“President Barack Obama abruptly canceled a long-planned
missile shield for Eastern Europe Thursday, replacing a Bush-era project
that was bitterly opposed by Russia with a plan he contended would better defend against a growing threat of Iranian missiles.
The United States will no longer seek to erect a missile base
and radar site in Poland and the Czech Republic, poised at Russia’s
hemline. That change is bound to please the Russians, who had
never accepted U.S. arguments, made by both the Bush and Obama
administrations, that the shield was intended strictly as a defense
against Iran and other “rogue states.”
Scrapping the planned shield, however, means upending
agreements with the host countries that had cost those allies political
support among their own people. Obama called Polish and Czech
leaders ahead of his announcement, and a team of senior diplomats and
others flew to Europe to lay out the new plan.
“Our new missile defense architecture in Europe will provide stronger, smarter, and swifter defenses of American forces and America’s allies,” Obama said in announcing the shift,
which U.S. officials said was based mainly on a May U.S. intelligence
assessment that Iran’s program to build a nuclear-capable long-range
missile would take three years to five years longer than originally
expected.
The replacement system would link smaller radar systems with a
network of sensors and missiles that could be deployed at sea or on
land. Some of the weaponry and sensors are ready now, and the rest would be developed over the next 10 years.
The Pentagon contemplates a system of perhaps 40 missiles by 2015, at
two or three sites across Europe. That would augment a larger stockpile
aboard ships. The replacement system would cost an estimated
$2.5 billion, compared with $5 billion over the same timeframe under the
old plan. The cost savings would be less, however, because the Pentagon is locked into work on some elements of the old system.
The change comes days before Obama
is to meet with Russian President Dmitry Medvedev at the United Nations
and the Group of 20 economic summit. Medvedev reacted positively,
calling it a “responsible move.”
“The U.S. president’s decision is a well-thought-out and
systematic one,” said Konstantin Kosachev, head of the foreign affairs
committee in the State Duma, the lower house of the Russian
Parliament. “Now we can talk about restoration of the strategic
partnership between Russia and the United States.”
At the same time, Russia’s top diplomat warned that Moscow remains
opposed to new punitive sanctions on Iran to stop what the West contends
is a drive toward nuclear weapons.
The spokesman of Iran’s parliamentary committee on national security
and foreign policy, Kazem Jalali, called the decision positive, though
in a backhanded way.
“It would be more positive if President Obama entirely give up such plans, which were based on the Bush administration’s Iran-phobic policies,” Jalali told The Associated Press.
Defense Secretary Robert Gates said Iran’s changing
capabilities drove the decision, not any concern about the Russians, but
he acknowledged that the replacement system was likely to allay some of
Russia’s concerns.
American reaction quickly split along partisan lines. Longtime
Republican supporters of the missile defense idea called the switch
naive and a sop to Russia. Democrats welcomed the move, with House Speaker Nancy Pelosi calling it “brilliant.”
“The administration apparently has decided to empower Russia and Iran
at the expense of the national security interests of the United States
and our allies in Europe,” said Rep. Howard “Buck” McKeon of California,
the top Republican on the House Armed Services Committee.
The Democratic chairman of that committee, Rep. Ike Skelton
of Missouri, told the AP the shift reflected a proper understanding of
the current threat from Iran.
“It’s about short- and medium-range missiles,” Skelton said.
The Obama administration said the shift is a common sense
answer to the evolution of both the threat and the U.S. understanding of
it. Iran has not shown that it is close to being able to lob a
long-range missile, perhaps with a nuclear warhead, at U.S. allies in
Europe.
The Bush administration had calculated that Iran might be able to do that as soon as 2012, but the new assessment pushes the date back to 2015 to 2020,
a U.S. government official familiar with the report told The Associated
Press. The official spoke on condition of anonymity because the report
remains classified.
Previous intelligence assessed that Iran would have an ICBM capable
of menacing Europe and the United States sometime between 2012 and 2015,
another U.S. government official said. Iran has improved its ability to launch shorter-range missiles,
however, and despite the crude nature of some of those weapons the Pentagon now considers them a greater short-term threat.
