“Compensation increased 42% more during the first two years of the Trump Presidency than in 2015 and 2016. This refutes the claim by liberals that the economy has merely continued on the same trajectory since 2017 as it was before….The revisions show that employee compensation rose 4.5% in 2017 and 5% in 2018—some $4.4 billion and $87.1 billion more than previously reported. The trend has continued into 2019…Corporate profits declined 2.9% in the first quarter of 2019 even as wages grew at an annual rate of 10.1%. This sure sounds like an economy that is benefiting the 99%.”
7/30/19, “The 99% Get a Bigger Raise,“ Wall St. Journal Editorial Board (7/31/19 print ed.)
“New data show much faster growth in wages and incomes.”
“Political discourse nowadays is enough to depress anyone, and the media don’t help by ignoring good economic news. But buck up, Americans: Worker wages are growing much faster than previously reported.
The Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA) on Tuesday published its annual revisions to personal income data, and the surprise was the huge jump in disposable income and employee compensation.
The revisions show that employee compensation rose 4.5% in 2017 and 5% in 2018—some$4.4 billion and $87.1 billion more than previously reported. The trend has continued into 2019, with compensation increasing $378 billion or 3.4% in the first six months alone. Wages and salaries were revised upward
to 5.3% from 3.6% in May year over year. And in June wages and salaries
grew at an annual rate of 5.5%, which is a rocking 4.1% after adjusting
for inflation.
This is far more than the 3.1% year over year increase in average hourly earnings that the Labor Department’s jobs report showed for June.One reason for the disparity
may be that employers are hiring millions of younger, lower-income
workers, which may be depressing average hourly earnings as older, more highly paid workers retire.
The BEA also revised overall personal income up by 1.7% for 2017 and 2018 and transfer receipts down 0.7%. In sum, Americans are earning more and relying less on government.Personal savings estimates were also increased by $217 billion for the last two years and are now $1.3 trillion, which means Americans are socking away more of their earnings.
The personal savings rate was revised upward to 8.1% from 6.1% in May,
which is much higher than the roughly 5% before the last two
recessions. This should make the current economic expansion more durable
since consumption isn’t being pumped up largely by increased household
debt. Instead consumer spending has increased as wage growth has accelerated amid a tight labor market.
Recall how liberals blamed “secular stagnation” as the reason worker incomes weren’t growing faster during the latter years of Barack Obama’s Presidency. Yet employee compensation has increased by $150 billion more in the first six months of 2019 than all of 2016. Compensation increased 42% more during the first two years of the Trump Presidency than in 2015 and 2016. This refutes the claim by liberals that the economy has merely continued on the same trajectory since 2017 as it was before.
The economy barely skirted recession in the final Obama years, and economic policy changed in 2017. Deregulation has unleashed repressed animal spirits, especially in energy. Tax reform has also spurred business investment in new facilities and equipment, which over time should translate into higher worker productivity and wages.
Those reforms are continuing to pay economic dividends despite the damage from Mr. Trump’s trade policies.
While Democrats and even some conservatives complain that workers
haven’t benefited from tax reform, the evidence suggests otherwise.
Corporate after-tax profits increased by about $220 billion between
2016 and 2018 while employee compensation swelled nearly $1 trillion. Corporate profits declined 2.9% in the first quarter of 2019 even as wages grew at an annual rate of 10.1%. This sure sounds like an economy that is benefiting the 99%.”
“Call Them Racists…This makes *them* sputter with rage, which in turn leads to overreaction and self-destruction,” said Spencer Ackerman…”It [Journolist] was a forum where people employed as journalists conspired to suppress the news–and, by doing so “off the record,” used journalistic ethics as cover.”
July 20, 2010, “‘Call Them Racists’,“ Wall St. Journal, James Taranto, “How “journolists” tried to suppress the news”
“The “Journolist” scandal has deepened with new revelations that participants in the now-defunct email list for ideologically approved journalists–-no conservatives allowed–engaged in efforts to suppress news damaging to then-candidate Barack Obama [vs then candidate Mrs. Clinton]….
According to records obtained by The Daily Caller, at several points during the 2008 presidential campaign a group of liberal journalists took radical steps to protect their favored candidate [Obama].
Employees of news organizations including Time, Politico, the Huffington Post, the Baltimore Sun, the Guardian, Salon and the New Republic participated in outpourings of anger over how Obama had been treated in the media, and in some cases plotted to fix the damage.”
