To end virus, ignore Trump/Birx state by state campaign. To naturally end virus, states must ‘speed the spread,’ not ‘slow the spread,’ have more ‘infections,’ and positive ‘cases’ in healthy populations as NYC metro has had with 2.8 million with antibodies

NY City metro is on its way to herd immunity: Over 2.8 million in NY City metro, 23% of population, have Covid antibodies as of May 6, 2020, per CDC tests, quadruple the number tests found five weeks earlier. CDC reports “are adjusted for false positive and false negative results.”
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States need to “speed the virus” among healthy population, not slow it. As in NY City metro: more “cases,” more “positive tests,” and more “infections,” = 2.8 million with antibodies in NY City metro, 23% of population. The only guaranteed, naturally available way to end a virus is by enough of the healthy population acquiring antibodies which confer sufficient immunity that whole communities can go about their normal lives. This is often referred to as “herd immunity.” As it happens,  UK virus “expert,” Prof. Neil Ferguson, who strongly urged US lockdown, believes in and practices this naturally acquired or “herd immunity” in his personal life as reported on May 5 and 6, 2020:

BBC, 5/6/20: Ferguson explains why he allowed a friend to visit him during UK lockdown “while lecturing the public on the need for strict social distancing:” “I acted in the belief that I was immune having tested positive for coronavirus and completely isolated myself for almost two weeks after developing symptoms.”…BBC article acknowledges and comments on Prof. Ferguson’s stated belief that he was immune from catching Covid again: May 6, 2020, “Coronavirus: Prof Neil Ferguson [temporarily] quits government role after ‘undermining’ lockdown,” BBC: “Despite Prof. Ferguson’s comments [that he had acquired immunity to the virus], it is currently unclear whether people who have recovered from the virus will be immune or able to catch it again.”…Prof. Ferguson is director of the MRC Centre for Global Infectious Disease Analysis, a group which “advises governments” and the WHO. 

Back to Trump, apparently it’s also implicit Trump policy that schools should remain closed indefinitely. From article below: “She [Dr. Birx] added young people who are asymptomatic are spreading the virus to their parents and grandparents.”… 

July 28, 2020, “Birx: TN should have statewide mask mandate and close bars to stop spread of COVID-19,” WBIR tv, Staff, Nashville, Tenn. 

“A member of the White House Coronavirus Task Force said…a statewide mask mandate would help curb the spread.... 

Birx met with Gov. Bill Lee on Monday morning and participated in a round table with community and state health officials. 

She advised that the spread has now reached more rural areas, and it was particularly important for people in those areas to wear masks and practice social distancing…. 

“Many Tennesseans suffer from issues that make the disease harder on them, like being overweight, heart and lung issues, diabetes,” Birx said. 

She said she hoped everyone heard President Trump’s message about the importance of wearing a mask…. 

She added young people who are asymptomatic are spreading the virus to their parents and grandparents.”…
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Added: One doctor in Tennessee thinks masks are such a miracle cure that schools should remain closed long enough to allow the [mask] mandate to work: 

AP, 7/27/20: ““We need a mask mandate immediately and we need to delay the start of in-person classes to allow the [mask] mandate to work,” pulmonary and critical care physician Dr. Aaron Milstone said, citing the uncontrolled spread of the virus in Tennessee. Otherwise, he [Milstone] said, the state must shut down again.”...7/27/30,“Tennessee resists White House COVID-19 recommendations,” AP, via WATE tv, Nashville, Kimberlee Kruesi 

Trump’s “slowing the spread” policy (along with masks) is aggressively being sold by Dr. Birx on a state by state basis involving public and private meetings with governors and and other officials, and press conferences. “Birx…has stopped by Tennessee after recently visiting Indiana, Ohio and Kentucky to meet with local leaders about COVID-19.” …It was never claimed that “slowing the spread” would “stop the spread” or “end the spread.” "Slowing the spread" was only said to be temporary policy to help hospitals.




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Trump’s cruel ‘slow the spread’ policy forces millions of fragile seniors into 5th month of solitary confinement, a punishment said to be inhumane even for murderers. States must ‘speed the spread’ with more ‘cases’, 'infections,' and ‘positive’ tests in healthy population to create antibodies

NY City metro on its way to herd immunity: Over 2.8 million in NY metro, 23% of population, have Covid antibodies as of May 6, 2020, per CDC tests, quadruple the number tests found five weeks earlier. CDC reports “are adjusted for false positive and false negative results.”
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July 28, 2020, “Virginia should ban ordering at some bars to slow coronavirus spread, says White House advisor Deborah Birx,” The Virginian Pilot, Marie Albiges, Richmond, Va. 