The United States will join international talks with Iran next month, a major shift that makes good on Obama’s campaign pledge to engage the main U.S. adversary in the Middle East.
The new [Obama] government in Washington had never sounded
enthusiastic about the Bush administration’s European missile defense
arrangement, in part because Russia’s adamant opposition was getting in the way of repairing damaged ties with Moscow and partly because some in the new administration felt Russia had a point. Moscow said the system could undermine its own deterrent capability.
Almost as Obama spoke at the White House, the Russian ambassador was
summoned there to get the news from national security adviser James
Jones.
It is unclear whether any part of the future system would be in Poland or the Czech Republic.
Gates said it might, and he also said he hopes Poland will still
approve a broad military cooperation agreement with the United States.
In an interview, the Pentagon’s point-man on missile defense, Marine Gen. James Cartwright, stressed that development of the old ground-based interceptor system would not stop.
The United States still assumes Iran is driving toward a long-range,
intercontinental ballistic missile, and the system once planned for
Poland would provide additional defense against that eventual threat,
Cartwright said.” …………………
Added: NY Times, March 2013: “Last March [2012], Mr. Obama was heard on a live microphone telling the outgoing Russian president Dmitri A. Medvedev in a private aside that he would have “more flexibility” to negotiate on missile defense after the November presidential election in November [2012].”
“The United States has effectively canceled the final phase
of a Europe-based missile defense system that was fiercely opposed by
Russia and cited repeatedly by the Kremlin as a major obstacle to
cooperation on nuclear arms reductions and other issues.
Russian officials here have so
far declined to comment on the announcement, which was made in
Washington on Friday by Defense Secretary Chuck Hagel as part of a plan to deploy additional ballistic missile interceptors to counter North Korea. The cancellation of some European-based defenses will allow resources to be shifted to protect against North Korea.
Aides to President Vladimir V. Putin of
Russia said there would be no reaction until early next week, when they
expect to be briefed by American officials.
But Russian news accounts quickly raised the possibility that the decision could portrend a breakthrough in what for years has been a largely intractable dispute between Russia and the United States.
A headline by the Itar-Tass news agency declared, “U.S. abandons fourth
phase of European missile defense system that causes the greatest
objections from Russia.”
Russian leaders on several
occasions used meetings with President Obama to press their complaints
about the missile defense program. At one such meeting, in South Korea last March, Mr. Obama was heard on a live microphone telling the outgoing Russian president Dmitri A. Medvedev in a private aside that he would have “more flexibility” to negotiate on missile defense after the November presidential election in November.
Pentagon officials said that
Russia’s longstanding objections played no role in the decision to
reconfigure the missile interceptor program, which they said was based on the increased threat from North Korea and on technological difficulties and budget considerations related to the Europe-based program.
“The missile defense decisions Secretary Hagel announced were in no way about Russia,” George Little, a Pentagon spokesman, said Saturday.
Still, other Obama administration officials acknowledged potential benefits if the decision was well-received in Moscow, as well as the possibility of continued objections given that the United States is not backing away from its core plan for a land-based missile shield program in Central Europe.
Regardless, some experts said it could help relations by eliminating what the Russians had cited as one of their main objections — the interceptors in the final phase of the missile shield that might have the ability to target long-range intercontinental ballistic missiles, which are part of Russian’s nuclear arsenal.
The Obama administration has sought cooperation from Russia on numerous issues, with varying degrees of success. Russia generally has supported the NATO-led military effort in Afghanistan and has helped torestrict Iran’s nuclear program by supporting economic sanctions. But the two countries have been deeply at odds over the war in Syria,
and over human rights issues in Russia. Most recently, Mr. Obama has
said he would like further reductions in the two countries’ nuclear
arsenals, something Russia has said it would not consider without
settling the dispute over missile defense.
American experts insisted that the
Russians’ concern over the antimissile program was exaggerated and that
the system would not have jeopardized their strategic missiles had the
final phase been developed. That Russian concern has now been addressed.
“There is no threat to Russian
missiles now,” said Steven Pifer, an arms control expert who has managed
Russia policy from top positions at the State Department and
the National Security Council. “If you listen to what the Russians have
been saying for the last two years, this has been the biggest obstacle
to things like cooperation with NATO.”