Most damning is a long quote from a Spencer Ackerman who worked for something called the Washington Independent:
“…What is necessary is to raise the cost on the right of going after the left. In other words, find a rightwinger’s [sic] and smash it through a plate-glass window. Take a snapshot of the bleeding mess and send it out in a Christmas card to let the right know that it needs to live in a state of constant fear. Obviously I mean this rhetorically….If the right forces us all to either defend Wright or tear him down, no matter what we choose, we lose the game they’ve put upon us. Instead, take one of them––Fred Barnes, Karl Rove, who cares– and call them racists. Ask: why do they have such a deep-seated problem with a black politician who unites the country? What lurks behind those problems? This makes *them* sputter with rage, which in turn leads to overreaction and self-destruction.”
Smashing somebody’s [sic] through a plate-glass window seems like an odd way to thread a needle, but atrocious prose is the least of the problems here. The problem here isn’t bias, either.
Assuming Ackerman was an opinion writer rather than a straight-news reporter, he was entitled not only to hold his opinions but to express them.
But Ackerman was not engaging in a public debate; he was privately strategizing about how to suppress the news. And his fellow journolists, while disagreeing with him, did so “only on strategic grounds”:
“Spencer, you’re wrong,” wrote Mark Schmitt, now an editor at the American Prospect. “Calling Fred Barnes a racist doesn’t further the argument, and not just because Juan Williams is his new black friend, but because that makes it all about character. The goal is to get to the point where you can contrast something_–Obama’s substantive agenda–with this crap.”
Kevin Drum, then of Washington Monthly, also disagreed with Ackerman’s strategy. “I think it’s worth keeping in mind that Obama is trying (or says he’s trying)
to run a campaign that avoids precisely the kind of thing Spencer is
talking about, and turning this into a gutter brawl would probably hurt
the Obama brand pretty strongly. After all, why vote for him if it turns out he’s not going [to] change the way politics works?”
But it was Ackerman who had the last word. “Kevin, I’m not saying OBAMA should do this. I’m saying WE should do this.”
If anybody on the list objected in principle to Ackerman’s idea of slandering people, including a fellow journalist, as racist,
the Caller missed that part of the story. (We’ll be happy to report it
if a Journolist member would care to supply us with the evidence.)
What Ackerman proposed was to carry out a political dirty trick in order to suppress the news and thereby aid a candidate for public office. That’s about as unethical as journalism can get.
The final product of this debate was a pathetic “open letter,” which, as we noted at the time, was signed by 41 self-described “journalists and media analysts,” nearly all of whom were affiliated with universities, left-wing publications or left-wing think tanks. The letter does seem to have been more of a collaborative effort than we guessed back then: the Caller lists eight people who contributed to its drafting. Even so, what self-respecting journalist shares a byline with 40 other guys?
“The letter caused a brief splash and won the attention of the New York Times,” the Caller reports, but thereafter was deservedly forgotten until now.
Obama weathered the Wright revelations, but it seems a stretch to give
Journolist the credit (or, if you prefer, the blame) for that. On the
other hand, are there other stories they did succeed in suppressing? We
cannot know as long as the full Journolist archives are secret.
These revelations also belie Journolist founder…[subsequently
editor-at-large and founder of Vox. Before that, he was columnist and
editor at the Washington Post, policy analyst at MSNBC, and contributor
to Bloomberg] Ezra Klein‘s defense of the enterprise back in March 2009:
“As for sinister implications, is it “secret?” No. Is it off-the-record? Yes. The point is to create a space where experts feel comfortable offering informal analysis and
testing out ideas. Is it an ornate temple where liberals get together
to work out “talking points?” Of course not. Half the membership would
instantly quit if anything like that emerged.”
This statement is true only if parsed as a denial that an email list is an ornate temple. Plainly the list was a forum where liberals got together to work out talking points, as evidenced by that “open letter.”
Worse, it was a forum where people employed as journalists conspired to suppress the news–and, by doing so “off the record,” used journalistic ethics as cover.
In 2009 Klein wrote that Journolist’s policy of excluding conservatives was “not about fostering ideology but preventing a collapse into flame war. The emphasis is on empiricism, not ideology.”
“Call them racists." That’s empiricism for you!”…
…………………………………
It’s not really about Russia, it’s about the US whose entire political class seeks to render US voters and elections irrelevant and cement our status as peasant/colonists under our "classified" military/intel superiors: The US Endless War and Starvation “revolution is not directed primarily against foreign tyrants: for even as they [US warmongers] put on a great show of “liberating” foreign peoples, they are in the process of enslaving the American people….Our old Republic, once the enemy of kings and contemptuous of empires, is now donning the imperial purple….The America we loved is lost, perhaps forever. That is the meaning of this [2003 Iraq] war. The republic that bound its rulers with the chains of the Constitution and freed the rest of us to live in peace is no more.”…Justin Raimondo, March 19, 2003.
