Suffolk University Poll, week of 4/30/18, 315 Republican Primary Voters, error margin 5.5
5/3/18, "Donald Trump tops New Hampshire poll," Boston Herald, Joe Battenfeld
"So much for all the talk about a GOP challenge to President Trump. Trump
crushes his potential Republican opponents in head-to-head matchups in
New Hampshire, and the president’s loyal followers aren’t wavering
despite an onslaught of media attacks, a new poll shows.
Ohio Gov. John Kasich, who recently traveled to New Hampshire to test
the waters, gets toasted by Trump in a 68-23 percent blowout among
Republican voters in the first-in-the-nation primary state.
And it’s
worse for Jeff Flake. The Arizona senator falls by a 72-15 percent
margin, according to the Suffolk University poll.
Even poor Mitt
Romney, who is currently scrambling to head off a conservative challenge
in the Utah Senate race, has been abandoned by New Hampshire voters,
who overwhelmingly side with Trump in a head-to-head matchup.
In fact, it seems all the talk about Russian collusion and impeachment hasn’t dented Trump much at all.
His numbers among all voters are roughly the same as when he took office: 41 percent favorable, 53 percent unfavorable.
“I
don’t think they’re bad numbers,” says Suffolk University pollster
David Paleologos. “They reaffirm his strength in the Republican Party
and his appeal among his core supporters.”
The poll did not
measure Trump’s strength against Democratic opponents, but it’s likely
that in 2020 New Hampshire will once again be a key swing state, with
Trump remaining competitive.
And the president isn’t hurting other
Republicans like many Democrats hope he will. GOP Gov. Chris Sununu is
relatively popular in the Granite State, and holds more than 20-point
leads over his Democratic challengers.
The Suffolk poll of 315 Republican primary voters, conducted last week, has a plus or minus margin of 5.5 percent.
On the Democratic side, there’s bad news for U.S. Sen. Elizabeth Warren. She’s ahead.
Warren
gets nearly 26 percent support among 295 Democratic primary voters,
with former Vice President Joe Biden in second place at 20 percent.
That’s bad for Warren because early front-runners never win in New Hampshire. Just ask Hillary Clinton.
Warren,
in fact, should be ahead by an even bigger margin. She’s from
neighboring Massachusetts, and liberals have been clamoring for her to
run for years.
The Democrats to watch are further down in the
polling numbers. Former Massachusetts Gov. Deval Patrick, who has been
out of the public eye for several years, still gets 8 percent support in
a field that doesn’t include Warren. New Jersey Sen. Cory Booker gets
10 percent in a Democratic trial heat without Warren in the mix.
The
real loser in this poll is Bernie. Vermont Sen. Bernie Sanders, who
destroyed Hillary Clinton in the 2016 New Hampshire primary, is down at just 13 percent in a trial heat that includes Warren. Even in a field
without Warren, Sanders is behind Biden.
Paleologos calls Biden the “safe and steady” choice. But that may not be enough in 2020."
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