“Potentially this is very big,” said Mr. Pifer, now of the Brookings Institution. “And it’s going to be very interesting seeing how the Russians react once they digest it.”
In Washington, many officials have said they believe Russia’s real objections
are not only about the particular capabilities of the missile shield
but also about a more general political and strategic opposition to an expanding American military presence in Eastern Europe. Canceling only the final stage of the program does not address that concern, so it is possible that Russia’s position will remain unchanged.
Sean Kay, a professor at Ohio Wesleyan
University and expert in international security issue and Russian
relations, said that the so-called fourth stage of the Europe-based
missile defense program “was largely conceptual” and might never have
been completed.
Eliminating that portion of the program
made sense, Mr. Kay said. “In effect, by sticking with a plan that was
neither likely to work in the last stage but was creating significant
and needless diplomatic hurdles at the same time, we gained nothing,” he said. At least some of the canceled interceptors were to have been based in Poland, which will still host less-advanced interceptors.
In the past, efforts to
restructure the antimissile program provoked sharp criticism in Poland,
but this time reaction from Warsaw has been more muted.
Analysts have said Poland’s main goal in hosting the interceptors has
been having an American military presence there as a deterrent to
Russia.”
“A version of this article appears in print on , on Page A12 of the New York edition with the headline:
This zigzagging in even limited diplomacy between
the two biggest nuclear powers is lamentable, especially given the
mounting tensions in their bilateral relations, which have appalling
implications for world peace.
The pair were to hold a bilateral meeting this weekend during the G20 summit in Argentina’s capital Buenos Aires. Only this week, Trump’s national security advisor John Bolton was telling media that the two leaders were due to discuss a range of issues, including arms controls.
This is all the more deplorable because there is a paramount need for comprehensive dialogue between Washington and Moscow on a host of vitally important issues, from arms control to establishing an understanding on preventing security conflicts.
By not meeting Putin in Buenos Aires, another essential opportunity to restore bilateral US-Russia relations is being scotched. The diversion from diplomacy is dangerously fueling tensions.
\X – high up at the frontside of right shoulder – mental defects.
X – further down on the right shoulder – disease or deformity.
X – within a circle – some definite disease.
B – back problems
G – struma
H – heart problems
Pg – pregnancy
Ct – eye disease
Sick children from 12 years old or older were sent back
by them selves to their home harbour. Children under 12 years old that
were not allowed to stay in the US were forced to go back with one
parent. Many tears were dropped when the parents should decide
which parent that should stay and which parent that should bo back with
the sick child.
After waiting in queue, the immigrant went forward one an one to the inspector
who sat far front in the Registry Room on a high chair behind his desk.
Beside himself he had an interpreter and in front he had the shiplists.
The check-up should be regarding the
information that the immigrant have left of himself and that also was
written in the ship records. Here they double checked the name,
age, religion, last residence, sex, civil status and if the immigrant
should met up with some relative etc.
2 minutes with every immigrant
Every inspector had approx 2 minutes per immigrant to determine that the information were correct and that the person could take care of himself and fulfill the demands to be able to stay in the US.
They should also determine if the person was a danger to the society.
Due to that the time was so short to do this check-up, it could happen
that the spelling of their name could be wrong (this is not often common
though), sometimes even the home country were wrong.
Approved
Most immigrants passed the interrogationand
got their “landing card” (the permit to leave and enter New York). Only
2% of all the immigrants who went to America had to return to their
home country after the check-up at Ellis Island.
After approval they only had a few hours left on Ellis Island, before
they could leave the island and continue their travel.” images from EllisIsland.se/English
The previously undisclosed business relationships with titans of the financial and technology worlds are through a real-estate tech startup called Cadre that Mr. Kushner cofounded and currently partly owns.
In his disclosure form filed earlier this year, Mr. Kushner didn’t identify Cadre as among his hundreds of assets.
The Journal identified his Cadre stake through a review of securities
and other filings as well as interviews with people familiar with the
company and Mr. Kushner’s finances….