7/29/19, “MSM Coverage of Senate Intelligence Report Is Misleading,“ AntiWar.com, Dave DeCamp
“A day after Robert Mueller’s testimony before Congress, the Senate Intelligence Committee released a report on supposed Russian interference in the 2016 election at the state and local level. The committee will be releasing four more reports relating to Russian interference over the next month. The heavily redacted report made the claim the Russian government directed extensive activity against “US election infrastructure.” The activity was scanning the networks and servers of the “election infrastructure.”
The findings section of the report said, “The Russian government directed extensive activity [but not “hacking”] beginning in at least 2014 and carrying into at least 2017, against U.S. election infrastructure’ at the state and local level." And that, “The Committee has seen no evidence that any votes were changed or that any voting machines were manipulated.”
The report lacked any real evidence to link the activities to the Russian government. But of course, that’s not how the mainstream media reported it. Vox headlined their story, “New Senate Intelligence report shows ‘extensive’ Russia 2016 election interference.” NBC’s headline read, “Senate Intelligence report finds ‘extensive’ Russian election interference.” The Hill said, “Senate Intel finds ‘extensive’ Russian election interference going back to 2014.”
None of these mainstream outlets explained how the Department of Homeland Security (DHS) determined that Russia was behind the activities. Page 11 of the report said,
“DHS arrived at their initial assessment by evaluating whether the tactics, techniques, and procedures (TTPs) observed were consistent with previously observed Russian TTPs, whether the actors used known Russian-affiliated malicious infrastructure, and whether a state or local election system was the target.”...
[Ed. note: Being "targeted or "scanned"-if
such things happened-are of course normal, harmless, meaningless,
happen thousands of times a day to many computer systems, don’t imply
“penetration” of an election “system.” The terrorist US government can use these terms as weapons to force US taxpayers to bomb Russia and murder Putin. We're told that US elections are no longer needed because all Americans have only one issue which is Putin.]
(continuing): “Page 13 of the report said, “IP addresses associated with the August 18, 2016 FLASH (an FBI alert of a potential cyber-attack) provided some indications the activity might be attributable to the Russian government, particularly the GRU:” So the IP addresses only provide some “indications” that the activity “might be attributable to the Russian government.”
The next few paragraphs are redacted. The only few sentences that are not redacted do not have the proper context to come to any real conclusion. Those sentences read, “One of the Netherlands-based [REDACTED] ‘exhibited the same behavior from the same node over a period of time. … It was behaving like … the same user or group of users was using this to direct activity against the same type of ***targets,’*** according to DHS staff.”
Nothing else in the report tries to tie the activity to the Russian government.
Another claim in the report was that all 50 states were ***targeted***, something that most media outlets repeated. That claim is based on an assumption the DHS had since they could not figure out a pattern to the ***scanning.*** After a chart explaining the varying degrees of ***scanning*** in up to 21 states, Illinois being the only one named, page 20 read,
“Neither DHS nor the Committee can ascertain a pattern to the states ***targeted,*** lending credence to DHS’s later assessment that all 50 states probably were ***scanned.“*** Notice the word “probably.”
The New York Times headlined their story on the report as, “Russia Targeted Election Systems in All 50 States, Report Finds.” The Progressive YouTube talk show The Young Turks titled their video on the story, “Russia Hacks All 50 States.””…
[Ed. note: “Hacking” hasn’t been mentioned in the report, just “targeting” and “scanning”–which are meaningless. “Hacking”
is something entirely different and the report doesn’t say it happened
or that “Russians” did it. If I were Russia, I’d sue for slander or
libel anyone who made the claim that Russia “hacked” all 50 states. Of
course the term “hacking” is really about the US and not Russia. The mere evidence-free accusation of “hacking” has converted the US
into the Soviet Union. American voters have been permanently silenced.
Certainly, the GOP Establishment is ecstatic about this. They’ve always dreamed of silencing Republican voters, would be thrilled if Democrat
voters were their voters: "Christmas Morning": That's what it would be for the GOP E if they got a different voting base: "That is the way they're thinking....All they gotta do is throw away their base. That's Christmas
morning for 'em." Rush Limbaugh, 10/13/2013]
(continuing): “The rest of the report explains ways in which the states could make their voting systems more secure. It also expresses a desire to respect state’s privacy from the federal government.
Senator Ron Wyden (D-OR) wrote the minority views at the end of the report. Wyden said, “The defense of US national security against a highly sophisticated foreign government cannot be left to state and county officials. For that reason, I cannot support a report whose top recommendation is to ‘reinforce state’s primacy in running elections.’”