“Dr. Deborah Birx, one of the federal government’s top health officials and a leader on the [Trump] White House Coronavirus Task Force, said Tuesday [7/28] that...social distancing should be more strictly enforced in restaurants to mitigate the spread of the virus. [Efforts to “mitigate the spread” to allegedly help hospitals now in 5th month]. 

After privately meeting with Gov. Ralph Northam at a roundtable with health officials and community leaders, Birx spoke with reporters, saying she’d passed the same message on to governors in four other states over the past week. She also stressed the importance of wearing a mask when going out and not gathering in social groups [“slowing the spread” to allegedly help hospitals is in its 5th month]…. 

“(We’re) really asking every citizen to increase their responsibility with social distancing, to be wearing a mask, to not go to bars, to really limit their social gatherings,” she said.”…

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NY City Metro well on its way to herd immunity: 2.8 million have antibodies created by 2.8 million "infections" as of 5/6/20 per CDC. Most never knew they were “infected,” may never have symptoms-Staten Island Advance

Great news for NY metro: Over 2.8 million in NY metro have Covid antibodies as of May 6, 2020, per CDC tests, quadruple the number in CDC NY metro test five weeks earlier:

Second NYC CDC test: April 25-May 6: 2,832,000 test “positive,” 23% of the population had coronavirus antibodies present in blood samples, ["10 times higher than reported cases showed”] which is consistent with the timing of the outbreak throughout New York. The results also fell in line with a [NY] state-run survey that was conducted around the same time. Testing positive for antibodies means they’ve “been infected” at some time in the past, often without knowing it, having few or no symptoms, and may never have symptoms. "The results reported by the CDC are adjusted for false positive and false negative results."
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First NYC CDC test: March 23-April 1…642,000 tested “positive” for Covid antibodies, about 7% of population, meaning persons had been “infected” sometime in the past, most not having experienced symptoms, and may never do so.
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Having 23% with antibodies as of May 6, NYC metro is well on its way to herd immunity. Since we’re now in late July, the percentage with antibodies is likely even higher. Wide acquisition of antibodies by healthy population is the only method guaranteed to stop a virus. The NY metro antibody success is amazing considering brute force government barriers put in the way of their creation, wittingly or not. We desperately need more “cases” and “positive tests” in order to achieve immunity. Instead, we’re erroneously led to believe the opposite, that each new “positive test” or “case” even among young, healthy people, is a horrible thing, death may be imminent. 2.8 million New Yorkers know that’s not so. 

Governments have no power over viruses. They’re not in the game. The only guaranteed killer of viruses is enough healthy individual human beings being exposed to the virus, fighting it off, and developing antibodies. Antibodies are created when the body fights an infection, such as Covid-19. This “fight” is how individuals develop immunity. Once the virus has said hello to the world, if enough average, healthy individuals, one by one, let the virus into their body and successfully fight it off, herd immunity is acquired and the virus ends. “Infected” persons often experience no symptoms: 

Sources: Two articles from Staten Island {NY) Advance, July 21 and April 27: 

July 21, 2020, “CDC data shows coronavirus infections far higher in NYC than reported cases indicated,“ Staten Island Advance, Joseph Ostapiuk, Staten Island, NY 

“Data published Tuesday [7/21] by the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC) showed that actual coronavirus (COVID-19) infections in New York City were at least 10 times higher than reported cases showed. 

The preliminary findings published by the CDC analyzed seroprevalence — the presence of a virus in a population based on blood samples — in 10 different cities and states, and found that actual numbers of people [with antibodies and with no symptoms] infected with the virus in this [NY metro] region was actually between two and 13 times higher than was previously confirmed through positive test results. 

The CDC data suggests that wide swaths of the population in these areas were asymptomatic or did not seek medical care....“Many of these people likely had no symptoms or mild illness and may have had no idea that they were infected.””…[The results reported by the CDC are adjusted for false positive and false negative results."]

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Added: NY metro acquired antibodies early: In April nearly 25% of New York City residents tested positive for coronavirus antibodies:  

April 27, 2020, “Latest coronavirus antibody testing shows nearly 25% positive in New York City,“ Staten Island Advance, Paul Liotta, Staten Island, NY 

“Nearly 25% of New York City residents tested so far are positive for coronavirus antibodies, according to the latest data available from the state…. 