Mr. Kushner co-founded Cadre in 2014 with his brother, Joshua Kushner,
and Ryan Williams, a 29-year-old friend and former employee of Kushner
Cos., the family-controlled business that Mr. Kushner ran until
recently. Cadre markets properties to prospective investors, who can put their money into specific buildings or into an investment fund run by Cadre, which collects fees on each deal.
While Mr. Williams acts as the public face of Cadre, Mr. Kushner remains one of the owners, with the power to “influence the [firm’s] management or policies,“
according to the latest public information on file with the Financial
Industry Regulatory Authority. Mr. Kushner’s company JCK Cadre LLC is
shown as owning 25% to 50% of Quadro Partners Inc., which owns at least
75% of RealCadre LLC, which does business as Cadre. Mr. Kushner has reduced his ownership stake to less than 25%, his lawyer Ms. Gorelick said.
Mr. Williams, chief executive of Cadre, said the company has been working with regulators to update its public filings to “reflect Jared’s nonoperational, nonmanagement relationship with the company, which has been in place since the inauguration.”
BFPS Ventures, the company that Mr. Kushner’s lawyer said holds his Cadre stake,
is shown on his financial-disclosure form as owning unspecified New
York real estate valued at more than $50 million. The form adds that
“the conflicting assets of this interest have been divested.”
Beyond Cadre, some of the assets Mr. Kushner is holding on to are hard to pinpoint, partly because they are housed in entities with generic names such as “KC Dumbo Office,” according to the disclosure form.
Russia warned the US twice in September about possible consequences in case Syria starts an operation to free its territory from foreign troops but the warning fell on deaf ears.
The Arab nations, which are candidates for the “Arab NATO” membership,
held a joint large-scale military exercise dubbed Arab Shield 1. It
ended on Nov.16. The training event was seen as a preparation for a
joint military operation. Tamer al-Shahawi, a member of the
parliamentary National Defense and Security Committee and a former
Egyptian military intelligence officer,said“There is close cooperation between the Gulf states, Egypt and Israel against Tehran. Arab countries are trying to benefit from any possible support against the Iranian influence.”
The concentration of US military in the region is a worrisome sign. This huge force has gathered for something much more serious than just training. With the events in Europe grabbing public attention, the situation creep in Syria is staying under the radar. It shouldn’t be. Something is definitely being cooked up.” …………………
Comment: The
US is a dictatorship. The former US must be broken up into smaller
units. Citizens who don’t wish to be slaves must be allowed to form new
countries. Trump isn’t going to save the country. ............
So, this weekend’s incident in which a tug was rammed, ships
fired upon and seized by Russia, ultimately was a proper and legal
response to a clear provocation because the Ukrainian military ships refused to announce their intentions.
It also was meant to enflame Ukrainian nationalism and drum up support for Poroshenko who is trailing badly in the polls
as we approach March elections. Declaring martial law so as to
potentially suspend those election, the US satrap is raising the stakes
on Russia to it finally responding to these repeated provocations.
At the same time the Ukrainian Army unleashed the heaviest shelling of the Donbass contact line near Gorlovka in years.
Because, deal or no deal, May is finished once we’re past thisand like her accomplishing her mission to betray Brexit, setting NATO on a collision course with Russia
is more possible by having British forces on the ground. All manner of
false flags can be ginned up to saddle any incoming Labour government
with.
Going back to the transition period between the outgoing Barack Obama and the incoming Trump everything imaginable was done to poison Trump’s early days as President. The idea that Trump and Putin could establish normal relations was anathema.
Those who cling to power do so out of desperation and will use every trick and point of leverage they have to remain where they are. In that respect Poroshenko is no different than anyone else. He knows if he loses power he will be expendable, to be thrown to the wolves while the US and Europe move to back the next quisling presiding over Kiev.
There doesn’t seem to be much on hope on the horizon regardless of the elections.
If no sanctions are added to Russia over this incident and
NATO is not dispatched to ‘calm things down’ in the Sea of Azov then
this was nothing more than an attempt by Poroshenko to derail elections and rally Ukrainian nationals. The Verkovna Rada cut his martial law demand down to 3o days from 60 to ensure elections happen on time.
Finally, for those of you who hate James Hansen: Please note that the author of this study works for Hansen.” Above graph by Drew Shindell, GISS ……………………………..