Wyden’s almost manic ravings in this report encapsulate the attitude towards Russia that is becoming all too common in the US today. Wyden wrote, “America is facing a direct assault on the heart of our democracy by a determined adversary. We would not ask a local sheriff to go to war against the missiles, planes and tanks of the Russian Army.
We shouldn’t ask a county election IT employee to fight a war against
the full capabilities and vast resources of Russia’s cyber army. That
approach failed in 2016 and it will fail again.”
While the claim that Russian hackers infiltrated our election system to observe and scan it could be true, nothing in this report – at least the redacted version – substantiates that claim. Media outlets, politicians and the intelligence community are all still pushing the idea that the Russian government hacked our elections in 2016, even though there is no concrete evidence.
A thing Russia-gaters like Senator Wyden like to say is that Russian cyber-attacks are a “threat to our democracy.” But what is a real threat to our democracy is the fact that the establishment can blame any politician’s success on Russian interference or influence. Democrats [and Republicans] are still blaming Trump’s victory in 2016 on Russia.
Rep. Tulsi Gabbard (D-HI) has been the latest victim of this Russia smear. Shortly after she announced her candidacy for the 2020 presidential race NBC ran a story that said, “The Russian
propaganda machine that tried to influence the 2016 US election is now
promoting the presidential aspirations of a controversial Hawaii
Democrat who earlier this month declared her intention to run for president in 2020.” The article drew this conclusion from the fact that she was given a lot of coverage by Russian funded media outlets like RT. These media outlets make it no secret that they are funded by the Russian government.
Another hit piece on Gabbard came from the Daily Beast titled, “Tulsi Gabbard’s Campaign is Being Boosted by Putin Apologists.” This sorry piece of journalism named three of Gabbard’s donors, two of them have been pushing for better US-Russia relations [who wouldn’t be?] and the other one worked for a show on the RT network.
On Friday, the Washington Post ran a story titled, “Mitch McConnell is a Russian Asset."
The article makes the wild accusation that McConnell is doing “Vladimir
Putin’s bidding” since he has blocked some legislation to [allegedly]
further secure elections.
Over the next month, the Senate Intelligence Committee will be releasing four more reports on [so-called] Russian interference.
It is almost a guarantee that most media outlets will be reporting the
committee’s claims as fact. Unfortunately, the American people cannot
count on the media to report on this honestly. Now every reporter and news outlet has a way to delegitimize any election they want if they’re not happy with the results. The real attack on US democracy is not from Russia, it’s from within.”
“Dave DeCamp is a freelance journalist based in Brooklyn NY,
focusing on US foreign policy and wars. He recently joined Antiwar.com
as an assistant editor. He is on Twitter at @decampdave.”
...........................
Added: Trump's FBI is also Soros/Obama's third term.
..........................
Added: “The
narrative of Russian intelligence attacking state and local election
boards and threatening the integrity of U.S. elections has achieved
near-universal acceptance by media and political elites. And now it has been accepted by the Trump administration’s intelligence chief, Dan Coats, as well. But the real story behind that narrative, recounted here for the first time, reveals that the Department of Homeland Security (DHS) created and nurtured an account that was grossly and deliberately deceptive.
"The facts surrounding the two actual breaches of state websites in Illinois and Arizona, as well as the broader context of cyberattacks on state websites, don't support Russian government interference at all." In the case of Arizona, "After meeting with DHS officials in early October 2017, however, [Arizona Sec. of State] Reagan wrote in a blog post that DHS “could not confirm that any attempted Russian government hack occurred whatsoever to any election-related system in Arizona, much less the statewide voter registration database.” What the DHS said in that meeting, as Reagan’s spokesman Matt Roberts recounted to me, is even more shocking. “When we pressed DHS on what exactly was actually targeted, they said it was the Phoenix public library’s computers system,” Roberts recalled."
In article below, “grossly and deliberately deceptive” DHS “Russia scare” claims are documented. Among DHS would-be celebrities milking this scam is ubiquitous Jeanette Manfra. DHS
personnel use terms that don't mean "hacking," such as "targeting," "scanning," or "attempts to penetrate" which mean nothing but are
intended to be heard as "Putin stole the election," US taxpayers must
bomb Russia and murder Putin. DHS
claimed 21 US states were hacked by Putin, which has been disproved,
but at the time DHS said they couldn't tell states exactly how Putin did
it because it's "classified." That's heard as: US taxpayers must line up tanks on every inch of Putin's border, prepare to bomb Russia and murder Putin. Trump
administration "intelligence chief," Dan Coats, also promotes DHS lies.
................
8/28/2018, “How Department of Homeland Security Created a Deceptive Tale of Russia Hacking US Voter Sites,” Gareth Porter, Consortium News
“The narrative about Russian cyberattacks on American election infrastructure is a self-interested abuse of power by DHS based on distortion of evidence, writes Gareth Porter.