Cuomo has repeatedly pointed to antibody positives as a sign that people could begin to safely return to normal life. Most antibodies from coronavirus strains, including the four that cause the common cold, provide [at minimum] temporary immunity to those infected.“…
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Added: More about antibody testing: 

“Coronavirus Antibody Testing,” WebMD.com 

“What Is an Antibody Test? 

An antibody test is a screening for things called antibodies in your blood. Your body makes these when it fights an infection, like COVID-19. The same thing happens when you get a vaccine, like a flu shot. That’s how you build immunity to a virus. 

You may also hear it called a serology test. 

The antibody test isn’t checking for the virus itself. Instead, it looks to see whether your immune system — your body’s defense against illness — has responded to the infection. 

How Does an Antibody Test Work? 

A technician will take a bit of your blood, like through a finger prick. The test looks for one or both kinds of antibodies to SARS-CoV-2, the virus that causes COVID-19:

*IgM antibodies, which happen early in an infection

*IgG antibodies, which are more likely to show up later 

Most people have IgG antibodies about 14 days after symptoms start. They usually stay in your blood long after the infection goes away, but we don’t know how long that is for the new coronavirus. 

What’s the Difference Between a Coronavirus Test and an Antibody Test? 

A coronavirus test, sometimes called a diagnostic test, looks for signs of active virus. It’s simpler and faster than an antibody test. But it tells you only if you have the virus in your body at the moment when you’re tested. 

An antibody test shows that you had the virus at some point in the past. It could be gone, or you could still be contagious. 

Why Do We Need Antibody Testing? 

You could have SARS-CoV-2 and not know it. Not everyone who gets it has symptoms. Experts hope antibody tests can give health officials a better idea of how common the virus is. 

Once scientists know who has had the virus, they can find out how sick [if at all] it makes most people. And they can study what happens if people who’ve had it come into contact with it again. Along with other scientific information, this can help researchers understand who might be immune to the virus. 

The hope [proven beyond a doubt by 2.8 million New Yorkers] is that people with antibodies to COVID-19 can safely get back to work, and normal life, quicker…. 

Researchers are studying how antibodies in plasma donated by people who’ve recovered from COVID-19 might help those who are ill with the virus. Early research shows that this plasma may help sick people get better faster…. 

Are Antibody Tests Accurate? 

Companies make their own claims about the accuracy of their antibody tests. Some say it’s up to 100%. Government researchers are studying how well the tests are working, but it’s too early to say for sure….["The results reported by the CDC are adjusted for false positive and false negative results."]

It’s important to note that some tests can mistake IgM antibodies from other coronaviruses, such as common cold strains, for SARS-CoV-2 antibodies…. 

What Do the Results Mean for You? 

If you test positive for SARS-CoV-2 antibodies, it probably means you’ve had the virus. It’s also possible to get a “false positive” if you have antibodies but had a different kind of coronavirus. 

A positive result might mean you have some immunity to the coronavirus. It’s too early to know how strong it is or how long it might last. 

A negative result means you haven’t come into contact with the virus or you haven’t had it long enough to make antibodies. You could also have been exposed and not have antibodies. This is called a false negative. 

No matter the result, if you don’t have symptoms, you don’t need follow-up. But if you do, you might have a diagnostic test to look for signs of active virus.”…

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Bumbling UK got away with computer ordered holocaust in 2001, so in 2020 US elites joined their UK monarchy pals for what will be known as the greatest and most inhumane computer ordered holocaust in history

2004, “Lest We Forget,” John Brignell, numberwatch.co.uk



[Above, 4/12/20, “The full horrifying scale of the 2001 foot and mouth outbreak told by the Welsh farmers in the middle of it,“ walesonline.co.uk, Anna Lewis] 

“This is chapter 15 of the “Epidemiologists: Have they got scares for you“ [by John Brignell]. It leans heavily on Not the foot and mouth report: everything Tony Blair did not want you to know about the biggest blunder in his premiership (Private Eye special report November 2001). 

15. Holocaust… 

“Monday February 19^th 2001 was a day much as any other for veterinary surgeon Craig Kirby, as he began a routine inspection of the pigs at an abattoir in Little Warley near Brentwood in Essex. Because of the wholesale closure of local facilities, due to the over-zealous application of European Union hygiene rules by British civil servants, by this time animals were travelling cruelly long distances to be killed. This in itself was an inhumane outrage, but it was to pale into insignificance with the nastiness yet to come. These pigs, which had come from Buckinghamshire and the Isle of Wight, had been showing signs of lethargy, so the vet was particularly careful in his examination, during which he noticed blisters. The last epidemic of foot and mouth (FMD) had taken place in 1967, before he was born, but he identified the symptoms and immediately called the ministry (MAFF). 

