Imperial College of London grossly overestimated Covid-19 deaths in Sweden per data from Swedish Health Agency (FOHM) as of June 5-Swiss Policy Research

As of June 21, 2020, “Studies on Covid-19 lethality,” Swiss Policy Reserach, swprs.org 

“9) Overall mortality… 

A comparison between the number of coronavirus deaths predicted by the influential model of Imperial College London (no measures or moderate measures) and the actual number of deaths in Sweden shows that the model strongly overestimated the impact of the epidemic:



[Above chart source: June 5 update from Swedish Health Agency, FOHM. ..."ICL Model [Imperial College of London] predictions versus actual Covid-19 deaths (HTY/FOHM)”] 

10) Development of the epidemic 

Even in countries without a lockdown, the epidemic reached its peak within a few weeks of the outbreak. However, many media showed cumulative deaths per day of report (left) instead of daily deaths per day of death (right), falsely implying an ever escalating situation.”...[Cui bono?]



Chart above left, Source: European CDC 

Chart above right, Source: FOHM, (Swedish Health Agency)





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