“The
narrative of Russian intelligence attacking state and local election
boards and threatening the integrity of U.S. elections has achieved
near-universal acceptance by media and political elites. And now it has been accepted by the Trump administration’s intelligence chief, Dan Coats, as well.
But the real story behind that narrative, recounted here for the first time, reveals that the Department of Homeland Security (DHS) created and nurtured an account that was grossly and deliberately deceptive.
DHS compiled an intelligence report suggesting hackers linked to the Russian government could have targeted
voter-related websites in many states and then leaked a sensational
story of Russian attacks on those sites without the qualifications that
would have revealed a different story. When state election officials began asking questions, they discovered that the DHS claims were false and, in at least one case, laughable.
The
National Security Agency and special counsel Robert Mueller’s
investigating team have also claimed evidence that Russian military
intelligence was behind election infrastructure hacking, but on closer
examination, those claims turn out to be speculative and misleading as well. Mueller’s indictment of 12 GRU military intelligence officers does not cite any violations of U.S. election laws though it claims Russia interfered with the 2016 election.
A Sensational Story
On Sept. 29, 2016, a few weeks after the hacking of election-related websites in Illinois and Arizona, ABC News carried a sensational headline: “Russian Hackers Targeted Nearly Half of States’ Voter Registration Systems, Successfully Infiltrated 4.” The story itself reported that “more than 20 state election systems” had been hacked, and four states had been “breached” by hackers suspected of working for the Russian government. The story cited only sources “knowledgeable” about the matter, indicating that those who were pushing the story were eager to hide the institutional origins of the information.
Behind
that sensational story was a federal agency seeking to establish its
leadership within the national security state apparatus on
cybersecurity, despite its limited resources for such responsibility. In late summer and fall 2016, the Department of Homeland Security was maneuvering
politically to designate state and local voter registration databases
and voting systems as “critical infrastructure.” Such a
designation would make voter-related networks and websites under the
protection a “priority sub-sector” in the DHS “National Infrastructure
Protection Plan, which already included 16 such sub-sectors.
DHS Secretary Jeh Johnson and other senior DHS officials consulted with many state election officials in the hope of getting their approval for such a designation.
Meanwhile, the DHS was finishing an intelligence report that would both
highlight the Russian threat to U.S. election infrastructure and the role DHS could play in protecting it, thus creating political impetus to the designation. But
several secretaries of state—the officials in charge of the election
infrastructure in their state—strongly opposed the designation that
Johnson wanted.
On Jan. 6, 2017—the same
day three intelligence agencies released a joint “assessment” on Russian
interference in the election—Johnson announced the designation anyway.
Media stories continued to reflect the official assumption
that cyber attacks on state election websites were Russian-sponsored. Stunningly, The Wall Street Journal reported in December 2016 that DHS was itself behind hacking attempts of Georgia’s election database.
The facts surrounding the two actual breaches of state websites in Illinois and Arizona, as well as the broader context of cyberattacks on state websites, didn’t support that premise at all.
In July, Illinois discovered an intrusion into its [online] voter registration website and the theft of personal information on as many as 200,000 registered voters. (The 2018 Mueller indictments of GRU officers would unaccountably put the figure at 500,000.) Significantly, however, the hackers only had copied the information and had left it unchanged in the database.
That was a crucial clue to the motive behind the hack. DHS Assistant Secretary for Cyber Security and Communications Andy Ozment told a Congressional committee in late September 2016 that the fact hackers hadn’t tampered with the voter data indicated that the aim of the theft was not to influence the electoral process. Instead, it was “possibly for the purpose of selling personal information.” Ozment was contradicting the line
that already was being taken on the Illinois and Arizona hacks by the
National Protection and Programs Directorate and other senior DHS
officials.
In
an interview with me last year, Ken Menzel, the legal adviser to the
Illinois secretary of state, confirmed what Ozment had testified.
“Hackers have been trying constantly to get into it since 2006,”
Menzel said, adding that they had been probing every other official
Illinois database with such personal data for vulnerabilities as well. “Every governmental database—driver’s licenses, health care, you name it—has people trying to get into it,” said Menzel.
In the other successful cyberattack on an [alleged] electoral website, hackers had acquired the username and password for the voter database Arizona used during the summer, as Arizona Secretary of State Michele Reagan learned from the FBI. But the reason that it had become known, according to Reagan in an interview with Mother Jones, was that the login and password had shown up for sale on the dark web—the network of websites used by cyber criminals to sell stolen data and other illicit wares.
