Trump 49
Cruz 34
Kasich 13
Poll dates April 26-28, 2016. 645 Likely Indiana Republican primary voters, 3.9 error margin, landline and cellphone interviews. Link to poll.
5/1/16, "Donald Trump Leads Cruz by 15 Points in Crucial Indiana Race," NBC News, Mark Murray
"Donald Trump holds a 15-point lead over Ted Cruz in the potentially
decisive May 3 presidential primary race in Indiana, according to
results from a new NBC News/Wall Street Journal/Marist poll.
Trump gets support from 49 percent of likely
Republican primary voters — followed by Cruz at 34 percent and John
Kasich at 13 percent. If that margin in Indiana holds on Tuesday, Trump
would be on a glide path towards obtaining the 1,237 delegates he needs
to win the Republican nomination on a first ballot at the GOP convention
in July....
The NBC/WSJ/Marist poll was conducted April
26-28 — so mostly after Trump's six-consecutive primary victories in
Northeast and Mid-Atlantic states, as well as after Cruz and Kasich
announced an alliance/truce, whereby Kasich wouldn't campaign in Indiana
to help Cruz (in exchange for Cruz not campaigning in Oregon and New
Mexico)....
In a hypothetical general-election matchup,
Trump is ahead of Clinton by seven points among registered voters in
this traditionally Republican state, 48 percent to 41 percent.
But Trump's lead is just one point when matched up against Bernie Sanders, 47 percent to 46 percent....
The NBC/WSJ/Marist poll
of Indiana was conducted by live-caller interviews (via landline and
cell phone) among 2,149 registered voters (which has a margin of error
of plus-minus 2.1 percentage points), 645 likely Republican primary
voters (plus-minus 3.9 percentage points) and 449 likely Democratic
primary voters (plus-minus 4.6 percentage points)." Link to poll.
..............
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