The Ministry for Agriculture Fisheries and Food had achieved a certain notoriety long before these events. They had exhibited a mixture of incompetence, arrogance and complacency that seemed to typify all that was worst in the Great British Bureaucrat. They had veered wildly from suppressing evidence of real dangers to implementing senseless bans on such things as Roseclear and beef-on-the-bone. Two years before this particular crisis, I wrote in Sorry, wrong number! that they had been out of control for years. Not only was the mind-set of this organisation a recipe for disaster, its veterinary service had been savaged during the public expenditure cuts of the Thatcher Government and the number of vets was half what it had been. 

34 years previously the outbreak of the disease had been confined to a small area in Cheshire and Shropshire, but now, thanks to the overweening bureaucracy and interventionist governments in London and Brussels, animals were being wretchedly transported hither and thither all over the country. By the Friday an outbreak had occurred at the run-down farm of two brothers in Northumberland, the state of their husbandry earned them nomination by MAFF as the scapegoats for the whole disaster, though no evidence was adduced until much later.

It is almost certain that the disease had been around for some time in sheep, which reveal few and relatively mild symptoms. Before the crisis was a week old, outbreaks were being investigated in Gloucestershire, Northern Ireland, Scotland, Devon and Wiltshire. By the end of the month I had posted on Number Watch, under the heading mad, mad, mad! my Number of the Month which was the number of animals slaughtered, 15,000. Little did we know that this was to become a drop in the ocean. 

The state of the art 

It would be salutary at this stage to examine the state of knowledge of the disease and its treatment, as it existed at the commencement of the outbreak [in 2001]. The world’s leading laboratory in this field was the US Institute of Animal Health on Plumb Island, New York. Among its staff was one who was recognised as the leading authority, Professor Fred Brown, an Englishman and formerly the head of Britain’s centre of expertise, the Pirbright Institute. In Europe the acknowledged expert was a Dutch vet, Dr Simon Barteling, who had been responsible for handling over 20 outbreaks of the disease in different parts of the world. Both these experts had worked with the most modern vaccines and had expressed their conviction that vaccination provided the key to rapid control of the disease without the need to resort to mass slaughter. Indeed, when an outbreak occurred in Albania and Macedonia in 1996, the EU, fearing a spread across its own borders, had quickly set up a vaccination programme. The outbreak was totally suppressed within a few weeks. Thus, it was not just theoretical knowledge, but practical experience with convincing results, that pointed to vaccination as being the only reasonable and effective way to tackle the disease: but the British establishment had its mind set on slaughter. 

The growing crisis 

As February gave way to March [2001], the number of separate outbreaks had reached 32. Two days later, with articles in the press stating that it was unlikely to reach the proportions of the 1960s epidemic, it had got to 52, in areas as far apart as Cumbria, Dumfries, Lancashire, Herefordshire and the Isle of Wight. Four days on it was 81 and after one more day it was up to 96. MAFF’s chief vet, Jim Scudamore, at this stage expressed confidence that “the number of outbreaks would begin to fall by the weekend”. The killing fields were now operating in earnest and the number animals already or about to be slaughtered had reached 90,000. 

By now Government orders had closed down the countryside, with all footpaths and bridleways blocked off throughout the nation. Not only farming, but entire rural industries, which had all suffered from Government policies ranging from indifference to downright hostility, were threatened with imminent bankruptcy. By March 11^th the Minister responsible, Nick Brown, was “absolutely certain that the disease was under control – we are going to eliminate it.” The number of outbreaks had now reached 161. Vast funeral pyres sent the last hopes of the farming industry reeking up to heaven. Carcasses waiting to be burnt lay bloated and putrid in the fields. Shreds of half burnt skin and flesh were wafted across the fields and into people’s gardens. 

In an even more bizarre move, MAFF decided that carcases would have to be taken to a rendering plant in Widnes, Lancashire. Infected animals were carted hundreds of miles through disease-free territory. The Prime Minister [Tony Blair] was in a dilemma. He had decided to cut and run for an election a year early, no doubt being aware that the economic boom would be unsustainable beyond the autumn. He had chosen May 3^rd, a date that was looking more and more unlikely as the disaster progressed. By March 16^th, with cases now at 240, MAFF really began to panic. They announced a policy of “contiguous cull” which meant that all animals within three kilometre zones around known cases would be slaughtered. 18^th March, 303 cases, 20^th March 343 cases, 21^st March 411 cases. The opposition spokesman, Tim Yeo, accused the government of incompetence in not speeding up the slaughter, while Ben Gill, NFU President, pleaded with the Prime Minister for more efficient extermination. 