Furthermore, the FBI had told her that the effort to penetrate the database was the work of a “known hacker” whom the FBI had monitored “frequently” in the past. Thus, there were reasons to believe that both Illinois and Arizona hacking incidents were linked to criminal hackers seeking information they could sell for profit.
Meanwhile,
the FBI was unable to come up with any theory about what Russia might
have intended to do with voter registration data such as what was taken in the Illinois hack.
When FBI Counterintelligence official Bill Priestap was asked in a June 2017 hearing how Moscow might use such data, his answer revealed that he had no clue: “They
took the data to understand what it consisted of,” said the struggling
Priestap, “so they can affect better understanding and plan accordingly
in regards to possibly impacting future elections by knowing what is
there and studying it.”
The inability to think of any plausible way for the Russian government to use such data explains why DHS and the intelligence community adopted the argument, as senior DHS officials Samuel Liles and Jeanette Manfra put it, that the hacks “could be intended or used to undermine public confidence in electoral processes and potentially the outcome.
[Image: Jeanette Manfra of DHS]
But
such a strategy could not have had any effect without a decision by DHS
and the U.S. intelligence community to assert publicly that the intrusions and other scanning and probing were Russian operations, despite the absence of hard evidence. So DHS and other agencies were consciously sowing public doubts about U.S. elections that they were attributing to Russia.
DHS Reveals Its Self-Serving Methodology
In June 2017, Liles and Manfra testified to the Senate Intelligence Committee that an October 2016 DHS intelligence report had listed election systems in 21 states that were “potentially targeted by Russian government cyber actors.”
They revealed that the sensational story leaked to the press in late
September 2016 had been based on a draft of the DHS report. And more
importantly, their use of the phrase “potentially targeted” showed that they were arguing only that the cyber incidents it listed were possible indications of a Russian attack on election infrastructure.
Furthermore, Liles and Manfra said the DHS report had “catalogued suspicious activity we observed on state government networks across the country,” which had been “largely based on suspected malicious tactics and infrastructure.” They were referring to a list of eight IP addresses an August 2016 FBI “flash alert” had obtained from the Illinois and Arizona intrusions, which DHS and FBI had not been able to attribute to the Russian government.
.......
The DHS officials recalled that the DHS began to “receive reports of cyber-enabled scanning and probing of election-related infrastructure in some states, some of which appeared to originate from servers operated by a Russian company.” Six of the eight
IP addresses in the FBI alert were indeed traced to King Servers, owned
by a young Russian living in Siberia. But as DHS cyber specialists knew
well, the country of ownership of the server doesn’t prove anything about who was responsible for hacking: As cybersecurity expert Jeffrey Carr pointed out, the Russian hackers who coordinated the Russian attack on Georgian government websites in 2008 used a Texas-based company as the hosting provider.
The cybersecurity firm ThreatConnect noted in 2016 that one of the other two IP addresses had hosted a Russian criminal market for five months in 2015. But that was not a serious indicator, either. Private IP addresses are reassigned frequently by server companies, so there is not a necessary connection between users of the same IP address at different times.
The DHS methodology of selecting reports of cyber incidents involving election-related websites as “potentially targeted” by Russian government-sponsored hackers was based on no objective evidence whatever. The resulting list appears to have included any one of the eight addresses as well as any attack or “scan” on a public website that could be linked in any way to elections.
This methodology conveniently ignored
the fact that criminal hackers were constantly trying to get access to
every database in those same state, country and municipal systems. Not only for Illinois and Arizona officials, but state electoral officials.
In fact, 14 of the 21 states on the list experienced nothing more than the routine scanning that occurs every day, according to the Senate Intelligence Committee. Only six involved what was referred to as a “malicious access attempt,” meaning an effort to penetrate the site. One of them was in Ohio, where the attempt to find a weakness lasted less than a second and was considered by DHS’s internet security contractor a “non-event” at the time.
State Officials Force DHS to Tell the Truth
For a year, DHS did not inform the 21 states on its list that their election boards
or other election-related sites had been attacked in a presumed
Russian-sponsored operation. The excuse DHS officials cited was that it could not reveal such sensitive intelligence to state officials without security clearances.
But the reluctance to reveal the details about each case was certainly
related to the reasonable expectation that states would publicly
challenge their claims, creating a potential serious embarrassment.
On Sept. 22, 2017, DHS notified 21 states about the cyber incidents that had been included in the October 2016 report.
The public announcement of the notifications said DHS had notified each chief election officer of “any potential targeting we were aware of in their state leading up to the 2016 election.”
The phrase “potential targeting” again telegraphed the broad and vague criterion DHS had adopted, but it was ignored in media stories.
