Instead of “89% increase in hospitalizations,” Calif. government website rolling average shows 14.2% decrease in hospitalizations over past month, 9/25-10/26 and 22.7% decrease in ICU patients.
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Scary 89% media headlines as requested, eg, 9/25 LA Times and AP/KTLA:
9/25/20, “California COVID-19 hospitalizations could jump 89% in next month amid signs of coronavirus spread," LA Times, Alex Wigglesworth
California government official is “hopeful” that media will help spread the word about government’s “concern:"
“Today’s message is hopeful that all of you as reporters will help us communicate that indeed there is concern and we have the tools to reduce transmission,” Ghaly said.”
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9/25/20, “CA COVID-19 hospitalizations expected to jump 89% over next month amid signs of virus spread," AP via KTLA TV, Los Angeles
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Added: Calif. government Covid website rolling averages show 14.2% decrease in hospitalizations over past month, 9/25-10/26:
Oct. 27, 2020, “Tracking COVID-19 in California,” covid19.ca.gov
(scroll down): “Impact on hospitals and ICUs”
Confirmed and “suspected” COVID-19 hospitalizations in California:
Instead of 89% increase, a decrease of 14.2%:
3535: As of Sept. 25, 14 day rolling average of hospitalized patients
3033: As of Oct. 26, 14 day rolling average of hospitalized patients
Difference: 502 fewer hospitalized, Sept. 25-Oct. 26, 2020, a decrease of 14.2%.
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Added: Rolling average also shows 22.7% decrease in ICU patients over past month:
Confirmed “and suspected” Covid ICU patients:
Sept. 25, 2020: 14 day rolling average of ICU patients was 964
Oct. 26, 2020: 14 day rolling average of ICU patients was 745
Difference: 219 fewer ICU patients, Sept. 25-Oct. 26, 2020, a decrease of 22.7% ICU patients.
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