Enter the epidemiologist (with his computer) 

Professor Roy Anderson had suddenly turned up at in 1999 at Imperial College, having resigned a chair at Oxford in somewhat shady circumstances. The details do not concern us here, but suffice it to say that a meeting of 26 professors and readers in the Department of Zoology had met and passed a motion of no confidence in him. It was said that his autocratic style had made conditions impossible and divisions ran very deep. 

Professor Anderson’s team, which included Dr. Neil Ferguson and Dr Christl Donnelly, had been working on the use of computers to model human diseases such as AIDS, malaria and TB, but suddenly at the first outbreak of FMD they had switched their resources to this disease. By one of those strange quirks of precognition that seem to surround this crisis, Dr Donnelly had out of the blue produced a paper on this disease of animals, when all their previous work had concerned humans. By applying their models to the earlier outbreak they had come to the conclusion that the only solution was the slaughter of all animals on the day of diagnosis. However, they now went further than that. Not only were they calling for the killing of all infected animals, but they also insisted that all animals should be killed in a contiguous zone of three kilometres [1.86 miles], which was adopted by MAFF. Anderson had the considerable advantage of being pally with the pillars of the Government scientific establishment, Sir John Krebs, chief executive of the new Food Standards Agency, Professor David King, a chemist who was the new Government Chief Scientist and Sir Robert May, the former Chief Scientist and President of the Royal Society. 

It is relevant at this point to comment on the touching faith that politicians and the media have in computer models. It is generally true to say that most large computer models are not worth the magnetic oxide they are written on, and I say that as one who has been computer modelling for well over 40 years. Often they are written in the glaring absence of knowledge of the fundamental interactions on which they ought to depend. A notorious case is the climate models that predicted catastrophic global warming, when almost nothing was known about the mechanisms that control the climate. In the case of FMD, they did not even know how the disease was carried. It could be on the wind, on the wheels of vehicles or the soles of boots, in the throats of human beings or any combination of these and others. 

Computer modelling has a number of attractions for academics. It does not need the resources that experimental science demands; nor does it need the long hours of careful attention required for research by measurement. In just a few hours you can create a model, just a computer program, which is so complex that no outsider can hope to unravel it. You can build in many assumptions that might well be unjustifiable under independent examination. Furthermore, the human unconscious is a mischievous influence that can produce the desired results, even for those who are not deliberately cheating.  

In the same few hours you can produce beautiful graphs and tables, the like of which would take months in experimental science, but which are so convincing to laymen and particularly politicians and bureaucrats. This is a point so important that it is worth an interlude of its own. 

An aside on computer modelling 

“A theory has only the alternative of being right or wrong. A model has a third possibility; it may be right, but irrelevant.” Manfred Egan 

This is one of the most powerful tools available to science and engineering and, like all powerful tools, it brings dangers as well as benefits. Andrew Donald Booth said “Every system is its own best analogue”. As a scientist he should, of course, have said in what sense he means best. The statement is true in terms of accuracy but not in terms of utility. If you want to determine the optimum shape for the members of a bridge structure, for example, you cannot build half a dozen bridges and test them to destruction, but you can try large numbers of variations in a computer model. Computers allow us to optimise designs in ways that were unavailable in times past. Nevertheless, the very flexibility of a computer program, the ease with which a glib algorithm can be implemented with a few lines of code and the difficulty of fully understanding its implications can pave the path to Cloud Cuckoo Land. 

The main hazards of computer modelling can be summarised under a few headings: 

Assumptions 

At almost every stage in the development of a model it is necessary to make assumptions, perhaps hundreds of them. These might or might not be considered reasonable by others in the field, but they rapidly become hidden. Some of the larger models of recent times deal with the interactions of variables whose very nature is virtually unknown to science. 

Auditability 

In olden times, if a scientist published a theory, all the stages of reasoning that led to it could be critically examined by other scientists. With a computer model, it is possible, within a few days of development, for it to become so complex that it is a virtual impossibility for an outsider to understand it fully. Indeed, where it is the result of a team effort, it becomes unlikely that any individual understands it. 