But the notifications, which took the form of phone calls lasting only a few minutes, provided a minimum of information and failed to convey the significant qualification that DHS was only suggesting targeting as a possibility. “It was a couple of guys from DHS reading from a script,” recalled one state election official who asked not to be identified. “They said [our state] was targeted by Russian government cyber actors.”
A number of state election officials recognized that this information conflicted with what they knew. And if they complained, they got a more accurate picture from DHS. After Wisconsin Secretary of State Michael Haas demanded further clarification, he got an email response from a DHS official with a different account.
“[B]ased on our external analysis,” the official wrote, “the WI
[Wisconsin] IP address affected belongs to the WI Department of
Workforce Development, not the Elections Commission.”
California Secretary of State Alex Padilla said DHS initially had notified his office “that Russian cyber actors ‘scanned’ California’s Internet-facing systems in 2016, including Secretary of State websites.” But under further questioning, DHS admitted to Padilla that what the hackers had targeted was the California Department of Technology’s network.
Texas Secretary of State Rolando Pablos and Oklahoma Election Board spokesman Byron Dean also denied that any state website with voter- or election-related information had been targeted, and Pablos demanded that DHS “correct its erroneous notification.”
Despite these embarrassing admissions, a statement issued by DHS spokesman Scott McConnell on Sept. 28, 2017 said the DHS “stood by” its assessment that 21 states “were the target of Russian government cyber actors seeking vulnerabilities and access to U.S. election infrastructure.” The statement retreated from the previous admission that the notifications involved “potential targeting,” but it also revealed for the first time that DHS had defined “targeting” very broadly indeed.
It said the category included “some cases” involving “direct scanning of targeted systems” but also cases in which “malicious actors scanned for vulnerabilities
in networks that may be connected to those systems or have similar
characteristics in order to gain information about how to later
penetrate their target.”
It is true that hackers may scan one website in the hope of learning something
that could be useful for penetrating another website, as cybersecurity
expert Prof. Herbert S. Lin of Stanford University explained to me in an
interview. But
including any incident in which that motive was theoretical meant that
any state website could be included on the DHS list, without any
evidence it was related to a political motive.
Arizona’s further exchanges with DHS revealed just how far DHS had gone in exploiting that escape clause in order to add more states to its “targeted” list. Arizona Secretary of State Michele Reagan tweeted that DHS had informed her that “the Russian government targeted our voter registration systems in 2016.” After meeting with DHS officials in early October 2017, however, Reagan wrote in a blog post that DHS “could not confirm that any attempted Russian government hack occurred whatsoever to any election-related system in Arizona, much less the statewide voter registration database.”
What the DHS said in that meeting, as Reagan’s spokesman Matt Roberts recounted to me, is even more shocking. “When we pressed DHS on what exactly was actually targeted, they said it was the Phoenix public library’s computers system,” Roberts recalled.
In April 2018, a CBS News “60 Minutes” segment reported that the October 2016 DHS intelligence report had included the Russian government hacking of a “county database in Arizona.” Responding to that CBS report, an unidentified “senior Trump administration official” who was well-briefed on the DHS report told Reuters that “media reports” on the issue had sometimes “conflated criminal hacking with Russian government activity,” and that the cyberattack on the target in Arizona “was not perpetrated by the Russian government.”
NSA Finds a GRU Election Plot
NSA
intelligence analysts claimed in a May 2017 analysis to have documented
an effort by Russian military intelligence (GRU) to hack into U.S.
electoral institutions. In an intelligence analysis obtained by The Intercept and reported in June 2017, NSA analysts wrote that the GRU had sent a spear-phishing email—one
with an attachment designed to look exactly like one from a trusted
institution but that contains malware design to get control of the
computer—to a vendor of voting machine technology in Florida. The hackers then designed a fake web page that looked like that of the vendor.
They sent it to a list of 122 email addresses NSA believed to be local government organizations
that probably were “involved in the management of voter registration
systems.” The objective of the new spear-phishing campaign, the NSA
suggested, was to get control of their computers through malware to
carry out the exfiltration of voter-related data.
But the authors of The Intercept story failed to notice crucial details in the NSA report that should have tipped them off that the attribution of the spear-phishing campaign to the GRU was based merely on the analysts’ own judgment—and that their judgment was faulty.
The Intercept article included a color-coded chart from the original NSA report that provides crucial information missing from the text of the NSA analysis itself as well as The Intercept’s account.
The chart clearly distinguishes between the elements of the NSA’s account of the alleged Russian scheme that were based on “Confirmed Information” (shown in green) and those that were based on “Analyst Judgment” (shown in yellow).
The connection between the “operator” of the spear-phishing campaign
the report describes and an unidentified entity confirmed to be under
the authority of the GRU is shown as a yellow line, meaning that it is based on “Analyst Judgment” and labeled “probably.”