“Though greenhouse gases are invariably at the center of discussions about global climate change, new NASA research suggests that much of the atmospheric warming observed in the Arctic since 1976 may be due to changes in tiny airborne particles called aerosols.
Emitted by natural and human sources, aerosols can directly influence climate by reflecting or absorbing the sun’s radiation. The small particles also affect climate indirectly by seeding clouds and changing cloud properties, such as reflectivity.
A new study, led by climate scientist Drew Shindell of the NASA Goddard Institute for Space Studies,
New York, used a coupled ocean-atmosphere model to investigate how
sensitive different regional climates are to changes in levels of carbon
dioxide, ozone, and aerosols.
The regions of Earth that showed the strongest responses to aerosols in the model are the same regions that have witnessed the greatest real-world temperature increases since 1976.The Arctic region has seen its surface air temperatures increase by 1.5 C (2.7 F) since the mid-1970s. In the Antarctic, where aerosols play less of a role, the surface air temperature has increased about 0.35 C (0.6 F).
That makes sense, Shindell explained, because of the Arctic’s
proximity to North America and Europe. The two highly industrialized
regions have produced most of the world’s aerosol emissions over the
last century, and some of those aerosols drift northward and collect in
the Arctic. Precipitation, which normally flushes aerosols out of the
atmosphere, is minimal there, so the particles remain in the air longer and have a stronger impact than in other parts of the world.
Aerosols tend to be quite-short lived, residing in the atmosphere for just a few days or weeks. Greenhouses
gases, by contrast, can persist for hundreds of years. Atmospheric
chemists theorize that the climate system may be more responsive to
changes in aerosol levels over the next few decades than to changes
in greenhouse gas levels, which will have the more powerful effect in
coming centuries.”… …………………….
Comment: Don’t tell Ivanka about any of this-she might cry. As
Houston Chronicle article noted, the news will be a “huge blow” to those attached to the notion that Americans must be punished with even
more CO2 restrictions. These people deeply believe that the more you punish Americans, the more compassionate you are. ..................
In her comments to the court, Judge Brinkema appeared to be siding with the government’s argument that there is no legal precedent for a judge to order the release of a criminal complaint or indictment in a case before an arrest is made.
However, Katie Townsend, a lawyer for the Reporters Committee for Freedom of the Press, which filed an application to “unseal criminal prosecution of Julian Assange,”
told the court that the government’s inadvertent revelation of charges
against the WikiLeaks publisher should prompt the court to release the
complaint.
The paragraph goes on to say that the “complaint, supporting affidavit, and arrest warrant, as well as this motion and proposed order would need to remain sealed until Assange is arrested in connection with the charges in the criminal complaint and can therefore no longer evade or avoid arrest and extradition in this matter.”
Kromberg told the court that the government could neither
confirm nor deny that the passage relates to Julian Assange, nor could
confirm or deny that he has been charged because to do so would admit Assange’s status, which the state contends must remain secret.
Judge Brinkema, who called the case “interesting, to say the least,”
agreed that it was an “assumption” and “hypothetical” that the WikiLeaks
founder has already been charged. But she asked Kromberg in
court what “compelling” rationale there was to keep Assange’s status
secret after the government’s inadvertent release.
Kromberg said he could not discuss in public the specifics in this case regarding sealing.
Judge Brinkema then listed the general reasons why
indictments and complaints remain sealed before an arrest is made: to
prevent a suspect from fleeing, from destroying or tampering
with evidence, from pressuring potential witnesses, from being prepared
to harm arresting officers and also to protect against alerting other
defendants that might be named in a complaint or indictment.
The judge then asked Townsend to name any case in which a judge had ordered the government to release criminal charges before an arrest was made. Kromberg had argued that there were none. Townsend requested a few days to respond.
“Joe Lauria is editor-in-chief of Consortium News and a former correspondent for The Wall Street Journal, Boston Globe, Sunday Times of London and numerous other newspapers. He can be reached at joelauria@consortiumnews.com and followed on Twitter @unjoe.” ……………………..
Among comments to above article at Consortium News: …………………….. ........................