Omissions 

Often vital elements can be left out of a model and the effect of the omissions is only realised if and when it is tested against reality. A notorious example is the Millennium Bridge in London. It was only after it was built and people started to walk on it that the engineers realised that they had created a resonant structure. This could have been modelled dynamically if they had thought about it. Now bridges are nothing new; they have been built for ages, and most of their characteristics are well known. There was even an example of the genre in the Tacoma Narrows suspension bridge in Puget Sound, Washington, which due to resonant behaviour self destructed under rather windy conditions in 1940. Thereafter, better mathematical models for bridge oscillation were developed. Some models that produce profound political and economic consequences have never faced such a challenge. 

Subconscious 

The human subconscious is a powerful force. Even in relatively simple physical measurements it has been shown that the results can be affected by the desires and expectations of the experimenter. In a large computer model this effect can be multiplied a thousand fold. Naturally, we discount the possibility of deliberate fraud. 

Sophistication 

This word, which literally means falsification or adulteration, has come to mean advanced and efficient. In large computer models, however, the literal meaning is often more applicable. The structure simply becomes too large and complex for the inputs that support it. 

Testability 

When we were pioneering the applications of computer modelling about forty years ago, we soon came to the conclusion that a model is useless unless it can be tested against reality. If a model gives a reasonably accurate prediction on a simple system then we have reasonable, but not irrefutable, grounds for believing it to be accurate in other circumstances. Unfortunately, this is one of the truisms that have been lost in the enthusiasms of the new age. 

Chaos 

Large models are often chaotic, which means that very small changes in the input variables produce very large changes in the output variables. Some very simple processes can amplify errors, taking the difference between numbers of a similar magnitude for example. The errors (or noise) are then propagated through the system. If there are feedback mechanisms present, it is quite possible for systems to operate on the noise alone. 

Many of the computer models that receive great media coverage and political endorsement fail under some of these headings; and, indeed, some fail under all of them. Yet they are used as the excuse for profound, and often extremely damaging, policies that affect everyone. 

That is why computer models are dangerous tools. 

Back to the plot 

One of the political developments that had occurred in the years leading up to the [2001 UK] FMD crisis had been the inexorable move towards a presidential style of government. The Prime Minister, with his plans to hold an election before the economic bubble burst, himself took charge of the whole shooting match. Taking charge meant, of course, nominating individuals to do it for him. On the 22^nd of March he paid a flying visit to Cumbria and was visibly shocked to meet a hail of abuse. 

The result was nothing less than a complete coup. MAFF was swept aside, not only its incompetent bureaucrats but also its vets, who were the only people who had any expertise in the disease. The two men put in charge were Professor King, a surface chemist, and Professor Anderson, a computer programming human epidemiologist. It is difficult to imagine a more extraordinary choice of expertise on which to base a strategy. 

By this time the dismal failure of the MAFF approach was underlined by the almost exponential rise in case numbers, to 846 by the end of the month. Anderson’s computer was now in charge. Unfortunately, in addition to the inadequacies of the program itself, in the long tradition of GIGO (garbage in, garbage out) the data being fed into it were hopelessly wrong. Even the start date for the outbreak of February was probably wrong, but the reporting of cases was a disaster. The cull itself was destroying the evidence of the rate of infection. 

Meanwhile an outbreak occurred in Holland. The Dutch implemented an immediate programme of vaccination, which suppressed the disease almost at once. The vaccinated animals were all slaughtered, but that was only done to satisfy the EU and its fears about its meat trading status. In Britain, the carnage, which had already seemed unimaginably barbaric, was about to enter an even more cataclysmic stage. The professor’s computer, like some latter day insatiable Moloch, demanded more and more blood sacrifices. The hit squads, by now not only officials but also the army, were roaming the countryside shooting, bludgeoning and drowning perfectly healthy animals. 

The anecdotes from this period read like a lunatic’s account of a madman’s war. A mistake in a map grid reference caused the deaths, not only of a farmer’s livestock, but also his children’s pets. Other stock were killed through clerical error. 20,000 animals in Devon were saved at the last minute when a mistaken diagnosis was discovered. Pregnant sheep were shot at random while they climbed over the corpses of their fellows. Houses were broken into so that pets could be slaughtered. Mounds of carcases lay neglected and rotting in the fields, others were transported in lorries through hitherto unaffected areas with blood dripping onto the roads. Funeral pyres sent clouds of reeking smoke across housing estates. Burial pits containing up to half a million corpses leached blood and gore into water supplies. Thousands had to be dug up again. 