A major criterion for any attribution of a hacking incident is whether there are strong similarities to previous hacks identified with a specific actor. But the chart concedes that “several characteristics” of the campaign depicted in the report distinguish it from “another major GRU spear-phishing program,” the identity of which has been redacted from the report.
The NSA chart refers to evidence that the same operator also had
launched spear-phishing campaigns on other web-based mail applications,
including the Russian company “Mail.ru.” Those targets suggest that the actors were more likely Russian criminal hackers rather than Russian military intelligence.
Even
more damaging to its case, the NSA reports that the same operator who
had sent the spear-phishing emails also had sent a test email to the
“American Samoa Election Office.” Criminal hackers could have been interested in personal information from the database associated with that office. But the idea that Russian military intelligence was planning to hack the voter rolls in American Samoa, an unincorporated U.S. territory with 56,000 inhabitants who can’t even vote in U.S. presidential elections, is plainly risible.
The Mueller Indictment’s Sleight of Hand
The
Mueller indictment of GRU officers released on July 13 appeared at
first reading to offer new evidence of Russian government responsibility
for the hacking of Illinois and other state voter-related websites. A close analysis of the relevant paragraphs, however, confirms the lack of any real intelligence supporting that claim.
Mueller accused two GRU officers of working with unidentified “co-conspirators” on those hacks. But the only alleged evidence linking the GRU to the operators in the hacking incidents is
the claim that a GRU official named Anatoly Kovalev and
“co-conspirators” deleted search history related to the preparation for
the hack after the FBI issued its alert on the hacking identifying the IP address associated with it in August 2016.
A careful reading of the relevant paragraphs shows that the
claim is spurious. The first sentence in Paragraph 71 says that both
Kovalev and his “co-conspirators” researched domains used by U.S. state boards of elections and other entities “for website vulnerabilities.” The second says Kovalev and “co-conspirators” had searched for “state political party email addresses, including filtered queries for email addresses listed on state Republican Party websites.”
Searching for website vulnerabilities would be evidence of intent to hack them, of course, but searching Republican Party websites for email addresses is hardly evidence of any hacking plan. And Paragraph 74 states that Kovalev “deleted his search history”—not the search histories of any “co-conspirator”—thus
revealing that there were no joint searches and suggesting that the
subject Kovalev had searched was Republican Party emails. So any
deletion by Kovalev of his search history after the FBI alert would not be evidence of his involvement in the hacking of the Illinois election board website.
With this rhetorical misdirection unraveled, it becomes clear that the repetition in every paragraph of the section of the phrase “Kovalev and his co-conspirators” was aimed at giving the reader the impression the accusation is based on hard intelligence about possible collusion that doesn’t exist.
The Need for Critical Scrutiny of DHS Cyberattack Claims
The
DHS campaign to establish its role as the protector of U.S. electoral
institutions is not the only case in which that agency has used a
devious means to sow fear of Russian cyberattacks.
In December 2016, DHS and the FBI published a long list of IP addresses as indicators of possible Russian cyberattacks. But most of the addresses on the list had no connection with Russian intelligence, as former U.S. government cyber-warfare officer Rob Lee found on close examination.
When
someone at the Burlington, Vt., Electric Company spotted one of those
IP addresses on one of its computers, the company reported it to DHS.
But instead of quietly investigating the address to verify that it was indeed an indicator of Russian intrusion, DHS immediately informed The Washington Post. The result was a sensational story that Russian hackers had penetrated the U.S. power grid. In fact, the IP address in question was merely Yahoo’s email server, as Rob Lee told me, and the
computer had not even been connected to the power grid. The threat to
the power grid was a tall tale created by a DHS official, which the Post had to embarrassingly retract.
Since May 2017, DHS, in partnership with the FBI, has begun an even more ambitious campaign to focus public attention on what it says are Russian “targeting” and “intrusions” into “major, high value assets that operate components of our Nation’s critical infrastructure”, including energy, nuclear, water, aviation
and critical manufacturing sectors. Any evidence of such an intrusion
must be taken seriously by the U.S. government and reported by news
media. But
in light of the DHS record on alleged threats to election
infrastructure and the Burlington power grid, and its well-known
ambition to assume leadership over cyber protection, the public interest demands that the news media examine DHS claims about Russian cyber threats far more critically than they have up to now.”
“Gareth Porter is an independent investigative journalist and winner
of the 2012 Gellhorn Prize for journalism. His latest book is Manufactured Crisis: The Untold Story of the Iran Nuclear Scare.”
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Comment: Why didn’t anyone demand a recount of 2016 Illinois
results if Illinois is such a big example of Putin's work?
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