direction within minutes....
Respected commentators in the mainstream
media report these events with straight faces, as if it is normal that
economic activity in a free market depends on the King-maker-called-Ben.
A bureaucrat. Millions of investors have effectively stopped assessing
company profits, and they place bets instead on money supply. Will The
Ben keep printing money at the same rate? Will it get harder to get
loans? Will consumers stop buying things they don’t really need? Will
consumers just stop? Can the BF manage an exponential rise with tweaks
and announcements, opening the flow of the IV drip while telling the
patient he is using less medication? How long will the placebo effect
keep working?
The Dow, the S&P500, the ASX, TSX, FTSE have all become giant
roulette wheels, but people stopped betting on the roll of the dice, and
bet instead on whether the dice have six sides and six numbers. They
bet on what the croupier will do next. How is his mood? Will he keep
using the dice with three sixes, or switch back to the one with two?
Will he say he’s using the slower dice, but secretly roll a more loaded
one? Who checks the dice?
In an economy where supply and demand are known to be the key drivers
of every price, no one utters the phrase that must not be spoken:
“money supply”. No one discusses monetary aggregates. The US Fed tells
us they are so irrelevant that they even stopped publishing the large
aggregate known as “M3″ a few years ago. No one in the mainstream
complained.
In the West we have a paper-based financial economy and trust banks
and government, more or less. The Western media hail the bureaucrats at
central banks who set interest rates as heroes. (Central planners in the
Soviet Union were also hailed as heroes by their press — but how could
that possibly be relevant, eh?)
The big unspoken charade continues.
PS: The Ben apparently is on the way out. Who will be the next Ben? You can vote &; “Other” &; “Ron Paul” like I did. Go on. Poke them." via Climate Depot
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