It was at this point, towards the end of April [2001], that Prof King announced that the disease was “totally under control”. The election, which had now been put off to June, was uppermost in political minds and the spin-doctors took over. 

Suddenly the slaughter of healthy cattle was not so important and sheep were put in the firing line as the main spreaders of the virus. This had the other considerable political advantage that the EU had decreed that Britain was overpopulated with sheep anyway. From now on, it would be presentation that mattered. By now the total number of outbreaks had risen to 1,517. MAFF began to present only daily figures and wiped all the historical data off its web site. Slaughterings were reclassified so that they did not appear in the daily headline figure. Outbreaks were only included when they had been confirmed by subsequent testing. Farmers in Cumbria claimed that 24 outbreaks in their area had been reported by MAFF as only 9. Most sinister of all was a sudden conversion by MAFF vets from a tendency to label every suspicious case as FMD to a reluctance to admit that even the most obvious cases were the disease at all. 

Dr Paul Kitchen, Britain’s leading expert on the disease, had been the most vehement critic of Prof Anderson’s computer. In the face of the way the election date had been changed, with the computer predictions following conveniently, he resigned his post as deputy head of Pirbright and took up a post in Canada. 

In May [2001], as the election campaign warmed up, the situation became really weird. The media, and particularly the BBC, were lulled into a remarkable quietude by the presentation skills of the spin-doctors. They behaved as if the crisis were all but over. Out in the real world of the British countryside the slaughter had entered a new crescendo. The daily average of animals killed reached a startling 32,000. The total number of deaths was now 6 million, nearly a tenth of Britain’s entire livestock. Ministers decreed the opening up of the countryside with photo-opportunities at appropriate tourist sites. Meanwhile, in places like Devon, Cumbria and Dumfries, the terror was being inflicted with greater intensity than ever. A few horror stories about armed gangs breaking in to slaughter pets leaked into the media. Farmers and animal sanctuary proprietors had begun legal challenges, many of which MAFF gave up on without a fight, by now being well aware that its actions had been quite illegal. 

When another outbreak occurred in a new area, Settle in Yorkshire, MAFF suddenly refused to put the figures on its web site, citing the Data Protection Act as a reason. Secret mass burials were being carried out at the dead of night in ordinary landfill sites. Death squads of MAFF officials, backed up by dozens of policemen in riot gear, roamed the villages of Devon shooting every animal in sight. It was one of the most extraordinary examples of mass law-breaking in history, and all carried out be Government officials. 

Tony Blair won his great gamble. Like his predecessor in large majority government, Margaret Thatcher, he was returned to power not by public enthusiasm for his own policies, but rather by the suicidal tendencies in the opposition. The aftermath was just as sordid as the conduct of the crisis itself. No official was punished for the massive breaches of the law. The only recognition that they had occurred was the Government’s seeking powers to slaughter more legally in future. Calls from many influential sources for a full inquiry were ignored and the Government spin-doctors dreamed up a scheme of three innocuous mini-inquiries as a substitute. MAFF had its name changed to DEFRA, but they were the same people in the same offices with the same mind set. In the week after the election 80,000 animals were killed and in the following week 93,000. The government also began to speak of restricting farming to those with licences to carry it out. 

The epidemiologists had the last word. Prof Anderson claimed in an article in Nature that one million animals and four hundred farms could have been saved if his cull policy had been “fully enforced”. Even more bizarrely, Prof King stated in a TV interview that next time “vaccination would have to be top of the agenda”, not explaining why next time would be different from the last. Nearly eight million animals, one eighth of all those in Britain and most of them healthy, had been slain. Mass bankruptcies occurred throughout the rural economy. Industries ranging from hotel chains to hot air balloon manufacturers were devastated. The total cost to the British economy was in the range 10 to 20 billion pounds. Promises of Government aid faded away in the miasma of bureaucratic manoeuvring and EU regulation. 

And, as occurred in Holland, it could all have been avoided with a simple programme of vaccination. It was all done in the name of a theoretical disease free status, which had ironically beeninvented by the British.Above all, it was yet another triumph for the science of epidemiology. If you think such an ironic remark unduly provocative, consider the summing up a year later by Professor David King, the UK Government Chief Scientific Adviser, who described the handling of the foot-and-mouth epidemic as “quite an achievement…a magnificent record”. He told the BBC Today programme that securing Britain’s status as an FMD-free country was a cause for “celebration”. Members of the European Parliament, among others, took rather a different view. 

Anyway, the good professor surfaced again in January 2004. US global warming delay worse that al Qaeda bawled The Times headline. The Telegraph more modestly appended the story to a fantasy about early spring: 

Tony Blair’s chief scientific adviser says that climate change is a more serious threat than terrorism. 

In Science magazine today, Sir David King accuses America of failing to take global warming seriously. As a consequence of the phenomenon, he says, “millions more people around the world may in future be exposed to the risk of hunger, drought, flooding and diseases such as malaria”. 

Now the reader might well be of that religious persuasion that adheres to the man-made global warming myth, but it depends on computer models with all the flaws that we have described above, yet are orders of magnitude larger that the ones responsible for the holocaust. Furthermore, previous warm periods have been times of the burgeoning of civilisation and culture, the disappearance of famine and the rise of prosperity.

Also, as we observed way back in chapter 2, malaria is not just a tropical disease. To compare that with the threat from an evil bunch of mass murderers indicates a somewhat strange system of priorities, the sort that leads to the deaths of millions of innocent animals. Shortly after the Madrid railway bombings took place. 

But enough of horror stories. Let us look at some other wonders.”




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Trump doubles down on his ownership of lockdowns, says 3 million would’ve died without his lockdown. And, “a lot of people say herd,” but herd is “no good”-Wall St. Journal Trump interview, June 18, 2020

June 18, 2020, “Transcript of President Trump’s Interview With The Wall Street Journal,” Wall St. Journal 

“Mr. Trump: “On coronavirus, I acted very quickly, and I acted early. And they can’t get over it. Number one. Number two. If I didn’t act, we would have had 3 million deaths....We’re doing very well on vaccine. We’re doing very well on therapeutic. But if I didn’t do what we did, we would have anywhere from 1.5 million to 3 million deaths.“… 

[“Yes, that’s called doubling down, and even owning the lockdowns. What about the data showing that the median infection fatality rate for people under 70 is 0.04%, and zero for children?” AIER, 6/19/20] 

(continuing, Trump): “We did the right thing. We closed it down. We closed it down. Expensive. But you can’t put a price on saving millions of lives. We saved millions of lives. You know, a lot of people say herd. Well how did herd work for Sweden? No good.. How did herd work for Brazil? No good.“…
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Added: “Herd" is "no good” says Trump?“ UK virus “expert,” Prof. Neil Ferguson, who urged US lockdown, believes in and practices herd immunity in his personal life:

BBC, 5/6/20: Ferguson explains why he allowed a friend to visit him during UK lockdown “while lecturing the public on the need for strict social distancing:” “I acted in the belief that I was immune having tested positive for coronavirus and completely isolated myself for almost two weeks after developing symptoms.”… 

BBC article acknowledges and comments on Prof. Ferguson’s stated belief that he was immune from catching Covid again: 

May 6, 2020, “Coronavirus: Prof Neil Ferguson [temporarily] quits government role after ‘undermining’ lockdown,” BBC 

“Despite Prof. Ferguson’s comments [that he had acquired immunity to the virus], it is currently unclear whether people who have recovered from the virus will be immune or able to catch it again.”…Prof. Ferguson is director of the MRC Centre for Global Infectious Disease Analysis, a group which “advises governments” and the WHO.
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Added: Neil Ferguson has the greatest “immunity” on earth: He’s tops with the Queen. She was so impressed with Ferguson and his 2001 computer models that called for immediate slaughter of millions of healthy farm animals that in 2002 she awarded him with an OBE, Order of the British Empire...."Slaughters took place on 131,000 UK farms,” 4/13/2001…Ferguson’s urgent 2001 computer model predictions were sold in the same febrile atmosphere in which his 2020 “millions will die” predictions were sold. UK Telegraph, 3/28/20
 

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Above, 4/12/20, “The full horrifying scale of the 2001 foot and mouth outbreak told by the Welsh farmers in the middle of it,“ walesonline.co.uk, Anna Lewis
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Comment: As someone recently said, “This time we’re the cattle.”


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Above: June 3, 2019, Trump and his pal the Queen during dinner at Buckingham Palace, getty

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Above: Ivanka Trump at State Banquet at Buckingham Palace, London, Monday, June 3, 2019. (Photo via AP)

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Added: From “The Epidemiologists: Have they got scares for you:” “They had exhibited a mixture of incompetence, arrogance and complacency that seemed to typify all that was worst in the Great British Bureaucrat. They had veered wildly from suppressing evidence of real dangers to implementing senseless bans on such things as Roseclear and beef-on-the-bone.”…subhead, “Onset.” numberwatch.co.uk, 2004

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